15th November 2016 at 6:55 pm #92518aceventurerModerator
The top 60 European players taking part in the DP World Tour Championship, the final tournament of the season and the finale of the Road to Dubai. There are four players, Henrik Stenson, Rory McIlroy, Danny Willett and last week’s winner, Alex Noren, who can lift the Race to Dubai at the Earth Course, Jumeirah Golf Estates. In Dubai.
I think long hitters, good GIR and putts per GIR are going to be important this week.
In his last 16 rounds Italian Francesco Molinari has only been over 70 once, and that was at the USPGA with a 71. He has been going along nicely in the last few months and won his home Open in September. Although he’s had a quiet year when you look at his stats they have all improved with the exception of GIR (70.14%). He is hitting the ball longer than he has for three years and his accuracy is better along with putts per GIR of 1.66. In the last six years at this tournament he has finished in the top twenty five times, including a fourth last year. Looks a solid bet.
It took Alex Noren 214 events to win his first four Tour events but only eleven to notch up his next four. He was my selection last week at the Nedbank and although he was six shots off the pace at the start of the final round he shot a majestic 65 with only one blip on the back nine. He hits around 290 yards off the tee, GIR of 72.4%, putts per GIR of 1.75 and driving accuracy of 57.59%. It has been a phenomenal season for the Swede and the form he is in it is hard to leave him out for this week.
With two top threes in his last three outings Andy Sullivan is showing some good form. He won three times on the Tour last year but has only managed five top tens this year. He was unlucky at the Portugal Masters where he was defending his title where he came up against a rejuvenated Padraig Harrington. I watched him at the Nedbank at the weekend and he played some really good golf to finished T3. He missed a few putts in the final round but overall played really well. He is also a long hitter and accurate (64.67%). His GIR stat is 72.04% and putts per GIR 1.76.
1.50 ew Francesco Molinari (William Hill 28-1)
1.50 ew Alex Noren (Betfair 16-1)
1.50 ew Andy Sullivan (Betfair 25-1)
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