JUST after Christmas I tripped over a black cat while walking under a ladder and broke the mirror I was holding.
I got home, put my shoes on the table and then opened an umbrella. I didn’t murder anyone though as Greg suggested to me in a text.
He sent that after seeing my Super Single pick let me down from 2-0 ahead for the third time this week (and thankfully Villarreal didn’t make it four this morning after going 2-0 up on Sporting Gijon).
I’ve always said you need luck in betting and since the start of the new year I’ve had none and already I’ve handed back nearly half of December’s profit.
I said Saturday would be tough for punters and while the likes of Aston Villa, West Brom and Bolton couldn’t beat their minnow there weren’t many shocks despite the rotations by Premier League sides.
But I couldn’t believe it as my 14-5 Super Single blew it. When I got home from the football East Stirling were 2-0 up and Montrose 28-1 to win.
For a brief second I thought about backing the home considering recent history but at least I covered Montrose not to lose at 7-1 to almost save the stake.
Hamilton’s hammering at Annan was one of the biggest shocks of the day and killed the Top Treble and in the end I thought I’d be saved by the Euro treble but Fiorentina tripped me up on the last leg.
You know it’s a bad day when Greg’s only winner is a rugby tip on Racing -13 against Glasgow. His nap and NB lost and he was one goals short on his Scottish over 2.5 goals treble.
Surely my run can’t continue and while I’m again wary of some cup battles I’ll be doing my best to turn it around starting from today.
In the FA Cup – and again team news will be vital – there are five ties including Spurs v Leicester (who meet again at the Lane in the league on Wednesday) and Chelsea v Scunthorpe.
Spurs and Leicester will both rest players ahead of that more important meeting with the Foxes weakened by the loss of Jamie Vardy who is out after groin surgery. His sidekick Riyad Mahrez is unlikely to feature so it’s a chance for fringe men such as Leonardo Ulloa and new boy Demarai Gray to shine.
Having seen the line-ups Spurs have made seven changes but look strong with Kane on the bench while Leicester are as weakened as expected and Mahrez is a sub. With one SS up and the other half covered I’m adding Spurs -1 AH at 6-5 with Paddy Power.
Chelsea are so short they need to be looked at for goals or handicap bets but have just one fit striker in Diego Costa while Eden Hazard is also missing. They should still be pretty strong and at least cover the -1 handicap at 4-9 with bet365.
Swansea are the banana skin at Oxford so let’s see how many changes caretaker boss Alan Curtis makes. Keeper Kristoffer Nordfeldt, defenders Jordi Amat and Kyle Bartley and wingers Jefferson Montero and Modou Barrow are among those set to start.
I like Cardiff at home to a Shrewsbury side battered 7-1 by Chesterfield last time out and Carlisle can beat Yeovil at home which is today Blackpool. Cardiff may also make changes and that’s a slight concern while the Shrews have signed four players since that embarrassing loss but only two can play.
In the Scottish Cup Rangers and Celtic are in action against League One opposition. Rangers should run up a big score at home to Cowdenbeath while it will be a little tougher for Celtic at Stranraer.
I’m aiming to wipe out half the Super Singles losses with a double on Rangers -2 and Celtic -1.
Rangers have netted 10 goals in two games against Hibs and Dumbarton and while Beath’s form has picked out they are the League One’s worst side on the road with six points out of 30 and 32 goals conceded.
Gers -2 has shortened for days and while teams can take their foot off the gas in cups this should be a home win by three or more.
Ronny Deila’s Celtic haven’t been prolific scorers in recent weeks but have Leigh Griffiths back after he made a scoring return as sub against Partick Thistle last week. With Nadir Ciftci banned I’ll be on Griffiths at 5-2 at Paddy Power to score first.
Celtic should at least cover the -1 handicap and I have in mind a scoreline of 3-0 or 4-0 for the Treble chasers.
Villarreal are the side I like just about best today and they’re in action at 11am against Sporting Gijon. They have won four of their last five and conceded just one goal.
Sporting have won one out of six and lost three of their last four at El Madrigal. Let’s make Villarreal a second Super Single and if that loses I’ll only have two more points to play with today.
If Villarreal and Inter weren’t early I’d have included them on the Top Treble but I’m going for Chelsea -1, Cardiff and Benfica who visit Nacional. Benfica are in good form having won four of their last five including a 6-0 mauling of Maritimo last time out.
They have won 11 of their last 12 against Nacional and in Madeira they have won four, drawn one and lost one in their last six visits. Four of them have gone over 2.5 goals so I’m also putting the match on my goals treble along with both to score at Sociedad-Valencia and Sampdoria-Juventus.
Despite my form I’m risking a maximum 10 points today – you don’t have to follow suit. Most of my risk is in the two Super Singles and I’m banking on the Old Firm to turn up while every man and my dug are on Villarreal.
Good luck with your bets today and remember to check out the tips and video chat on the We Love Betting site.
6pts Super Single
Rangers -2 (1pm)
Celtic -1 (3.15pm)
2pts Super Single
Villarreal -1 (11am) WIN
(7-5, Paddy Power)
2pts Super Single
Spurs -1AH (4pm)
(6-5, Paddy Power)
1pt Top Treble
Chelsea -1 (3.05pm)
1pt Goals Treble
Real Sociedad v Valencia btts (3pm)
Sampdoria v Juventus btts (7.45pm)
Nacional v Benfica over 2.5 goals (8.30pm)
Remember to check out the boys from We Love Betting for their video tips and chat.
January Super Single Total
12 bets (2 winners, 2 void)
January Advised Accas Total
15 bets (2 winners)