RONNIE O'SULLIVAN romped into the Masters semi-finals yesterday and is now down to 5-6 with Coral for the title.
I recommended the Rocket in the first four frames market at 3-4 and he did the job with a 6-1 thrashing of Marco Fu. Neil Robertson thumped Ali Carter by the same scoreline and today it's the remaining quarter-finals.
Shaun Murphy is chalked up as 3-4 favourite when he takes on Scotland's Stephen Maguire (6-5, totesport) while Mark Allen is 1-2 with Betfred in the earlier clash against Joe Perry
(15-8, Stan James).
There's also ODI cricket action today as South Africa host India in the first ODI. The South Africans are 2-5 at Boylesports and the Windies 12-5 underdogs with William Hill.
The Abu Dhabi Championship golf continues in the early hours of Friday with one of Ace Venturer's tips, Branden Grace, two off the lead after round one and there's also tennis from Down Under as well as the usual NBA and NHL action.
Post your sporting tips and chat here.
Dont know if any of these have been mentioned yet but 3 tips here for the Africa Cup of Nations
2 of these tips are the same as the 2013 tournament where i got a return on both
also my NAP for the tournament is 40/1
AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS
to win tournament
BURKINA FASO 20/1 e/w Bet365 Paddy Power
GABON 25/1 e/w Paddy Power Boylesports
My 40/1 tournament NAP
Top Goalscorer
JONATHAN PITROIPA 40/1 e/w NAP Bet365
Bet365 go 4 places at 1/4 odds, now that must be massive for a player who scored 5 goals in 6 qualifying games when his team scored a total 8 goals
he got player of the tournament in 2013 & scored 2 goals & i can see him atleast doubling that this time in what is an easy group for Burkina Faso & Gabon because i see EQUATORIAL GUINEA & CONGO as the tournaments weakest teams
Early outright women’s Austalian open ‘tip’:
Bacsinszky to win @ 500/1 with BetVictor.
You heard it here first ;)
Just putting up the weekends NFL bets for the AFC and NFC Championship games. The tickets to the Superbowl. Will post reasoning for bets over the weekend but just getting the picks up early in case any spreads/totals change.
Main Bet
Seattle Seahawks -1
New England Patriots -2
@ 0.95/1 @ WillHill
Main Prop
Russel Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) over 218.5 passing yards @ 5/6 @ PP (Subject to change due to total adjustments/prices at other bookies)
Smaller Prop Bets (25% Stake)
Luke Willson (Seattle Seahawks) Anytime TD @ 5/2
Luke Willson (Seattle Seahawks) over 32.5 receiving yards @ 5/6 @ PP (Also subject to change)
Daniel Herron (Indianapolis Colts) Anytime TD @ 11/8 @ WillHill
Daniel Herron (Indianapolis Colts) over 64.5 rushing yards @ 5/6 @ PP (Also subject to change)
Get in there Cavs! Cavs -6.5 @ $1.92 lands with a scored free throw right on the buzzer. They won by 7. Close stuff!
Had a good night with Bucks & Cavs games.. Couple of last second 3 pointers in the OKC game killed the under bet by 3 points…heart breaking.
Oh well, onto tomorrow :-)
mate what a blow that rockets game , 9 point last minute , gutted !!
I know mate, was a killer. What was the point anyways, the game was already decided like!
Simon Wright
8 hrs, 9 mins ago
NHL overnight
Tampa & St Louis O4.5 double
WINNER
Early AUSSIE basketball & football Treble/Trixie:
– Townsville Crocodiles ML (NBL)
– Perth Wildcats +5.5 (NBL)
– Japan WIN (Asian Cup)
Treble pays $2.62 but I’ve put 5 points on a TRIXIE at odds of $2.10 (half stake to be returned if 1 leg fails).
GL!
Ad BET365 dont have Bacsinszky even listed. would you know why is she playing or just not fancied. thanks in advance
Hudmy, she is now listed on bet365, I don’t know about before. Her odds are 250/1. The main reason I “tipped” her above is because 500/1 is an huge price for someone of her ability and with her ability to improve. If her best price had been 250/1 I’m not sure I would have suggested her though.
@Simon Wright – good stuff with the NHL overs bets! Havnt followed yet cos wanted to see how your first few went but you seem on the money so I’m going to follow the NHL goals doubles going forward. NHL plays during my workday in Australia so I’ve been getting into it a bit lately.
atilla
Perth are 1/6 ML
I take it you mean -5.5
Sorry Brian, yeah I meant -5.5.
super single record stands at 7 from 8 , not too shabby..
tonights choice is from one of the following , kept simple as we all get in now…
orlando with the poits
spurs to cover
hawks with the points
sacramento kings ml
timberwolves with the points
pelicans to cover
Bet 365 yet to put up the spread so will pick my super single from above list when they do.
