HENRIK STENSON came close last week missing the play-off by one stroke but he did give us a return with his fourth-place finish.
Jordan Spieth won it in a play-off with Patrick Reed and Sean O’Hair but unfortunately I tipped him the week before!
This week the PGA Tour pulls up to Bay Hill, Orlando, for the Arnold Palmer Invitational with Rory McIlroy playing this event for the first time and 15 of the ranking’s top 30 taking part.
Stenson has been placed fourth in his last two outings following a couple of T13 on the European Tour. His stats are good on both sides of the Atlantic with GIR nearly 84% in Europe and over 71% in America and 66% in driving accuracy on both. In his last two visits to Bay Hill he’s finished in the top 10 so looks like a good bet for a high finish.
Jason Day seems to be on top form just now with three top-fives in five starts. He won the Farmers in February and had a good T4 at the AT&T. His driving accuracy is around 52% with GIR at 72.78%. He finished T31 at the WGC-Cadillac which was his first finish outside the top 20 in his last six starts.
I’ve liked the look of JB Holmes recently. He’s had two seconds and a top-10 finish in his last four outings. He’s 11th on the Tour in putting average with 1.72 and his GIR is 64.71% although driving accuracy is only 54%.
Holmes had a brilliant 62 in the first round at Doral for the WGC-Cadillac and an ace in the third round. He’s playing really well and is a good shout.
My fourth pick is Brooks Koepka who as you know I am going to follow a lot this year. After his win at the Phoenix Open he had a couple of bad tournaments but returned to form last week with a T17 and hopefully is getting his game back. His driving accuracy is over 54% and with GIR over 67% he’s well worth an each-way bet.
Henrik Stenson 2.5pts ew (10-1, Ladbrokes)
Jason Day 1.5pts ew (18-1, bet365, BetVictor)
JB Holmes 1pt ew (40-1, BetVictor)
Brooks Koepka 1pt ew (35-1, bet365, Betfred)