JORDAN’S got tips for Saturday, Sunday and Monday from Sweden, America and China so let’s hope for a few winner.
He says: Not much action from me over the past week but with the last weekend card of the month it’s my last chance to try to slim down July’s losses or even try to come out in the green.
Write-ups for these bets are difficult and although there are probably websites to see what time teams score/concede their first goal I judge it down to how bad I think the opposition’s defence is and more often than not it’s pure luck if they score before their time. But I’ll do my best with reasoning.
First bet takes us where I last left you – China. In fact, I’ll be opposing the side that let us down last week. Shandong Luneng travel to Yanbian where they face the in-form team of the Super League.
Yanbian might not have the names like Shandong Luneng but are a well drilled side, particularly at home where they have beaten the likes of Jiangsu and Shanghai Shenua.
Shandong as mentioned have the attack to put multiple goals past anyone on any given day but it has been their defence that has got them into trouble this season and it’s a big reason they are only just out of the relegation places.
They have the worst away record in the league with five losses in eight on the road. Yanbian haven’t failed to score at home all season and even got a goal in the reverse fixture in Shandong. I think they could cause Luneng a few problems and their goal time is a reasonable one at 55 minutes.
Second bet takes us to Sweden where two of the bottom feeders go head to head in what could be a big three points come the end of the season.
Basement boys Gefle host Hammarby which features two of the worst defences in the Allsvenskan. Only one clean sheet in a combined 30 games between the two sides so hopefully goals are on the cards.
Take Gelfe out the equation and Hammarby are the worst side away from home with six losses out of seven. Don’t let stats fool you though as their only “away” win actually came on their own home turf which is shared with Djurgarden.
Gefle are inconsistent but on their day they can grab a goal or two (or four) which was the case in their last home game against Kalmar. They have scored at home against much better sides than Hammarby and although I expect BTTS I think their goal time at 52mins offers value.
On to Sunday and I’m staying in Sweden where Falkenbergs travel to Stockholm. The away side are a big price considering AIK have it all to play for at home against Panathinaikos on Thursday where they currently trail 1-0.
Falkenbergs have scored in their last two trips to Stockholm and in five of their seven games on the road this season. Focus may be elsewhere for the home side who have struggled scoring against better teams since Carlos Strandberg’s loan ended. More of a gut feeling then a stat-driven tip so stakes smaller here.
Helsingborg will be sick of seeing Hacken again after losing 2-0 to them at home last Sunday despite multiple wasted efforts at goal. Henrik Larssons’ men will be eager to get the three points on the road with the return of his son Jordan who he has not let go to the Olympics. Joys of having your dad as your manager!
Helsingborg haven’t failed to score in Hacken in their last seven trips and with Hacken failing to keep a clean sheet at home this season Larsson’s side should score before their goal time.
I’m not going to put reasoning for the MLS bets but you get the idea. The research goes in and most of the MLS fixtures this weekend are Conference ties so not too much traveling involved for away sides. The only big journey is the Revs going down to Orlando but no time zones are crossed. The Revs have scored in the first half against Orlando in all four head to heads, two of those in Orlando.
Chinese Super League – 8.30am
Yanbian Fude – goal before 55mins (5-6, bet3.6pts
Swedish Allsvenskan – 3pm
Gefle – goal before 52mins (5-6, bet– 3.6 points
Swedish Allsvenskan – 4.30pm
Helsingborg – goal before 64mins (5-6, bet– 4.8 points
Falkenbergs – goal before 79mins (1-1, bet– 2 points
LA Galaxy – goal before 53mins (5-6, bet– 4.8 points
Montreal Impact – goal before 58mins (5-6, bet– 3.6 points
NYRB first-half goal (9-10,– 2.5 points
Columbus Crew – goal before 63mins (5-6, bet– 3.6 points
New England Revolution – goal before 53mins (5-6, bet– 3.6 points
Points Staked 80.1
Points Returned 67.95