BY THE WAY ITS BEEN MENTIONED PICKING A SINGLE IS EASY , MY RECORD SUGGESTS IT IS !!! I POSTMAN , THIS GUYS A PRO
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/nba-basketball/free-picks/thursday-night-s-nba-predictions-two-pick-combinations-a-53322/
1 FROM 4 …. EASY IN IT !!!!
P.S wish you could edit your posts on here , spelling worse than my NBA knowledge for sure…
Huggy – havnt checked the games yet but ill post my thoughts after I check em out. I’m thinking Hawks straight away cos they’re red hot atm.
A bit of a mixed day from me yesterday after a cracking Wendesday.
Djere beat Sella easily @ 21/10 and Vesely v Anderson went over 21.1 games @ 8/11.
I nearly landed a 5.25 treble but Pavlasek went down 14 games to 12 in the fifth set having saved numerous match point and then served for it himself. So i had to settle for the safer double of Jenkins and Kuznetsov @ 2.72.
Perreira narrowly lost in three sets and had she won it would’ve been another cracking day’s work. Still, there was some profit overall and that’s never a bad thing.
On to today and my main focus will be on picking my way through the Australian open draws.
A little Challenger double to keep the afternoon interesting:
Rufin d Ouahab (12:30)
Marti d Djere (11:00)
both matches are in Casablanca and the double pays evens.
I also like Heather Watson’s chances of lifting the title in Hobart by beating Madison Brengle @ 8/11.
Brengle has played 7 matches, 17 sets and nearly 10 hours of tennis over the last 7 days.
Watson has played 4 matches, 8 sets and just under 5 and a half hours of tennis in that time.
Add to that the fact that Watson is a better player and more experienced at this level and it’s pretty hard to make a case for her opponent here.
Kvitova just won 7-6, 7-6 to lift the Sydney trophy so I hope someone else out there was on her @ 5/1. A tight final but an easy weeks work for her all in all.
Attila
Done them straight on ML as only had a minute.
Slightly over evens for the treble
Japan leg up
Cheers
Ad 250-1 is still huge though is it not and you must feel she has a chance of reaching quarter finals or semis do you get offered cash out on a outright winner at any stage do you know. Thanks for your time dude
No worries Brian. Townsville just came back with 3 points…will be nail biting finish. Apologies now if they don’t win, Sydney havnt beaten them in last 5 h2h’s and lost the last 5 straight games on the road so that was my reasoning there
I know Atilla I thought they were good for it too,
Must have been the weight of my £50 on them lol !!
Try find a Evens pick before Huggybears NBA pick later on
cheers brian , no pressue then lol..
Madison Brengel 8/13 (Hobart women’s tennis)
Ajax 1/4 (Holland Soccer)
Evens double hopefully all good and don’t need bailed out by Huggybear later lol !
Brian- did youesn to tip Watson? Watson is 8/13
Brian- did you mean to tip Watson? Watson is 8/13
Though she was 8/11 when I backed her ;)
My projected paths to the Australian Open title for the top 8.
Djokovic: Qualifier > Ramos > Verdasco > Isner > Raonic > Nishikori > Federer
Raonic: Qualifier > Young > Benneteau > Monfils > Djokovic > Nishikori > Federer
Wawrinka: Ilhan > Andujar > Nieminen > Pospisil > Ferrer > Nishikori > Federer
Nishikori: Almagro > Dodig >Johnson > Ferrer > Wawrinka > Djokovic > Federer
Berdych: Falla > Estrella-Burgos > Vesely > Tomic > Nadal > Federer > Djokovic
Nadal: Youzhny > Saville > Rosol > Anderson > Berdych > Federer > Djokovic
Murray: Qualifier > Matosevic > Goffin > Dimitrov > Federer > Nadal > Djokovic
Federer: Lu > Bolelli > Chardy > Karlovic > Murray > Nadal > Djokovic
Ad hope you’re right about Heather. One of Guernsey’s top sports personalities. Not bad for a population of 60,000!
Haha, she’ll do you proud mate. Else I’m going to be giving Guernsey a wide berth for a good few years!
I’m liking that GSW ML price boys. Bookies obviously didn’t see the Houston game last night. OKC were ripped apart from downtown. Steph Curry will go off!
Spread is only at -2. GSW were already in Oklahoma last night waiting for OKC to come home from Houston. Be interesting to see what the Huggy NAP is.
