I'M often questioned when I put up a double as a Super Single but Thursday was an example of why I sometimes do it.
I couldn't see many decent-priced singles I fancied so stuck up a 5pts double that paid just under evens and it came in easily with Elfsborg winning 5-0 and Zilina 3-0.
My 5-1 1pt Top Treble on the handicaps would have come in Asian while the both to score treble was two goals short.
On Friday there are more friendlies than anything else but as I did on Wednesday I'll probably miss out when the markets go up as I'll be at the Scottish Open golf all day.
Games that have caught my eye include Belgian minnows Deinz v Kortrijk, German regional side Eintracht Trier v Troyes and third tier Swiss side Etoile against Burnley. If any of the big guns field strong sides you should be looking at somewhere in the region of over 4.5 goals if you can get a decent price or back them to win HT and FT.
One of the highest-profile friendlies is Celtic v Real Sociedad at St Mirren Park. Celtic will be in trouble if they defend as they did against Dukla Prague in their 5-3 defeat last week but boss Ronny Deila will want to get his side sorted out before Wednesday's Champions League qualifier against Stjarnan.
There are some league games to look at including Molde v Haugesund in Norway and RoPS v HJK Helsinki in Finland. Molde are on a decent run and should beat a side with just one win on the road – but they haven't lost in five to their hosts.
HJK lead the way but have won just two of eight on the road including a 3-0 defeat at FC Inter last time out. Their record in Rovaniemi is good though and it could be draw against the second-placed side who are four points back with two games in hand. RoPS look big at 21-10 so for a Super Single I'm taking them draw no bet at 5-4 with Paddy Power.
I called the women's semi-finals correctly at Wimbledon and now it's the men's turn with Novak Djokovic expected to blow away Richard Gasquet before Andy Murray and Roger Federer meet in what could be a thriller.
World No.1 Djoko is no bigger than 1-12 at sportingbet to beat the Frenchman and 4-6 to win 3-0. Gasquet's been superb the whole tournament but it's difficult to see how he can push the Serb. If you think he can take a set back him to lose in four at 3-1 with the likes of William Hill and bet365.
Murray is a best 5-6 favourite with BetVictor and McBookie and having tipped him pre-tournament to meet Djokovic in the final I'm standing by the Scot. However, I'm less confident than I was at the start as Fed has sailed through and it could be really close.
Federer is 11-10 at boylesports and best bet could be to back five sets at 9-4 with Ladbrokes. Murray is 11-2 at sporting bet to win 3-2 and 15-4 at boylesports to triumph 3-1.
I won't be putting any other Friday bets so let's go with 0.5pts on Murray 3-2.
2pts Super Single
RoPS draw no bet (4.30pm)
(5-4, Paddy Power)
0.5pt Super Single
Murray 3-2
(11-2, sportingbet)
Estimated start 3.30pm
July Super Single record
14 bets (7 winners, 7 losers)
Profit/Loss: 5.8pts
July Daily Double/Top Treble record
7 bets (7 losers)
Profit/Loss -10pts
Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.h
Let’s have a good day
Jordan
We need a good
Friday
nite owl
mexico u4.5mgs 4/5
Gold Cup – 2:30AM
Carlos Vela Anytime/Mexico Win @ 5/6 @ Skybet – 3 points
Took my chances that the Sociedad hitman will be starting for the Mexicans. Should do as he’s their best striker without Hernandez in the line up and Tee has posted that the Cubans (not the cigars) will be without their head coach and 6 players due to ‘logistical problems’. Shows how well prepared they are.
Have my eye on a goalscorer for the Molde game but will wait for the team sheet as they have a Champions League qualifier on Tuesday at home to the Armenian side Pyunik. Scorer in question is Ola Kamara who has 9 goals in 15 appearances and scored a hat-trick against Sarpsborg last Friday. Currently best @ 5/6 @ 365.
_______________________________________________________________
July Totals
Bets 22
Staked 49.37
Returned 77.39
Profit 28.02
Jordan, hope it goes well for you. Off to bed – early start and at Gullane all day so won’t be on the site until I get back late evening.
Jordan, see your 28 pts up 10 days in that’s some going sir well done………… ;)
Friday
shanghai shenxin btts 5/6
Cheers Mr F. Enjoy the golf!
