THE Super Single losses have been wiped out and we’re back in profit – but it could have been better.
With team news the key I put up Dover early as a three-pointer and left room for Chelsea or Lyon later.
I added Chelsea as two-pointer so it was one winner and one loser – and I’m now showing a small profit for the year. And remember that figure would much better if I took into account Super Singles I covered.
It’s good to see more people looking at the options and with Dover the time to cover was at 2-0 and not 1-0 – and that’s another thing people need to learn. Don’t cover too early as it will cost you too much.
Luckily I never saw Lyon’s team before they went down 3-2 at Nantes so I couldn’t tip them but I did advise backing Alexandre Lacazette to score first if he started and he did – as did Billy Mckay for Inverness so it was a good night on the first scorers.
My Top Treble flopped and a late missed penalty by Bournemouth at Leeds beat my 18-1 both to score fourfold but anyone doing the advised trebles made a 2-1 profit.
I decided early on Wednesday’s Super Single and comments from Johnb and others have convinced me I’m right to go with Burkina Faso to beat hosts Equatorial Guinea, who were drafted in late when when they stepped in as hosts instead of Morocco, in the African Nations Cup. Raaljaca I see has since gone against me by tipping EG not to lose – so you have to decide who to side with.
I understand his thinking in that Equatorial Guinea have to go for it because they’re out if they lose – but it’s the same for Burkina Faso who are a much higher-ranked side. Maybe best bet would be both to score – but I’m comfortable with my Super Single choice.
Burkina Faso lost their opener 2-0 to Gabon but by all accounts played well and missed a host of chances – they had 21 shots on goal. One of the sinners was Johnb’s tip for tournament top scorer Jonathan Pitroipa and I’m taking a chance on him to score first at 6-1 with bet365. They and Gabon are the two best sides in the group so Burkina Faso will expect to progress with victories in their final two group games.
They are nicely priced at 21-20 with plenty of firms including William Hill, Betfred and Paddy Power and I wouldn’t be surprised if this dropped.
Every game but Burkina Faso’s opener has saw both teams score and with the hosts having to go for victory too this has a chance of coming in again and pays 6-5 at Coral.
Spurs are a short price 4-11 to carve out a first-leg advantage in their Capital One Cup semi-final against League One giantkillers Sheffield United and I’m sure they’ll play their strongest side. Harry Kane looks a decent shout to break the deadlock at 7-2 with Betfred and McBookie.
In the Championship it’s Brighton v Ipswich and Fulham v Nottingham Forest – and neither are easy to call. Ipswich are in good form and will fancy their chances while Forest must have had a lift from their shock defeat of Derby on Saturday.
I’ve posted a separate preview plus stats on the four Scottish Premiership games and having checked team news my Top Treble is Spurs, Villarreal and Barcelona.
It’s Barcelona v Atletico Madrid in the Spanish Cup with the home win just 1-2 while Villarreal are 4-11 to beat Getafe. Reports say Barca will go full strength and having defeated Atletico 3-1 at home in the league last week I’m backing them to edge this first-leg tie.
Villarreal are always strong at home, having netted in every fame at El Madrigal since last March, and this is a trophy they’ll believe they can win. Getafe lost 2-1 there in the league but overall have a good record at the stadium.
Kane and Virgil van Dijk I’ve mentioned as possible first scorers – I may add Lionel Messi, who hit a hat-trick at Deportivo at the weekend, for a small Trixie.
People have been asking me to put some long shots so I’ve added one for small stakes – Dundee Utd are one side I’ve left out today and my thinking is the same that stopped me backing Bourenmouth at Leeds.
United are odds on at St Mirren and I’m always reluctant about taking teams under evens away especially in midweek. Saints have tkane just one point at home all season but are improving under Gary Teale having won two of their last three away and new striker Yoann Arquin is available after the club appealed his red card at Ross County at the weekend.
5pts Super Single
Burkina Faso (4pm)
(21-20, William Hill and others)
3pts Top Treble
Low-stake long shot
Burkina Faso (4pm)
Celtic -2 (7.45pm)
Perm any 4 and all 5 (6 bets)
Fivefold pays 46-1, Paddy Power
Super Single 2015 record: 19 bets
(7 winners, 9 losers, 3 void)
And don’t forget to check out our friends at Welovebetting for more tips and video chat. These guys are getting more popular by the week so check out their incisive and sometimes witty thoughts.