Jordan the only thing putting me off here is the h2h in Oklahoma 1 from 5 , but they are on fire , and the low spread of two`s is something you wont get to often with gs games.
They are definitely a class above.
I’ve just looked at that Huggy and agree it’s a worry but if form is anything to go by then -2 isn’t bad. Might look at Steph Curry’s points total. Was gutted last night. Kobe’s assists were only 6.5, only got 17, a career high for the Mamba haha
Hudmy- I actually don’t expext her to get to the quarter finals. She is in Serenas quarter! It’s an absolutely long shot as 500/1 suggests, she’s just a player I really like and who I think is worth riskig a couple of quid at huge odds. Her opening match is against Jankovic which she will be underdog for and she could face Muguruza in the third round, but she’s capable of winning both of those in my opinion and If that happens then who knows?! Im not going to worry about cash out, just let it ride for the thrill of it. If she does end up making it really deep then I will look into covering. Some bookies offer cashout on outright winners but they don’t always let you do it in my experience. Betfair exchange does but because this is an australian event im not sure cashout works as you need to transfer funds to their australian wallet and that seems to put s spanner in the works for some reason.
bet 365 really slow placing the handicaps , check again later..
gone with the masses in the hearts game , waiting for another dumbarton outcome with my footy luck.
jordan could be a good night for the points early thoughts are with the big scorers against poor defensive sides.
pelicans ( might look at the davis points here )
dallas
Huggy do you mean team points or player points?
player points last time they set davis at 18 , that was just taking the p…. he ended up on 27 points
only problem is how much game time will he get if they pull away , might sit the 4th..
My projected paths to the title for the top 8
Serena: Van Uytvanck > Zvonareva > Svitolina > Muguruza > Wozniaki > Kvitova > Sharapova
Wozniaki: Townsend > Azarenka > Zahlavova Strycova > Cilulkova > Serena > Kvitova >
Sharapova
Kvitova: Qualifier > Barthel > Keys > Vandeweghe > Radwanska > Serena > Sharapova
Radwanska: Nara > Kudryatseva, Tomljanovic, Venus, Kvitova, Serena, Sharapova
Ivanovic: Qualifier > Hercog > Goerges > Pliskova > Halep > Sharapova > Serena
Halep > Knapp > Gajdasova > Lisicki > Pavlyuchenkova > Ivanovic > Sharapova > Serena
Bouchard > Friedsam > Gavrilova > Kuznetsova > Kerber > Sharapova > Ivanovic > Serena
Sharapova > qualifier > Cirstea > Diyas > Safarova > Kerber > Halep > Serena
Sorry, Bouchard I have playing Halep, not Ivanovic, If she makes it that far ( which I don’t think she will!)
Kubot d Gonzales
Tatishvili d Piter
Double Pays 2.2
Should be solid
yes Ad, Watson sorry
Aye she’s now 8/13 but that’s SKYBET, their prices are always lower !
No, no pressure Huggybear lol !
thanks for the winning tips simon and huggy last night , ul futhermore att and quinn , hope someone followed mine i got another winner again anyway lets get some winners tonight gl
(repost)next weeks huge boxing match preview:
bermaine stirverne v deontay wilder
Biggest heavyweight fight in a decade as the undefeated wilder is america’s big hope to become heavyweight champ, the Olympic bronze medalist has a record of 32 fights and 32 ko’s, never gone past 4 rounds, is fighting the champ stirverne who won the title knocking out tough chris arrerola.
Stirverne is a boxer/puncher with KO power himself, his record shows a KO loss which is misleading, ive watched the fight and its a terrible stoppage, stirverne was not hurt and was firing back at the time it was stopped.
The main problem with wilder is although he has reach and height advantage and his power is very real, he doesnt have the technical skills stirverne has.
and the biggest one for me is his record, which is very misleading, he has fought taxi drivers and tomatoe cans, the only legit boxer he fought was malik scott who, most boxing fans agree most probobly took a dive against wilder with the first punch of the round ( which didnt even connect) the fact he and wilder are close friends is even more suspicious.
Also i have seen amaeteur fights of wilder where hes been knocked down by nobodies, all this leads me to believe that wilder will be knocked out, even though everything on paper says wilder by KO…
Stirverne loves to counter and will connect as wilder is throwing those winging punches, and those thin legs wont hold up that massive frame.
One thing is for absolutely certain, this fight is not going 12 rounds.