Ta crane, can only go downhill from here haha
Got on Trindidad 4th goal just before those 2 great chances, can’t believe they missed them both! Still looks decent though!
Jordan
On your vela tip,I’ve done him to score 2 or more @ 2/1
Been coming, deserved it really Trinidad didn’t come out in the second half!
Mexico line up https://twitter.com/miseleccionmx
Vela starts upfront with Peralta (Club America) Decent price for him to score too but with the one sided affair it’s likely to be, chances are if there’s a penalty it’ll be Vela taking it.
Might have to delve into the midfield for true value!
Nothing wrong with 5/6 Nick mate.
Vela’s dropped to 1.5 on 365 haha, missed the good odds!
Wincast still 5/6 at Skybet mate.
Only have a 365 and paddy account, can’t find it on here. :/
Doesn’t cost anything to open an account mate. Shop around ;)
Mexico win and over 3.5 goals 5/6 pp
Sorry prob to late for anybody to get on just seen that price and thought it was worth a few bob considering Mexico -3 is 8/13 with pp
Mexico 2-0 and Vela gets it :) 23rd minute.
Knew that vela bet was solid jordan, well done. Just a shame I didn’t have funds in sky bet account. Mexico could get however many they like here, il be happy with just the 5!
Are the other goalscorers your only tip for tomorrow Jordon mate?
Yes Nick but I might not even put a stake on Kamara yet. Cheers Tee. Looking good for your 5 mate. Cover is there. Don’t think I’ll cover my win part of the bet haha
Not going to bother with the cover. Off to bed, fully expect at least 3 more but my own fault if it stays at 4. 24 attempts at goal in the first half ha :) night
Barring a miracale I’m calling it a winner. Mexico 5-0 with 74 minutes played.
Carlos Vela Anytime/Mexico Win @ 5/6 @ Skybet – 3 points **WIN**
Check in later gents.
6-0 75 minutes played. No miracle needed.
Murray or Federer to win 3-2 [ toss up ] 11/2.
Cheers jordan for vela. I actually just threw him in a confident treble with 2 goal bets. 2 points on 9 points return
Stjarnan v valur btts only 1.61 so will wait for value inplay
Lech poznan v legia btts 1.83
Kjelsus of norway also looling at for goals but awaiting goal line. Should appear later in afternoon
Your winning double was shorter than you said. When I went into my local bookies the odds were 4/11 and 1/12. So I don’t know where you got 4/5 from mr tips.
First of two for today 5 pts on each
Bet 7: O2.5mg treble pays 1.01/1
Redlands Utd v western Pride 1015 Queensland Premier
Modbury Jets v Adelaide City 1100 South Australia Premier
Box Hill v Caulfield woman Victoria League One
GL
Tips: 6
Won: 4
Lost: 2
Bank start of week 1: 12
Current stake: 1
Current Profit: 2.71
So the friendlies that Mr F mentioned are reasonably priced. 1/3 and 1/5 for the big sides to win.
Newcastle are 1/4 to beat Gateshead as well. Anybody got any thoughts/info on these friendlies today???
Dom if you can leave them and wait for team news – usually find it on twitter about an hour before kick off …
Thanks for the Mexico wincast Jordan. Was looking for decent odds to bet that game and your post persuaded me.
Thanks clueless. I guess the only downside is that odds drop after lineups revealed.
Didn’t back the super single (double) either as I could only get just over 1/2 and didn’t think the value was there (for me).
Still won tho and profit is profit regardless of the price
Over 1.5 goals treble
Spain/Russia U19
Germany/Holland
Waterford/Finn Harps
1.04/1
July
Bets 9
Wins 5
Loses 4
Friday Treble:
MOLDE
SPAIN U19’s
NEWCASTLE UNITED
1.16/1 William Hill
Mr F posted his SS incorrectly as Zilina was a -1 tip but that was explained in the write up and the price was around 4/5 coupled with Elfsborg to win
CC TREBLE
MURRAY O 3.5 sets
RIJEKA. DNB
FINN HARPS DNB
3 points rtns 6
CC SS
FEDERER
EVENS
2 rtns 4
GL LADS
CC JULY TOTALS
bets. 20
Stake. 41
Rtns. 37.1
profit. – 3.9
In running
FSM v Khimiki
Ov 1.5 fhgls@ 11/8
Ov3.5mgls@ Evs
Seems crazy that Celtic are being made favourites against Real Sociedad tonight. Everything points towards Sociedad winning tonight except the odds. Am I missing something?
