IT was slim pickings on Thursday but I managed to put up one bet and one winner – and that’s the way I like it.
Maintaining my cautious start to the month I advised just 0.58pts on Sevilla, both to score at Fleetwood v Barnsley and under 2.5 goals at Rennes v St Etienne. And I lost 0.5pts on trying to cover the Fleetwood bet so the profit on a 15-4 treble was 1.7pts.
Greg’s Under-20 match at Ross County never started and Jordan gave it a miss on the football front.
As regulars will know at this time of week my focus is on the weekend card and with work tonight I’ve had limited time for researching tonight’s matches.
The UK match is Brighton v Brentford in the Championship while in La Liga it’s Malaga v Getafe and in the Bundesliga Borussia M’gladbach entertain Werder Bremen.
There is a big game in Portugal between Belenenses and Benfica and we’ll see plenty of goals tips for the French Ligue 2 and the Jupiler League in Holland. It’s the league’s worst defence against the best attack.
Having looked at form and stats I fancy over 2.5 goals at Belenenses and Borussia. Benfica have won seven in a row with their last five going over 2.5 but while they beat Belenenses 6-0 at home last September their last three visits here have finished with 2-0, 1-0 and 4-0 wins.
Five of Belenenses’ last six have gone over 2.5 goals so I’ll take that just ahead of both to score.
Stats also suggest plenty of goals in the German game. Five of the last six playings of this fixture have gone over 4.5 goals including a 4-3, 5-0 and two 4-1s and 13 of 14 have gone over 2.5. Werder have also notched a 4-1 success and both sides have seen overs in four of their last five outings.
Complete a 1pt goals treble with over 2.5 goals at Nimes v Niort. I ‘ve seen a lot of tips for Nimes goals but when you look at the h2h – seven in a row over 2.5 and many of those over 3.5 – the match goals bet should come up.
I have one big Super Single pending on Ross County -2 and Celtic -3 in their weekend Scottish Cup ties against non-league outfits.
Remember to check out all the tips and previews from our friends at We Love Betting.
1pt Over 2.5 Goals Treble
Nimes v Niort over 2.5 goals (7pm)
Belenenses v Benfica over 2.5 goals (8.30pm)
B Gladbach v Werder Bremen over 2.5 goals (7.30pm)
5pts Super Single (pending)
Ross County -2 (Sat, 3pm)
Celtic -3 (Sun, 3pm)
(2-1, Paddy Power)
February Super Single Total
4 bets (4 winners)
February Advised Accas Total
7 bets (3 winners)