Feb 9: Mr Fixit’s Top Tips

MRF_TopTips

I HAD a bit of a strange night to say the least. My Daily Double was a loser thanks to no goals at Sporting but I got my stake back by taking no next goal with about 10 minutes to go.

It was a fact I commented about but couldn’t advise because it was a risk rather than a cover bet. When my money was refunded I decided to put it on Ahmed Hassan to score for Braga without having time to check if he was starting.

William Hill were best price 23-20 but I took down the Super Single because I believed the bet was void. However, to my surprise I’ve been paid and must have missed the firm changing their rules to allow anytime scorers to stand if a player doesn’t start to bring them in line with the likes of bet365, boylesports, Coral, Ladbrokes and Paddy Power.

On their website it states: “The move was made by William Hill in a response to customer feedback and anyone who backs a player in the anytime goalscorer or anytime wincast markets only to find they are named as a substitute can contact their customer services before kick-off for a refund or to change to another player.”

I won’t include the winner in the stats and not many would have got on with it being posted about eight minutes before kick-off.

So we move on to Tuesday and while I’ve posted a separate preview on West Ham v Liverpool I’m not making any recommendations until I see line-ups.

In the Championship it’s MK Dons at home to Middlesbrough and the away looks nicely priced at evens with Paddy Power. I wouldn’t trust Boro at home but they’ve won four of their last five on the road to nil and while MK shut out Cardiff at the weekend that was down to a wonderful display by their keeper.

Three games in League Two including hot favourites Oxford at home to Mansfield although that won’t be easy and I prefer to back Wycombe at a Dagenham side without a home win this season. I’d have gone against Stevenage at Hartlepool but they’ve sacked Teddy Sheringham so let’s see how they react.

There are three games in Scotland and Morton at evens at Alloa were a potential pick in the Championship. They bounced back to form with a 4-1 Scottish Cup win on Annan’s plastic pitch and have another date on astroturf. However, Alloa were leading this one 1-0 when it was abandoned a couple of weeks ago so maybe you’d want more than evens on the Ton.

On the continent it’s about knockouts and in the German Cup we have Bayer Leverkusen at home to Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund travel to Stuttgart. Werder occupy the relegation play-off after being battered 5-1 by Borussia M’gladbach at the weekend and may rest players ahead of crucial clash with Hoffenheim at the weekend.

Three wins in a row have sent Stuttgart soaring and the same 11 played in each win. It’s no surprise then to see coach Jurgen Kramny announce he will rotate his squad and that could spell trouble against a side they lost to 4-1 on the opening day.

Dortmund have lost just one of their last 15 cup games and are expected to name a strong side. They are 4-9 at Paddy Power while Bayer are 4-9 at boylesports.

There are three ties in France including Monaco at Sochaux. The other two feature minnows with St Malo tackling Ajaccio and Granville at home to Bourg. I know St Malo and Granville well – the latter especially has a fine but tough links golf course as well as a racecourse – but don’t ask me anything about their football teams.

Amateurs St Malo are aiming to reach the last eight for the first time since 1924 but have been forced to move the tie from their 1387-capacity venue to Guingamp and that should favour Ajaccio who are 1-2 favourites.

I’m banking on the German Cup team news being correct and if it is the prices on Bayer and Dortmund could fall so I’m putting them up as a Super Single. I’ll check stats in the morning before putting up more tips.

It’s not easy night to be honest and nothing much stands out – even on the goals front. For now my only other bet is a treble on Middlesbrough, Wycombe and Monaco at Ligue 2 strugglers Sochaux. Indications are Monaco will field a strong team so hopefully that’s correct.

Definitely a night for low stakes and anyone who can leave their bets to the last minute after line-ups are revealed will have a better chance.

And remember to check out all the tips and previews from our friends at We Love Betting.

1.88pts Super Single

Bayer Leverkusen (6pm)

Borussia Dortmund (7.30pm)

(6-5, Paddy Power)

1pt Top Treble

Monaco (8pm)

Middlesbrough (7.45pm)

Wycombe (7.45pm)

(11-2, Paddy Power)

February Super Single Total

9 bets (6 winners)

Profit: 5.38pts

February Advised Accas Total

15 bets (4 winners)

Loss: 2.33pts

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