ACE looking at four winners in five weeks when Kiradech Aphibarnrat started his final round with four birdies but he couldn’t sustain it and the 40-1 shot had to settle for third place as Victor Dubuisson too the spoils with a late birdie blitz.
That 10-1 winner meant it was a 5pt loss over the weekend – his first for some time. The European Tour’s Final Series is in China this week at the Sheshan GC with the likes of Jordan Spieth, Dustin Johnson, Bubba Watson and quite a few others from the PGA Tour taking part so it looks like it’s going to be some tournament.
Ace writes: Just been looking at the betting and can’t believe Matthew Fitzpatrick is way out at around 50-1. Yes, he putted badly at the Turkish Airlines last week but also hit a 63 in the second round.
He’s one of the straightest hitters off the tee which is needed in China but even if he wasn’t, with the form he’s been in recently I would still back him. Last three tournaments averages are driving accuracy 74.8, GIR of 76.8 and putts per round of 29.1
With T9 his worst finish in the last four tournaments Chris Wood is another who is inn form. In fact in his last 16 rounds he’s been over 70 only three times. In those four tournaments his average driving accuracy was 67.9, with GIR 74.25 and putts per round of 28.9 which is impressive stuff.
It’s hard to believe Henrik Stenson hasn’t won this year. He’s had five seconds worldwide but that first win is still eluding him. His driving accuracy is just under 67% with GIR 79%, but with putts per round at about 31 that seems to be his main problem.
The big Swede has been a favourite of my for a number of years but his last win was at the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai in November last year so it would great to see him get back in the winner’s circle again. Worth a wee nibble.
In his four final tournaments of last season’s PGA Tour, Rickie Fowler had three seconds. His putting is not that great, just under 30 per round, but his other stats more than make up for it. His driving accuracy last season on the PGA Tour was 69.9% and GIR of 73.5% so if he can sink some putts he will be there or thereabouts.
Over the pond the Tour moves to the Country Club of Jackson where they host the Sanderson Farms Championship for the second time. There have been two rookie winners in the first three tournaments (Emiliano Grillo and Smylie Kaufman) and there could be another this week.
Two weeks ago at the Shriners I had a good look a Patton Kizzire. He was about 70-1 but I didn’t think two rookies would win on the trot so left him out – he finished second! He ended the Web.com season more than $200,000 ahead of second place and is one who could do something this weekend.
Please not Paddy Power are offering seven places on both tournaments.
Matthew Fitzpatrick 1pt ew (50-1, Paddy Power)
Chris Wood 1pt ew (66-1, Betfred, William Hill)
Henrik Stenson 1.5pts ew (22-1, Skybet)
Rickie Fowler 1.5pts ew (20-1, Paddy Power, William Hill)
Patton Kizzire 2.5pts ew (20-1, Betfred)