Jan 10: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

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JOHNB has a double-stake pick for Tuesday that he reckons can be grand on the fibresand.

Our man, who is 19.75pts down for January after drawing a blank on Monday, also has a tip from the Wolverhampton all-weather.

Johnb’s Monday Tips

Southwell 2:20
Mithqaal 6-4 NAP/NB (double stake)

This horse loved the fibresand last time but it’s no surprise as he is by Speightstown who’s progeny love this surface. Step up in distance not a problem and expected to win again.

Wolverhampton 3:40
Ardamir 11-4 skybet

This horse was extremely unlucky last time on the all weather and went straight into the notebook, found trouble more than once and still finished a good 4th to Petite Jack and with Adam Kirby onboard should be winning this.

Double 8.38/1 skybet

Antepost Tips

  • 1000 Guineas 2017 – PROMISE TO BE TRUE 20-1 Betfred (now 25-1)
  • 2000 Guineas 2017 – CHURCHILL 20-1 bet365 (now 6-4)
  • 2017 Derby – CHURCHILL 33-1 Racebets (now 7-1)
  • 2000 Guineas 2017 – BLUE POINT 14-1 racebets (now 33-1)

Johnb says: “I have already advised Churchill for next year’s 2000 Guineas & Derby – he has been really impressive this season and my view is he will get even better next year.

“Blue Point on the other hand is harder to call for how he will progress next year. If he trains on then in my view it’s a straight fight between Blue Point & Churchill but in the Derby Churchill is the only horse for me – he gives me the same excitement as Golden Horn did.

“But to answer my question earlier the most impressive horse I have seen this year is BLUE POINT with Churchill and Annie Power a close second and third.”

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59 Comments
  1. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 6 months ago

    Evening all,

    It was a profitable day today after I Just Know jumped his way to victory. I’ve looked out 3 bets for tomorrow including 1 increased stake bet.

    1.00 Lingfield – Missed Approach 2/1

    I tipped up Missed Approach last week when Lingfield was called off and given this race is all but the same I will use same write up:

    While Missed Approach was well beaten by Label Des Obeaux on chase debut at Exeter last time, I think he can over turn the form tomorrow. That run in November came at a time when the Greatrex was in a poor run of form – he had a number of horses at 2/1 or shorter turned over, but now the yard is back in good form I’m expecting Missed approach to put up a better showing, I’m not sure if the yard had a virus but something was not right. Missed approach was by far the best of these over hurdles, winning a decent race at Newbury before running at Cheltenham and then finishing a good second at Ayr. His jumping was adequate on debut but he will undoubtably come on for that run. Already a winner on soft ground conditions should be fine as at 2/1 he rates as a decent small stake bet in my book (1.5pnts). The Plug also mentioned last week that this horse has had a wind op since his last race which also goes in his favour!

    1.30 Lingfield – Peggies Venture 7/4

    Piggies Venture looks a decent bet tomorrow at Lingfield, as this horse makes her hurdles debut. She showed some really top form in bumpers and her second in a listed bumper rates as top quality form. That day she took it up 2F out and while she was eventually out battled by the classy Oscar Rose by a neck (front two well clear) she showed a really game attitude- the same can’t be said by her main marker rival tomorrow. The Nipper (5/4) also showed some good bumper form before running out when sent off 11/4F for a decent Punchestown bumper, then on hurdles debut she fell at the last when well beaten at Kempton. She undoubtedly has class but I can’t be taking the 5/4 on offer, but the 7/4 Peggies Venture is more than tempting. Conditions will be fine for the selection and I expect Alan King will have her well schooled for tomorrow- she is worth a small investment (1.5pnts)

    1.45 Southwell – Wick Powell 13/8

    What is it they say about gift horses? I’ve spent the last hour going over Wick Powell’s form looking to find fault but I can’t and therefore, I have to back him with an increased stake. This horse won his maiden over C&D in an really impressive manner and has gone from strength to strength since. Narrowly beaten in a nursery and a conditions race he went on to run a big race (7th) in a top York nursery followed by running second in a top Irish sales race he finished off his 2yo season by winning the £175’000 Redcar Trophy (Listed). He made all that day at Redcar and he can do the same tomorrow in this small field event. Quite frankly a mark of 85 is unheard of for a horse of this quality and it seems the shrewd Barron team want to capitalise on it before aiming for bigger things. He has been off for 101 days but he ran really well after a layoff between his maiden win and his neck second at Thirsk, he has proven himself on fibersand, the yard is going well (2 wins 3 places from 9 runners in 2017) and course specialist Andrew Mullen continues the saddle. While he does have to give away weight to all opposition he should have the ability to do so given nothing has form even close to his. Quite simply I have to increase my bet for tomorrow (15pnts). But as always nothing is assured.

