YOU can’t drink and drive, you can’t phone and drive and you can’t punt and drive – I think it’s time I took the train.
Sunday’s Super Single was a disappointing loser but for many savvy punters it would have been a winner. When Augsburg led Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 that was the time to cover but I was in the car on the way to office and couldn’t advise it.
I said at the start of the month I’d include cover bets in my figures but only if I put up the advice – and so far it hasn’t happened so we have a 5pts actual profit.
At least the 3pt Top Treble won yesterday at 2-1 although we were made to wait. I started with Fiorentina in the early game, added Dundee Utd at lunchtime and the line came in late at night as Barcelona battered Athletic Bilbao 5-2.
Monday’s big game is Lazio v Genoa in Serie A while Elche entertain Rayo Vallecano in La Liga. There is Ligue 2 action between Nancy and Brest and plenty of Jupiler League matches including Jong Ajax v Achilles and Roda v Volendam.
The only game in England is in League One with Bradford facing MK Dons and having looked at the main games I’ve decided it’s not an easy night but will put up a double as the Super Single.
MK Dons can top of League One with a win and I’d be backing them if it wasn’t for reports of a terrible pitch at Bradford. The home men could be weary after a tough run of games and of course will have one eye on their weekend FA Cup clash against Sunderland.
MK have a bigger squad and will be able to make changes without weakening the side too much. They are a best 29-20 at BetVictor and William Hill to win but on a double I’m happy to go with 7-10 draw no bet.
I’m not copying long-shot Lee but stats point to both to score at Lazio-Genoa. Lazio have netted in five of their last six – four of which have gone over 2.5 goals – while both have netted in Genoa’s previous six.
A Lazio home win looks a bit short so let’s hope Genoa get the goal they usually do.
Elsewhere I thought about Brest draw no bet at 11-8 away to Nancy with William Hill and while it still looks a draw the visitors are without their two top scorers.
Elche sit at the foot of La Liga and have a poor home record so I’d edge towards Rayo but not with enough confidence to put money on them.
Normally on a quiet Monday I’d look at the Dutch lower-league games for goals but schools are off so no time for research I’m afraid.
2.5pt Super Single
MK Dons draw no bet (7.45pm)
Lazio v Genoa btts (7.45pm)
Double pays 23-10 at William Hill
Super Single February record:
7 bets (3 winners, 2 losers, 2 void)
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