Stirverne KO 15/8
Stirverne to win 11/8
under 7.5 rounds 2/5
Stirverne to win in 4-6 17/2
tonight is willie monroe jr v brian vera on espn fridaynightfights.
brian vera on paper appears to be a journeyman, its been close to a decade since he got his career best win against current champion andy lee, though he’s only lost to high level opposition, hes still tough/skilled boxer.
willie monroe is the young favourite he has 1 loss on his record, agaisnt a journeyman.. he’s still the faveourite and has good speed/skills.
this has monroe points written all over it, since there isnt odds for that im taking a gamble with the old dog:
brian vera 3/1
over 9.5 rounds 2/7 (good for acca’s)
Sa v west indies
PRedicted 280 to 310 runs
Sa currently 279 with 10 balls to bat but its raining
WHat happens if match restarts n overs are lost?
Why couldnt they just get 1 stupid run
THeyv lost 5 men in last 30 runs
WHat a collapse
TONIGHT’S SUPER SINGLE
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS – 2.5 AGAINST OKC T
good luck as always guys !!!!
also think hawks should beat raptors , spurs cover as will Sacramento but these are for my interest ….
NBA Alternative Team Points Double
Golden State Warriors over 101.5
New Orleans Pelicans over 93.5
@ 7/10 @ Skybet
I accidentally posted kubot d gonzales earlier. I meant Kubot d Marchenko.
Kubot d marchenko
Bambri d Buchannan
2.2 with Boylesports
Just sticking with a series of smallish doubles like this till we hit the big time on Sunday night with the first Aus open matches
wow GSW only -1.5 seems like a gift!
I like the look of the Wizards to cover the -10 but 10 points is a lot but the nets are bad.
My lakers under bet didn’t come I’m on Golden state tonight.
Good luck everyone
Sunday NFL Packers @ Seahawks
Im hoping for a good close game, but if the seattle D get a few quick hits on Rodgers early, i reckon it cud be curtains!! My early bet is Beast Mode to get over 88.5yrds rushing against a weakish run defense. Murray ran for 123yrds against them & i reckon Beast Mode will break tackles for a few nice runs.
Going to start trickling 1st round Australian open value picks in :
Alejandro Gonzalez d Fabio Fognini @ 16/5
Gonzalez is no world beater but he is a handy enough player. If Fabio turns up to compete and win then this should be a fairly comfortable days work. But that is never a given with him. He’s played 4 lost 4 this year so he has no form to draw on, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him crash and burn again. One for smallish stakes as he will win this if he wants it enough, but one I can’t leave alone all the same.
NBA GAME PLAN:
SS/NAP: Warriors -1.5 @ $1.92 (5 pts)
EARLY DOUBLE: Pistons -1.5, Bulls -5.0 @ $3.69 (2.5 pts)
LATE DOUBLE: Suns -13.5, Clippers -8.0 @ $3.69 (2.5 pts)
I’ve taken Huggy’s NAP as I also agree the -1.5 is tiny for the ATS specialists bring GS Warriors.
As for the early Double, I’m sticking with the Pistons run and will treat their last round loss as a forgive. 8 wins from last 10 games still impresses me & against Pacers side who aren’t performing well at all, inc again the line of -1.5 seems too low. Struggling Bulls should easily take care of Celtics who have traded even more players away & are tanking the rest of the season in preparation for the lottery.
The late Double, well, same again.. Timberwolves tanking the season away. They are rubbish on the road and Suns are red hot at home..I see a blowout win for Phoenix. Also, Clippers at home against a tired & banged up Cavs side will easily do it. Yes Cavs won yesterday, but that was against the lowly Lakers. Clippers is a different class + Clippers are rested.
Note: I’ve placed the SS & Early Double, but lines are dropping for Clips & Suns so will hold off and place later as less points are a gift here (suns already gone from (-14.5 to -13.5 & I expect Clips line to drop by at least 1 point too).
GL all!
Will be on ur tips @attila @huggybear… Was extremely tired yesterday so missed out on the 2 of 3 bets won… Still have a ton of work too do, so used my 5min break too see wats happening here.. Cheers u guys !!
Attila the pistons are gone +1
something in the team news for the line move?
Simon were are u nhl tips tonight my friend ??
David Mc – just had a look at the games and there are none this evening that meet the criteria so nothing this evening, sorry fella
Not a problem brother I will keep my money till nxt ones mate :)
@Atilla – thanks dude. Only a few games this evening and I’ve just run them through and none hit the benchmark so nothing from me tonight other than the Iceland game @ evens which is on at the moment
Overnight treble while I ponder the Aus open some more:
Darcis d Melzer
Maria d Buyucackay
Rodina d Zanevska
Pays 3.7 w betfair. Some nice profit in the morning please Gambling Gods.
Broady to defeat russell is what I’ll be on tonight. My friends choice, he’s confident
@Langerdan, not sure why mate. I’m annoyed as I took them at -1.5. Would have much preferred the +1.0. Detroit should still win by at least 5 or more I think.