    Many thanks and GL to all.

  2. Profile photo of trotters
    trotters 6 months ago

    Hi guys! So just a question does any else fancy jb nap? B interesting to hear from Alan jimron harry busstop tipsulan boz! I hope it wins but it really does help wen others fancy naps of other tips. Let’s bash those bookies

  3. Profile photo of hamish75
    hamish75 6 months ago

    dunno if anyone seen the race wi lakeside drive finished 3rd the way it rattled home given the same circumstances shud b winning soon one fir the tracker guy’s
    Good thread today some good points discussed also the usual suspects hittin the winners well done everyone who had winners alanm is smokin hot ktf

  4. Profile photo of gengar
    gengar 6 months ago

    3.10 Ominotago 2/1
    1.30 Peggies Venture 15/8 NB
    1.45 Wick Powell 6/4 NAP
    2.20 Mithqaal 11/8

  5. Profile photo of davyb
    davyb 6 months ago

    Geraldine 2.10 wol
    eurato 3.10 wol
    tavener 3.20 south
    dodgy bob 3.50 south

  6. Profile photo of leando
    leando 6 months ago

    12.45 South
    Swendab 9/2

  7. Profile photo of paddy irishman
    paddy irishman 6 months ago

    Sky Ballerina 2.10 wol
    Bapak Bangsawan 12.45 south
    Act Now 3.30 ling

    Ew patent

    Good luck

  8. Profile photo of tipsultan
    tipsultan 6 months ago

    Lin- 1.00- Cassee Tete- 3/1 (NB)
    Wolv- 3.40- Hermann- 5/1
    Wolv- 5.10- Scribner Creek- 3/1 (NAP)

    1 point singles and 0.50 points trixie( 5 points total)

  9. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 6 months ago

    Nickybaby 2.10 off and running 25/1

    3 places on offer handicap debut needs improvement but may just have it in him

    Come back king 1.15 15/8 nap
    Treaty of Rome 3.20 nb

    Singles and double and the ew single above

    Good luck all

  10. Profile photo of
    6 months ago

    Hi everyone Good day yesterday with 2 winners nap winning 3/1 .Some wide open races today.

    S 1.45 Gracious Tom – 7/1
    S 2.50 Jet Setter – 4/1 NB
    S 3.50 Space War – 9/2
    W 2.40 Coquine – 7/4 .NAP

    Good Luck Everyone

    Happy Days

  11. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 6 months ago

    Boing Boing,

    I really don’t appreciate your attitude on this page there is no place for it.

  12. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 6 months ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday plenty of them
    Very first blade 12.45s 10/1
    The lock master 1.15s 11/1
    Spowarticus 3.20s 16/1
    Lord of the storm 4.10w 7/1
    Siouxperhero 5.10w 14/1
    Ew singles & ew lucky 31🍀Gl all

  13. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 6 months ago

    posted last night
    BAPAK BANGSAWAN 12-45 SOUTH EW 10/1 NOW BEST PRICE 12/1
    EURATO NAP/NB 6/1 NOW 7/1

  14. Profile photo of rilester
    rilester 6 months ago

    1.00 Ling Casse Tete nap
    2.50 south Western Presence n/b

  15. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 6 months ago

    NAP Barney From Tyanee 15/8 4.00 Lingfield
    NB Big Amigo 2/1 3.20 Southwell
    Trixie Phoeniciana 5/1 1.30 Lingfield

    • Profile photo of rog
      rog 6 months ago

      Well done on the nb alan. Should really have been a winning double, looked like the jockey was being a bit cute on the nap

  16. Profile photo of
    6 months ago

    Afternnon all

    LINGFIELD

    14.00 SONG SAA ..3/1..

    14.30 DRUIDS FOLLY .. 2/1..

    15.00 PETITE POWER .. 7/4.. ** NB **

    15.30 ARDEN DENIS.. 3/1.. *** NAP ***

    gl all

    • Profile photo of red devil
      red devil 6 months ago

      I think the saddle slipped on petite power there,very unlucky. We need the nap or its 7 points loss for the day. Are you confident busstop? I’m considering putting an extra point on.

