Feb 29: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

JOHNB is looking to end February on a winning high today with his double-stake tip leading the way.

He drew a blank on Sunday and is 4.23pts in profit heading into the final day of the month.

Johnb’s Monday tips

Wolverhampton 1:50
La Asomada 7-4 NAP/NB paddy power (double stake)

4:00
Bravo Zolo 11-4 bet365

Double 7.25-1 bet365

BRAVE ZOLO
Johnb says: “Easily the class horse of the race, Bravo Zolo will relish the step up in distance and although he goes on any surface he does excel on the Tapeta.

“Third at Lingfield last time out but was ridden poorly for that track and on Monday we have a better jockey onboard. He also ran keenly last time so the third place was a pretty good result as he also crossed the line with plenty to spare.

“Only real danger is if the horse doesn’t turn up as this race looks pretty straight forward for him, Our Channel to follow him home in second place.”

45 Comments
  1. Profile photo of rookie
    rookie 9 months ago

    17.00 W Bailiwick 8/1
    16.20 A More madness 10/1
    16.40 P Lillian 5/1
    15.40 P Reblis 9/2

    14.40 A Towerburn 14/1 e/w

  2. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 9 months ago

    NAP Avoidable 4/1 4.30 Wolverhampton
    NB Malaysian Boleh 7/1 2.20 Wolverhampton
    They’re off and running Centreofexcellence 33/1 ew 2.00 Plumpton or 4 and 14 small r/fc

    • Profile photo of alanm
      alanm 9 months ago

      Said I would not tip under 3/1 so wont but think Little Glenshee 9/4 is a great bet 2nd to Rocking Blues LTO so will put up for all to see GL

      • Profile photo of elvis parsley
        elvis parsley 9 months ago

        glenshee normally goes off in the lead.
        last 3 wins been feb 2013 and here in feb 2014 and march 2015 in 6 and 8 runner fields, 8 go today so similar size.
        last win was a hurdle, been chasing since without any joy, but back over smaller obstacles today.
        her 2nd last time was franked by the winner rocking blues winning the eider subsequently and glenshee was giving the winner best part of 2 stone that day with the 10lb claimer on rocking blues.
        9-4 looks a fair price but that old dog WILLIE HALL gets almost 2 stone with the claimers allowance.
        is glenshee 2 stone better the willie ?????
        if given the run of the race I think glenshee will prevail, especially as her best form is this time of year.

  3. Profile photo of thebz
    thebz 9 months ago

    Wolves 4:00
    Tempus temporius 5/1 NAP *****

  4. Profile photo of gengar
    gengar 9 months ago

    4:20 Milan Flyer 6/1 nap
    2:40 Diamond D’amour 7/1 nb

    Off n running would pick JohnB but odd gone to low so Name That Toon at 5/1 ew
    last chance 5:00 Toymaker 12/1 e/w

  5. Profile photo of daveyb11
    daveyb11 9 months ago

    Nebula Storm 5/1 skybet
    3.05 plumpton

  6. Profile photo of tipsultan
    tipsultan 9 months ago

    AYR
    3.50- Little GLeenshee @ 7/4- 1 point

    Wolves
    4.00- Our Channel @3/1- 1 point

    Double – Little GLeenshee & Our Channel @ 10/1 – 1 point

    Good Luck
    —————————————————————————-
    February -Profit +3.00 points
    2016- Profit +3.00 points

  7. Profile photo of
    9 months ago

    Hi everyone

    W 2.50 GRACEFUL FAVOUR 7/1

    W 3.25 SANDY COVE 5/1

    W 4.00 OUR CHANNEL 3/1

    W 5.00 LENDAL BRIDGE 14/1 E/W

    good luck everyone

    happy days (being dragged shopping so not so happy)

  8. Profile photo of rale
    rale 9 months ago

    Why would D Skelton give ride in the first race in Ayr to I Popham, when his brother Harry is there and riding his only ride of the day, odds on in the second race?

  9. Profile photo of thehawk
    thehawk 9 months ago

    Maybe does not fancy novice chase getting close to Cheltenham no risking heavy fall just a thought.