Was wondering that myself. Celtics defence is rank and any half decent european team should manage to put a few past them. Sociedads pre season is maybe a bit behind celtics but i’m on O2.5mgls or O1.5 RS tgls.
£100 free bet @PaddyPower
USA -1
Vinking v Aalsunde BTTS
Returns £121 – 7/5+
Gotta laugh at folk, celtica defence is rank but were one of the best in Europe last season wi clean sheets kept, think only brugge had better by 1. Don’t read too much into friendlies folks, only run abouts to get players up to speed for Wednesday but BTTS does look a cert ;)
Lol the only team to be knocked out of the CL twice in one season. Also shipped 3 goals at home to a fairly average Inter side who were found out in the next round.
Going for a over 3.5 sets double in the semis today pays 9/4 on 365
With regards to the Celtic odds, it might have something to do with an article out in Spain that says team are exhausted from intense 3 days of physical training – many missing players also. Not sure if I can post links here but its http://www.mundodeportivo.com/futbol/20150709/20773579533/futbol-real-sociedad.html
Any value on wolves today craigy boy?
It’s a bit of a brass neck for a Rangers fan to comment on conceding goals against European sides when conceding against the likes of Alloa etc. And to call Inter Milan average? Laughable haha
I don’t want to turn this into some footy slagging match and it Doesn’t really matter who i support as i made good observations on celtics defence as thats the match in question. Not seen you comment before pedro but clearly you’re another celtic fan sensetive to your teams failings laid bare on a forum. Me, i know Rangers are rubbish, i’ve had years of it.
Tuesday – Champions League
APOEL Over 1.5 Team Goals – 6:00PM
Ludogorets Over 2.5 Team Goals – 6:45PM
11/8 @ 888 – 4 points
Add Maccabi Tel Aviv Over 2.5 Team Goals for a 17/5 Treble – 1 point – 7:00PM
Wednesday – Champions League – 6:00PM
Malmo Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 94/100 @ 888 – 4 points
> 1.5 MGS Treble
Molde
RoPs
Waterford Utd
1.06/1
Mattr cheers for the overs treble just sneaked it
Cheers mattr
New York City v Toronto O1.5 NYC gls 1.95@Boylesports. Toronto are badly hit by int call ups and injuries while NYC are on form and this is Lampards debut game. NYC win is 2.05
John stick to the chippy cup and we’ll stick to the CL, stats don’t lie last yr celtic had one of the best defences in the league in all of Europe. Inter are hardly average too but you stick sociedad to score 5+, after all there better than dukla Prague eh :)
You just can’t resist trying to turn it into an old firm spat. I suppose Sociedad are not in the same class as Maribor.
Not that I’ll be touching it but any serious punter would see my bet from last night and know that Sociedads main man isn’t even with the team. Anyway, if David Moyes as the manager isn’t enough to put you off then I don’t know what is :)
Yes Jordan, Moyes at the helm does worry me lol.
SATURDAY 08.00
ARMADALE V FLOREAT ATHENA
PERTH SC V COCKBURN CITY
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE DOUBLE 11/10 (LADBROKES)
Nah you’re doing that aw by yourself there, read my 1st reply then your wee digs every comment, obsessed :)
FSM v Khimiki
Ov1.5fhgls@ 11/8 lost
Ov3.5mgls@Evs lost
Apologies
You were the first person to make digs, you’ve embarrassed yourself now.
Liking the looks of Shelbourne, Finn Harps, Molde and Valur Reykjavik tonight.
Test
Ahh, sites being a c*nt so long story short. No other bets today. Will post tomorrows punts either tonight or tomorrow.
You could go and trawl through the 7th of July Top Tips as I posted tomorrows bets there but I’ll try get them up before tomorrows kick offs. Have a good one gents.
