GOLF: ACE VENTURER’S TOP TIPS

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MRF_Golf

JASON DAY’S third win in four tournaments gave Ace his third winner in six weeks.

Ace and the Aussie are on fire and in his last five tournaments he has a combined score of 73 under par.

Nobody seems to be able to get near him and when they do he just steps up a gear as witnessed with his 62 in the final round on Sunday.

With Jordan Spieth missing the cut, the first since the Tournament Players, the win takes Day to the top of the FedEx rankings. Can he win again this week and be crowned world No.1? I’m not too sure.

The Deutsche Bank Champions takes place at the TPC Boston and has been part of the Labour Day celebrations since 2003, making it one of only two scheduled Monday finishes.

With Day playing superb golf, Spieth coming off his first missed cut since May and Rory McIlroy returning from injury this could be something special. The three top players in the world have between them 14 PGA Tour wins and five Majors.

I am tempted to stick with Day again but I wonder how long he can continue at such a high level before suffering a dip in form.

I liked the look of Henrik Stenson last week. He looked to be back to his old self and was hitting the ball well. In GIR he is first on Tour with 74.04%, 14th in driving accuracy at 69.23% and 22nd in strokes gained:putting.

I think he’s not far from his first win on the Tour this season and having won here in 2013 worth a wager.

Bubba Watson has had a really good four weeks with three top-three finishes in his last four. He’s 23rd in GIR (69.49%), first in strokes gained:putting and although his driving accuracy is only on 56.81% he seems to be able to overcome that obstacle and post a good score. With two firsts, four seconds and two thirds he’s had a great season and could add another win in the next three tournaments.

Not only did Spieth miss the cut last week but so did Brooks Koepka. He also hasn’t missed a cut since the Players in May. His driving accuracy in the Barclays was way down in the low 40% when it’s normally nearer 60. He’s 11th in GIR and strokes gained:putting so if he can get his accuracy back off the tee he will be in the mix.

It took me a long time to mull over my final pick but I’ve finally decided on old favourite DJ. He has let me down so many times this season it seems odd to pick him again but I just can’t leave him out.

He’s been T4 twice at TPC Boston (2009, 2012) so has performed well here before. He finished strongly in the last two rounds at the weekend and put in a strong run to the turn (4 under) in the final 18. Unfortunately he couldn’t keep it going but showed he could play a big part this week.

The Skolkovo Golf Club hosts the Russian Open this weekend, the third Moscow course in three years to hold the tournament. The Jack Nicklaus designed track only opened last year and has wide fairways and more than 100 bunkers. Six holes have water in play so accuracy could be important here.

There’s not a great field and I’m going for Craig Lee, who had a T8 finish in the D+D REAL Czech Masters last week after being disqualified at the Made in Denmark the week previous. His driving accuracy is over 60% and GIR over 65% so will put a small wager on him.

Recommended Bets

Henrik Stenson 2.5pts ew (14-1, Ladbrokes, William Hill)
Bubba Watson 2pts ew (22-1, BetVictor, Paddy Power)
Brooks Koepka 1pt ew (45-1, Unibet)
Dustin Johnson 2pts ew (16-1, Coral, Paddy Power)
Craig Lee 1pt ew (40-1, McBookie, Coral)

Ace Venturer

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14 Comments
  1. Craig 2 years ago

    Awesome tipping Ace! :)

    15Pts Staked last week 30Pts Returned after having 3Pts (1pt=£10) on Day @ 9/1 so £150 up on my golf betting acc opened last week.

    Unlike Ace at the moment i find it more difficult not to back J.Day than to actually back him his price is now reflected in his hot streak but i find it impossible not to stick with a golfer who is playing out of this world and until the dip happens he is still going to see my money.

    I 100% agree about Stenson won it in 2013 then t26 last year so the course form is there and is bang on the last few weeks, the 10/1 w/o Day Speith and Mcilroy looks more appealing than the outright 16/1 With Day being a fancy Day can still win and also Stenson can still effectively win in this market so that’s my choice.

