IT’S amazing how one team can spoil your day. My 5pt Super Single and 1pt 14-1 homes fivefold were both beaten by Bournemouth who crashed at home to 10-man Norwich.
I more than recouped those 6pts with a 2.5pts Top Treble that paid 7-2 thanks to Bristol City, Aberdeen and Brechin but everyone knows I’d rather have called the Super Single correctly.
Some people said I was undone by new manager syndrome but I was well aware of the arrival of boss Alex Neil from Hamilton to Norwich and as he wasn’t taking the team I don’t know what effect he had on the result.
In the Top Treble I went against Ayr who have a new manager in Ian McCall so it was swings and roundabouts.
All in all it was about break even for me so I go again on Sunday. And before I do so just a word for Scott Allott who put up two European tips – and two winners. They were Valencia draw no bet, Real Madrid to win both halves and Porto to score 2+ as well as a single on both to score at Malaga v Villarreal.
My Sunday Super Single this is a pick that’s been flagged up by a few people already and has been on mind since Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey in midweek.
Atletico travel to a Barcelona side they faced six times last season – one win and five draws. Diego Simeone’s side have the measure of the big guns and over 90-minute matches are unbeaten in 11 against Barca and Real and that’s a remarkable record.
So with Barca massive favourites at the Nou Camp on Sunday you can have Atletico at 7-5 not to lose with bet365 and Coral or even 7-2 draw no bet with Paddy Power and BetVictor. I’m going with the former as a draw gives me a return instead of money back.
Another stat I like is Lionel Messi not scoring in his last seven against Atletico. We all know about Barca’s current problems and a 5-0 defeat of Elche in the Spanish Cup just papers over the cracks.
My Top Treble starts with Lyon who can go top of the French league by beating Toulouse at home. Recent slips by Marseille and PSG have played into Lyon’s hands and they’re in great form.
At home they’ve won nine out of 10 and have notched eight straight league victories in front of their fans since the start of September. They’ve won five and drawn one of their last six matches home and away in all competitions and are unbeaten in 12 against Toulouse. One point to note is Lyon have three stars away to the Africa Cup of Nations but that’s countered by the fact have four players involved.
Toulouse have lost five of their last seven matches and lost seven of 10 away matches. Lyon are in and are a best 6-10 at William Hill.
I’m adding Arsenal who have players such as Aaron Ramsay, Mesut Ozil and Olivier Giroud back for a home meeting with Stoke. The Gunners lost 3-2 at the Britannia and they have a poor record there but at home they’ve beaten Stoke six times in a row and should make it seven.
Complete the treble with Real Sociedad not to lose at Granada. Davie Moyes’s side should be boosted by their win against Barcelona last weekend and while away form isn’t great the ex-Man United boss has set his side up not to lose and they shouldn’t at a side in the bottom three and with just one home win all season.
5pts Super Single
Atletico Madrid not to lose (8pm)
(7-5, bet365, Coral)
3pts Top Treble
Real Sociedad not to lose (6pm)
Both teams to score
Man Utd v Southampton (4pm)
Cagliari v Cesena (2pm)
Fiorentina v Palermo (2pm)
Napoli v Juventus (7.45pm)
Perm any 3 and all 4 (5 bets)
1pt Fourfold pays 12-1 at William Hill
Super Single 2015 record: 8 bets
(2 winners, 4 losers, 2 void)
And don’t forget to check out our friends at Welovebetting for more tips and video chat – and their coupon busters video gives reasons to go against Barca.
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