FIRSTLY apologies for not putting up a new thread yesterday – like thousands of others I was too busy beating the bookies.
Every W-D-W bet I put up on the site as well as all of my W-D-W and handicap bets won and it was a repeat of the Boxing Day battering bookies suffered.
Today’s back page of the Racing Post is a classic – illustrated by a load of big winning lines – and supported by quotes from greetin-faced firms. Only Man City’s defeat at home to Arsenal saved them from total carnage – and in fact I believe one director of a major bookie almost traded in his Bentley for a Porsche.
Days like Boxing Day and Sunday are rare though so let’s not feel too sorry for them. It was all the favourites winning that cost them and while I sometimes touch on the big guns my belief is a blind man can win money just by lumping shorties together and for a site like this I don’t need to tell you to bet on the likes of Real Madrid, Barcelona, Atletico Madrid, Juventus and Benfica at 1-4 and 1-5.
In my experience when you put seven, eight or nine favourites all together on a line one team invariably lets you down. However, I’m happy to pick six or seven shorties at the weekend and advise the best price and let’s see where we go from there – that won’t be reasoned or researched.
As well as hundreds of comments every day on the site we also receive hundreds of emails and a recurring theme is people complaining my Top Trebles are too short. I don’t agree because they’re one of my main bets and come in regularly. For me profit is profit and I’m trying to give myself the best opportunity.
People need to understand odds reflect the chances of a line coming up and while I could do bigger prices they’ll come in less often and you know what will happen then. It takes just one or two wins a year at big prices to turn a profit but plenty of visitors expect me to put up winners every day, hence the prices.
I’m not against putting up a long shot now and again and advising it to be taken for small stakes and I’d be interested to hear thoughts on this.
Meanwhile, this thread is for football chat – not tips. So if you want to talk about Dave King, John McGlynn or Hearts (that’s you raaljaca) but not the price of gas (punting for fun) this is the place to come. Keep it clean and don’t be bigoted or racist.
There were about 25 comments left on the previous chat thread – and dozens more on the tips thread. This is an experiment to see if this thread is needed – but will be stopped soon if not used.