Bet 7: O2.5mg treble pays 1.01/1
Redlands Utd v western Pride 1015 Queensland Premier
Modbury Jets v Adelaide City 1100 South Australia Premier
Box Hill v Caulfield woman Victoria League One
*WIN* never in doubt ;-)
Tips: 7
Won: 5
Lost: 2
Bank start of week 1: 12
Current stake: 1
Current Profit: 3.21
All Aussie games O2.5mgs…plus FAC fur Wien to win pays 12.64/1
Port Melbourne U20 v Dandenong Thunder U20
Pascoe Vale U20 v Werribee City U20
Modbury Jets v Adelaide City
Port Melbourne SC v Dandenon Thunder
Pascoe Vale v Werribee City
Box Hill Women v Caulfield Cobras Women
Redlands United v Western Pride FC
SC Retz v FAC Team fur Wien – FAC Team fur Wien to win
*WIN* with only the FAC Team game still to play, cashed out for a nice profit B-)
IN PLAY treble just kicked off…
Ajax v Nordsjaellend – O2.5mgs
PAOK Salonika v Dnipro – O2.5mgs
FC Liefering v Heidenheim – O1.5mgs
Treble pays 2.98/1
2 Points
Noticed that all Aussie games (bar one?) this morning came in O2.5mg, well done Alex.
Thanks Mattr.
I’m not sure what game that one was but it’s the only one I left out of my bet so all good!
I forgot to mention my other Aussie bet;
Doncaster Rovers v Malvern City- Away win
Modbury Jets v Adelaide City – Away win
Pascoe Vale v Werribee City – Home win
Port Melbourne SC v Dandenong Thunder – Home win
Box Hill Women v Caulfield Cobras Women – Home win
Redland United v Western Pride FC – Home win
6 Fold, pays 13.31/1
*WON*
Happy days.
Murray to lose the 1st set and win the match 5/1 @Bet365
Bet 8: Treble pays 0.99/1 (Not all O2.5mg) 5 pts
Kjelsas V Valerenga 2 (Norway 2 1700) O2.5mg
Kivoli Ibris v Nomme Kalju 2 (Estonia Esgilia 1700) 2.5mg
Molde (Norway 1800) O1.5tg
GL
Tips: 7
Won: 5
Lost: 2
Bank start of week 1: 12
Current stake: 1
Current Profit: 3.21
Mattr, which bookie is the Kjelsas v valerenga 2 with? Can’t see it on Bet365. Do you reckon the Newcastle game with Gateshead will go over 2.5?
The Aussie league is a goal mine mate for sure
There were 10 Aussie games today and I think was only the Annerley game didn’t come in…
It sure is… I love it. The only one shocker was that one a few days ago when all game were 2 goals or less (they were all usually high scoring affairs too)
Glad to see back on track.
Yeah I left that Annerley game out, wasn’t at all confident on it.
John is not listed on 365 under Friday matches for some reason but is under the Norway tab mate
As for Newcastle I have no idea. Quite possible I’d guess but I prefer the Ht/Ft market in the friendlies myself.
Ok got it now, cheers Mattr.
Mattr, I am combing your Norway/Estonia leagues treble with 2 U19 games.
adding;
Spain U19 v Russia U19 – O1.5mgs
Germany U19 and Holland U19 – O1.5mgs
The 5 fold pays 3.05/1
2 points
plus a small wager on all the same, but O2.5mgs in the 2 U19 games.
My efforts down under tomorrow:
>2.5 MGS treble
Olympic
SWQ Thunder
Brisbane Knights
>2.5 MGS treble
Armadale
Perth SC
Sutherland Sharks
>2.5 MGS
West Torrens
West Adelaide
> 1.5 MGS Adelaide Raiders
All trebles around evens….
Good luck Alex
I’m only halfway through tomorrow’s Aussie card and got about 8 games through system already WC. Sometimes makes it harder to choose
I’ve had a bit of success with some of these friendlies going on ht/ft results now so I thought I’d share a double for tomorrow.
Bayer leverkusen are playing a fourth regional league tomorrow and are 1.50 to win ht/ft.
Roma are playing a 2nd league hungarian team and are 1.22 to win ht/ft.