@Simon Wright – no worries mate ill wait til you’ve got the criteria met :-)
I got on Iceland DNB @ $1.40 earlier (Canada do draw a lot) but I went with double stake so equivalent of a $1.80 bet with normal stake. 2-0 at half time, should be safe I think!
NHL DOUBLE:
– Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 handicap ($1.34)
– Carolina Hurricanes/Vancouver Canucks OVER 4.0 goals ($1.33)
DOUBLE PAYS ODDS OF $1.78.
Penguins & Islanders game will be a tight top of table clash. I don’t see either team winning by more than 1 goal but I have a lean towards Penguins as they’ll want revenge after Islanders beat them in Pittsburgh last time out. Stats also show Islanders are generally winning home games by only 1 goal, & Penguins are losing away games by only 1 goal.
As for the Carolina & Vancouver game, 4 of the last 5 H2H’s have seen 5 or more goals. Both teams also generally have high scoring games with 4 or more goals in majority of their matches.
Well that’s annoying… Warriors line is now at +0.0 as are Detroit.
Why is it when I wait, the line goes up. But then when I think ill get on early, the line goes down…Murphy’s bloody law!!!
Aus open round 1:
Lajovic d Stakhovsky @ 6/4
Stakhovsky was so poor against Delpotro I have to bet against him here. I think Lajovic is a very decent and underrated player. He has a good serve and dangerous enough baseline game to get the better of a sub-par Stakhovsky, and even an on form one if he plays to his potential.
NBA ACCUMALATOR JUST UNDER 10/1
FOLLOW IF YOU FEEL LUCKY!
ATL Hawks +5.5
MIN Timberwolves +21.5
LA Lakers +15.5
POR Trail Blazers +12.5
GS Warriors +8.0
WAS Wizards -2.0
ORL Magic +12.5
CLE Cavaliers @ LA Clippers Under 214.0
PHI 76ers +14.5
£10 STAKE PAYS £100
gOOOOOOOOD LUCK
NHL
CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS -1.5 @ 23/20
GOOD LUCK
LAST ONE FORM ME FOR THE TENNIS
ANDREA ARNABOLDI V LAURENT LOKILI
ANDREA ARNABOLDI WIN @ 4/6
Aus Open round 1:
Baksinszky d Jankovic @ 11/10
I’m a little pissed I didn’t get on this one earlier. Baksinszky opened at 7/4 and I knew she would start big and get backed down as soon as I saw the draw. Unfortunately I just forgot about it, what with all the excitement! Still, I think she is favourite against a wayward Jankovic so can’t turn my nose up at an odds against price.
Aus open Round 1:
Kokkinakis d Gulbis @ 17/10
Gulbis has yet to win a match this year, hasn’t fared very well in Melbourne historically (never making it past 2nd round) and faces a talented and hard hitting opponent with home crowd advantage here. Upset potential for sure.
Warriors handicap dropped cause Bogut and Iguodala are out. I can see this game go any way. Best to inplay this game in my opinion
Hey Ad, I say the draw lay outs as you laid out above but do you have an outright fancy? Apologies if I missed it in previous threads
Steph Curry over 26 points and Warriors to win @ 3/1. Not a tip but I fancy him to go off tonight and a few tipping GSW so I’ll take my chances. Small stakes.
NHL
ANAHEIM DUCKS WIN
Not sure what happened to my post of this earlier but I can’t see it so here it is again
Get in there Piston! Win by 2! And Bulls should easily cover the 5 from here. So that’s my Early Double landed :-)
Let’s hope the warriors can make a comeback
Warriors are probably the strongest side when it comes to big 4th quarters…i’m hoping they can sneak in front and stay there.
Think Warriors are in trouble…
IN HINDSIGHT – OVERS should have been the play for the OKC/Warriors game. Its rare Warriors lose any games though so no love lost Huggybear ;-)
NBA Alternative Team Points Double
Golden State Warriors over 101.5 – 115
New Orleans Pelicans over 93.5 – 81
@ 7/10 @ Skybet **LOSE**
Apologies on the Pelicans. Little did I know that Jrue Holiday and Anthony Davis were late injury calls. Both starting Point Guard and Power Forward.
Bad luck Jordan… Same story with Warriors, had no idea they had outs before I placed bet.
I know mate and between the two they average just under 40 points a game :(
Damn, Suns were up by 16 with a minute left to play…a 3 pointer & 2 pointer on the buzzer from Timberwolves wrecked my 2nd Double!
Suns -13.5 failed to land – they ONLY won by 11, argh!