  17. Profile photo of Mr Fixit
    Mr Fixit 6 months ago

    Out of bed? I wish. Been up since 7.30. Got the boy off to school and been a big walk with the dug.
    I’m not responsible for idiots unfortunately.
    Wouldn’t be back if he was just ignored.

  18. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 6 months ago

    pull the pin 12.45 boots and Spurs 2.20 opechee 3.00 good night Charlie 3.30 ew l15 well done all winners yesterday

  19. Profile photo of mgreen68
    mgreen68 6 months ago

    Kempton park to be sold for new housing estate…No more king George at kempton

  20. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 6 months ago

    Great Pick Harry well done

  21. Profile photo of waxi
    waxi 6 months ago

    Nice one johnb!

  22. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 6 months ago

    22 hours ago

    one for tomorrow

    3.00 lingfield – on the road 4/1 has won 4 of its last 6 and was unluky to finish second last time out so looks over priced to me
    :) winner :)

  23. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 6 months ago

    stevecee sorry mate i just looked at the race replay now thought he had it

    • Profile photo of stevecee
      stevecee 6 months ago

      It’s ok mate, level stakes and all so not end of world. Appreciate your tips, one of the best on here! :)

  24. Profile photo of boing boing
    boing boing 6 months ago

    thanks for the winners today lads! weeeeuuuuuuuwwww😂

  25. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 6 months ago

    johnb ardamir must be the unluckiest looser you will ever see full of running and no where to go

    • Profile photo of chumpchange
      chumpchange 6 months ago

      I had an entirely different take on it sir. Why did the jockey get it rousted out wide for the entire race then pull it back in with less then 2 furlongs to go? How many times does that happen and the gap the jockey craves never appears?
      I think it was a terrible ride. End of. But then again differences of opinion is what makes punting so interesting and frustrating in equal measures!

      • Profile photo of Johnb
        Johnb 6 months ago

        Ardamir is definitely one the the best winners we didn’t get, and also got to agree with it being a bad ride especially when you take into account that Kirby is supposed to be the top all weather jockey “he only has that title because the top jockeys don’t ride all weather often enough”
        But it was a shocker, he had the whole width of the track on his outside but didn’t want to use it, as I said the other day “dealing with muppets” or was it numpties

  26. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 6 months ago

    Dreaming of Paris 5.15 K Nap/Nb 9/4 GL.

  27. Profile photo of stu704
    stu704 6 months ago

    Hi guys quick question

    I have placed a few Cheltenham ante post accumulators and wondering what happens if one of the horses doesn’t run in the race. Do they just void that leg of the bet or the whole thing? Only reason asking is that I know if you bet as a single you lose the stake.

    Thanks

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 6 months ago

      If it’s not “non runner no bet” then you lose the whole accumulator

      • Profile photo of stu704
        stu704 6 months ago

        Thanks John I see they have entered Altior in the Champion Chase today. What’s your feeling on whether they will run him in this or the Arkle?

        • Profile photo of Johnb
          Johnb 6 months ago

          he has to run in the Arkle but I also still think Min will win the Arkle

  28. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 6 months ago

    Evening,

    It really was a case of looking the gift horse in the mouth on Tuesday with Wick Powell proving he was “too” good to be true. They seemed to go to quick for him and a return to 6f is needed I think. He unfortunately downed my increased stakes bet but Missed Approach did at least save some face doing the job at 2/1 for small money. Two small selections for tomorrow.

    14.30 Newcastle – Bowban 2/1

    3.20 Hereford – Money Maid 4/1 EW

    Write ups will follow in the morning.

    Many Thanks and GL to all

  29. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 6 months ago

    1pt profit Tuesday
    January 18.75pts down

    Wednesdays Tips

    Hereford
    2:20
    Gino Trail 13/8 NAP/NB betfred (double stake)

    Not bad form this horse for a ten year old and there was no fluke about his last run when he was beat by Buveur D’Air and he was even giving 6lb to the 3/10 favourite, Buveur D’Air is actually third favourite for the Arkle at Cheltenham but as I said it was no fluke as had already had two good wins this season and I would be surprised if anything could get close to him

    Newcastle
    2:30
    Mesophere 13/8 bet365

    Handled this surface well on debut when a decent fourth, looked one paced but ran on again late on when the penny dropped,
    up another three furlongs today which will help and clearly the one to beat

    double 5.56/1 bet365

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