TODAY I’m launching a bank builder v long shot trial and one of the main reasons is because of the variety of punters coming to this site.
I’ve said before it’s difficult for me to keep everyone happy. I’m reluctant to put up too many tips – and sometimes I believe I do – but there’s so much football to bet on and with hundreds of thousands of visits to the site on Saturdays and Sundays it’s impossible to put up lines for all.
As regulars will know I believe the best policy is to go for singles, doubles and trebles but I appreciate that doesn’t suit some punters who play for low stakes and for fun.
I will continue to put up bets such as the Super Single, Daily Double and Top Treble because for me the odds always reflect your chances of winning. An even-money Super Single for example has a 50-50 chance of coming while you will land a 10-1 shot one attempt in 11 theoretically.
At the weekend I bumped into a punter in the bookies with whom I’ve had some dealings with the past – for the purpose off this experiment let’s call him Lee.
He always claimed to be a big hitter placing large stakes on short odds but told me he’d now completely changed tact and only placed bets of £40-£50 on “long shots”. A long shot being an accumulator paying at least 10-1 but preferably nearer 20-1.
Lee (not his real name of course) insisted he was £2500 up since adopting this policy in November. I rubbished his tactics and challenged him to prove he could succeed and so we came up with the Bank Builder v Long Shot Experiment.
I hope to prove backing a team or teams at short prices and building your betting pot slowly is better than taking massive risks. Every day I’ll put up an odds-on bank builder and Lee will give me his long shot line.
I’ll give brief reasoning for mine but there will be none for his because I’m not advising you follow him. He’ll be backing his selections but they are not tips I recommend backing due to the prices – and remember this is just an experiment. How long it will last I don’t know – but we’re both starting with 20pts (for me that’s £200).
I will risk no more than 10pts a day and he plans to put on between 0.5pts and 2pts – and I expect him to run dry before me although I truly hope he proves me wrong.
This thread can also be the place for anyone to post their own challenges which are becoming invreasingly popular.
Tomorrow I’ll be giving away £20 of betting vouchers (UK only) to one person who can predict a winner bigger than Lee’s so look out for that.
Here are the day one bets – and mine is a safer version of the Super Single. Starting bank 20pts.
Mr Fixit’s Bank Builder
Napoli draw no bet (8pm)
Benfica draw no bet (8pm)
7pts at 1-3 (bet365)
Lee’s Long Shot
Napoli to score 3+
Benfica to score both halves
1pt at 10.3-1 (Skybet)
And for anyone who heard about the punter who was waiting on a Bolton win and btts at Liverpool on Saturday night for a £1m win on Betfair here’s the £10 line that nearly made him a legend. He was offered £15k cashout but didn’t take it and in the end Betfair kindly gave him four £1000 free bets and trip to the FA Cup Final.
£10 to £1m Challenge
Manchester City v Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough win 1k2-1
Cardiff v Reading
Reading win and btts 4-1
Spurs v Leicester
Leicester win and btts 11-2
Southampton v Crystal Palace
Palace win and btts 11-1
Liverpool v Bolton
Bolton win and btts 20-1
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