    Small wager on R.Streb, Been playing VERY well last few months and was t9 here last year.

    Also going W.Simpson for a top 10 last 4 years his form read 9-53-18-1 and again playing some decent stuff over the past month.

    Was thinking D.Horsey this week after winning her last year but his missed cut last week has put me off so going with the consistent M.Hoey who won here in 2013 and been playing some solid stuff recently without being spectacular.

    Also small wager on R.Dinwiddie been playing pretty awesome without actually getting a win but from how he is playing it just looks a matter of time to me.

    Deutsche Bank.
    4Pts WIN J.Day 6/1
    3Pts EW H.Stenson (w/o Day,Speith,Mcilroy) 10/1
    1Pt EW R.Streb 60/1
    2Pts W.Simpson top 10 finish 9/2
    Russian Open
    3Pts WIN M.Hoey 14/1
    1.5Pts EW R.Dinwiddie

  2. yup 2 years ago

    Dust. Johnstone win
    First round leader e .way.

  3. nagybobi14 2 years ago

    Hi
    Are these tips mean the first 5 places? And what does ew mean?
    Thank you!

  4. malkster 2 years ago

    M2M …peterson scrivener hutsby.

    Deutsche Bank…w/o speith mcilroy or day..jb holmes haas bohn henley..sky are only bookmaker betting w/o big 3..

    Corden Open ..linard gros drakewell

  5. StevenRG 2 years ago

    Ace, Bubba is 1st in SG:Tee to Green, heaven help everyone if he was leading SG:Putting. Even Jason Day might as well not turn up!

    Bubba definitely the value here this week though.

    @theGreek82

  6. HullShaker 2 years ago

    Great stuff again Ace – my Villegas 100/1 first round leader came in but unfortunately as a tied lead.

    Had him 200/ ew outright and that still looked like it had a sniff before he caved on Day 4.

    Like the looks of Day, Stenson and Watson but not had a good look yet – could well be tempted by Louis Oost at a big price though.

  7. leecunliffe 2 years ago

    3 for me this week

    Rory mcilroy 15/2 hoping Rory will get back to form at a course he won at a few years ago

    Justin Rose 18/1 has been in good form all year the course record here is 22 under and if Justin Rose can put together consistent rounds he will be there or there abouts, last week he had a great round 2 and 3 where he was 12 under but first and 4th Rd did for him. Hoping rose gets his consistency together

    Outside bet Justin Thomas 70/1Each way has still yet to win and have lost a bit backing him this year but he is t oo good not to win and hopefully this is the week at a great price

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 2 years ago

      leecuncliffe, quite like Stenson this week and maybe get a big performance from McIlroy.
      Doing nothing in Russia.

  8. leecunliffe 2 years ago

    Mr fixit am just back from crete today so spent the morning studying tpc Boston whilst mrs cracks on with washing not looked at Russian yet just moved onto 2moro footy

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 2 years ago

      leecuncliffe, that look like a fair deal. Only Russian one that stands out for me is McGrane but will probably leave it.

  9. Alan Cook 2 years ago

    Nagy if you don’t know what each way is I would advise you not to gamble.

  10. leecunliffe 2 years ago

    Just had read through all previews of Russia open and got to say it looks weak field. Am going take couple bigger prices

    Scott jamieson 33/1 at least he has some form

    Carlos del moral 66/1 if the previews are right then big hitters and strong putters can win the day and del moral is right up their with birdies average

  11. Duncan Poundcake 2 years ago

    Small interest on Furyk @ 45/1 e/w 1-5 GL.

  12. HullShaker 2 years ago

    1st round leader:

    VILLEGAS (AGAIN!)…100/1 EW
    HAAS…66/1 EW

    Going to have a go at Oosty outright at 40/1 ew.

    Good luck lads

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