The double is a healthy 1.83 or 5/6.
nite owl
mexico u4.5mgs 4/5 LOST
Friday
shanghai shenxin btts 5/6 WON
Strong line up for Molde with Kamara, Elyounouissi and Svendsen starting. 23 goals between those 3 this season.
Kamara was the scorer I fancied strongly and is now 4/5 @ 365, best priced @ 5/6 @ 10Bet
Not on it myself as they may play limited minutes with their Champions League qualifier Tuesday.
IN PLAY treble just kicked off…
Ajax v Nordsjaellend – O2.5mgs
PAOK Salonika v Dnipro – O2.5mgs
FC Liefering v Heidenheim – O1.5mgs
Treble pays 2.98/1
2 Points
**WON**
Nightmare from Kivioli!
Norwegian league is a nightmare.
Bet 8: Treble pays 0.99/1 (Not all O2.5mg) 5 pts
Kjelsas V Valerenga 2 (Norway 2 1700) O2.5mg
Kivoli Ibris v Nomme Kalju 2 (Estonia Esgilia 1700) 2.5mg
Molde (Norway 1800) O1.5tg
*LOST* sorry guys bad shout on Estonia game. My bad really.
Tips: 8
Won: 5
Lost: 3
Bank start of week 1: 12
Current stake: 1
Current Profit: 2.71
CC TREBLE
MURRAY O 3.5 sets
RIJEKA. DNB
FINN HARPS DNB
3 points rtns 6
LOST
CC SS
FEDERER
EVENS
2 rtns 4
GL LADS
“””WON””
CC JULY TOTALS
bets. 22
Stake. 46
Rtns. 41.1
profit. – 4.9
These friendlies are a nightmare so many 0-0
Burnley over 2.5 TG
Bristol City over 1.5 TG
Double
1.47/1
—————————–
Bristol City over 2.5 TG
6/4
tonites bets
stjarnan btts&overs 4/5
cabinteely btts&overs 23/20
double 3/1
friendly goals treble
Harrogate, Congleton, Gateshead o2.5mgs 17/10
fancy a few goals in paisley at the celtic game but no markets up yet I fancy
GL all with a bet on……………
Can anyone exlpain how ajax have/are playing back to back games today?
a and a b team I’d suggest dom
Explains why i lost money on the first bet
#BristolCity v Bath City: Fielding, Ayling, Flint, Williams, Harper, Smith, Pack, Freeman, Bryan, Reid, Wilbraham.
Starting almost our strongest side, already 1-0!
Jimmy Murray who played for the Hearts between 1952 and 1961 has passed away. He scored 81 goals in 143 appearances for the club. Jimmy scored Scotlands first ever goal in the World Cup Finals. RIP
Cabinteely v shelbourne
Btts evens
I’m hoping the ghost of harpeet helps with this one
Correct score 1-3 maybe
Small change on for interest on a poor card
Gone 3-1 down to the bookies, but still in a position to fancy some big boy bets and this one is no different.
Cabinteely vs Shelbourne at 7.45pm in the Irish first division looks scrumptious.
On the face of it, Shelbourne should win (8/13 bet way), and have done so H2H home and away winning a measly 1-0 each time. But recently, they’ve been leaking goals and an injury to their defender Simon Dixon, doesnt help. They’ve conceded to a couple of decent teams, but in total they’ve leaked 6 goals in their last 3 aways. Injury to one of their top strikers, Mark Sandford also rules him out this match.
The Cabo’s have got off to a poor start, as would be expected froom any promoted team, but they’re beginning to find their feet it seems. They were desperately unlucky not to get something more from their home games against Cobh Ramblers and high flying Wexford by conceding injury time heart breakers in both matches. Sandwiched in the middle was a formidable 2-0 win over Athlone.
The Cabo’s have mustered 2 goals in their last 3 home games which would shock anyone given their poor performances and I’m tipping them to do the same tonight.
Both teams have seen a goal fest in recent games, and bookies agree BTTS looks good (8/9 888 Sport).
Ger Pander is a blow for the Cabo’s, one of their top strikers has left for Drogheda this week, but that leaves joint top striker, John Mckeown to bag the goals. Sodiq Oguntola and Shane O’Neill have been in fine form too, scoring 2 in their last 3 home games each.
An additional market that looks equally meaty is Cabinteely +1. They’ve only let punters down once in their 8 home games they’ve played so far including against bad boys Wexford (2-3) and Finn Harps (1-1) and although opposition is also a factor, The Shel’s have not won by 2 clear goals on their travels this season.
Cabinteely vs Shelbourne – Cabinteely to score 2+ 10/3 @Coral
Cabinteely vs Shelbourne – Cabinteely +1 6/4 @Coral.
@ Cor.al
nice tipping today mr f… combined RoPS dnb with Federer to win for a good profit
> 1.5 MGS Treble
Molde
RoPs
Waterford Utd
1.06/1
LOST :(
Molde absolute pants ……
inplay celtic o2.5mgs 4/5
inplay celtic o2.5mgs 4/5
Over 1.5 goals treble
Spain/Russia U19
Germany/Holland
Waterford/Finn Harps
1.04/1
LOSE
July
Bets 10
Wins 5
Loses 5
Early one tomorrow morning from Australia.
Bet 9: Treble pays 1.81/1
Metro stars v south Adelaide (South aus prem 0630)
West Adelaide v Para Hill (South aus prem 0630)
Olymic v Brisbane City (Queensland Prem 0800)
GL
Tips: 8
Won: 5
Lost: 3
Bank start of week 1: 12
Current stake: 1
Current Profit: 2.71
Mattr, what is your bet on those games in OZ?
Lech poznan v legia bttswon
Stjarnan c valur now at 1.80 for btts mentioned earlier today and now decent odds
O2.5mg KJ
Cheers
Nice call on Stjarnan btts Hampy, got 10/11 in play a few mins before the first goal
Stjarnan v valur btts won
No probs yesevil
Any thoughts on usa later lads. Thinking -2 handicap
Hampy I’m on -1 but boosted odds to 7/5 adding in Viking Aalsunde game BTTS tomorrow, both look nailed in and will watch the game on my phone. Fancy USA to get 3 maybe 4 tho
Alves, the Viking game is one I’ve picked out for overs and agree with the USA bet – they should win well but I’m too tired tonight to look at anything properly. Going to have a couple of beers, walk the dug then hit the sack.
Cheers alves much appreciated
USA and btts no is 4/6
Dont know much about Haiti, looking at previous fixtures between the two they seem capable of goals but with the form that USA have been in lately I’m willing to take the chance they will keep Haiti at bay.
So Celtics defence is rank, clean sheet 2/3 and a win :)
Alves, I haven’t seen any of the games but you can’t ignore the fact they conceded 5 in the other. Anyway these friendlies don’t matter – it’s how they play next week that counts.
As Jordan noted Real Soc main striker was missing and Real Soc are not exactly Maribor or Dukla eh? ;)
Exactly my plan, up early and got 15 can before backshift, nightmare finishing at 10 cos no carry out shops open
No bother Hampy, here’s hoping :)
tonites bets
stjarnan btts&overs 4/5 WON
cabinteely btts&overs 23/20 LOST
double 3/1 LOST
friendly goals treble
Harrogate, Congleton, Gateshead o2.5mgs 17/10 LOST
fancy a few goals in paisley at the celtic game but no markets up yet I fancy
inplay celtic o2.5mgs 4/5 LOST
absolute rotten fancied all bets tonite too and doubled up daily stake, got a couple of covers in to minimise total damage………..
21.4pts out, returned 9.8 fekn bookie bassas………….. ONWARDS
Torres on the bench for Panama again!
craig tbh a thought use would ship a few tonite am in the crown bar in paisley atm an a good few boys in were at the game says defence looked good…………….
hampy any thoughts on mls san jose earthquake vs houston dinamo.
Crane I said to Jordan after he asked about st jarnan scoring to keep an eye on the sociedad game on Wednesday, can tell ronny wasn’t happy after conceding 5 but CL here we come ;)
Hopefully we get maribor again in the 3rd round John, remember we were in transition after King Lenny stood down and he shaped up quite well after last than 6 months, nowbtge hard work begins for CL. Less than a yr is alot better than 3 yr and still on going :)
Wow! Die Bild reporting that Schweinsteiger has signed for Man Utd! What a capture if he has. Would die bild jump the gun?