  10. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 9 months ago

    Surely because I have given Bravo Zolo such a big write up it automatically says how much higher I rate La Asomada, plus people don’t like it when I big a horse up too much, or say it will win because we all know any horse can have an off day, or I could say it’s the closest you can get to a certainty but even in football a penalty can be missed even though it shouldn’t
    Her second last time is the best form in the race rated 10lb lower than Englishwoman but only received 5lb and if the race was run over today’s conditions then La Asomada would win, sane is the top rated horse in today’s race but she is still rated too low as she has bags of improvement in her and she has already beaten today’s second/third favourite David’s Beauty last time out in a race that didn’t suit La Asomada
    Plus the money that has come for both horses should speak volumes

    • Profile photo of dirk41
      dirk41 9 months ago

      John, when you say double stake. That equals to what % of your bank?

      I never bet on horses, but been reading these threads and will be trying to follow the good tipsters we have on here.

      Cheers.

  11. Profile photo of on the bob
    on the bob 9 months ago

    New week new approach.

    I’ve always liked maidens and I’m going to stick to these from now on. I can’t pick a winner in a handicap for toffee.

    So here goes:

    Wolves 2.50 cee Jay 2/1

    I think this is a strong pick. Was 11/4 when I backed it and but didn’t see the new thread.

    Noseda is 2/2 with 3yo at Wolves in 2015 and the kyllachy sire isn’t bad round these turns so I fancy it to do the business. The drop the 5f should be in its favour as well.

    Plumpton 2.00 mahlers star 9/4

    Drift doesn’t worry me too much and I think it’s last run was solid so I’ll take these odds.

    Last maiden at Wolves looks trappy and I’m not convinced about the Fav in this but I’ll wait and look into it a little more.

    GL all

  12. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 9 months ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    SENDIYM 2.40A @ 12/1
    HARTFORTH 3.15A @ 20/1
    PACTOLUS 4.00W @ 12/1
    TOYMAKER 5.00W @ 14/1
    EW SINGLES & EW LUCKY15
    GL ALL
    ALSO HAD A EW BET ON JUSTICE IN THE FIRST @ 25/1 HOUR AGO IN TO 9/1 NOW

  13. Profile photo of caddie
    caddie 9 months ago

    hi guys
    don’t post often so here goes
    2.20 bahango 11/1 e/w
    3.25w biff johnson13/8 nb
    5.00w mcdelta 9/2 nap
    godluck

  14. Profile photo of
    9 months ago

    Afternoon all

    NO header for the racing page when we log in might explain why it seems quiet

    AYR

    15.15 TAKINGRISKS .. 2/1 … **

    16.20 JONNY EAGER .. 7/2 .. **

    PLUMPTON

    14.30 THE GREEN OGRE .. 9/4 .. **

    15.05 SIR HUBERT .. 10/1 .. E/W ..*

    gl all

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit
      Mr Fixit 9 months ago

      busstop, I’ll have a look but I can see it fine.

      • Profile photo of Johnb
        Johnb 9 months ago

        It’s been ok for me mr f

      • Profile photo of
        9 months ago

        yeah its on now mr f scott has now tagged it he explained on yesterdays thread make him buy the coffee

        gl

        • Profile photo of Mr Fixit
          Mr Fixit 9 months ago

          busstop, yeah I saw his comment. He must have fixed it before I looked coz I couldn’t see anything wrong.
          The punishment is he has to go to a Clydebank game and buy the Bovril.

    • Profile photo of caddie
      caddie 9 months ago

      well done busstop stayed well

    • Profile photo of nazalus
      nazalus 9 months ago

      Green Ogre..well done Busstop.i got on it JUST BEFORE THE OFF…MAGIC !!!!!

  15. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 9 months ago

    Only now able to see today’s thread. A number of us have posted selections on yesterday’s
    Gl all today

  16. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 9 months ago

    dirk41 depends on how you want to split your bank, I just advise level 1pt stakes for all bets unless I advise a double stake which is really two bets on the same horse

  17. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 9 months ago

    Poor run from La Asomada which is difficult to explain, she looked like she wanted to quicken but couldn’t, or it may just be a case of she has just bumped into one here as she was quite a bit better than the others

  18. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 9 months ago

    odds on favourite losses in a two horse race hopefully this isn’t a sign of things to come today

  19. Profile photo of theinsider
    theinsider 9 months ago

    some good words for the trainer, last for me!

    3.15 caledonia 9/2

  20. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 9 months ago

    Christ I hope a few had a read at yesterdays thread where De Niro strikes again with a great tip. I looked and looked at the race but in the end went with him Rhythm and Blues great stuff
    Well done

    • Profile photo of wn
      wn 9 months ago

      Not in time :(

    • Profile photo of de niro
      de niro 9 months ago

      Cheers Dougie glad it paid off – posted on yesterday as today’s wasn’t visible at the time :-(

      de niro 3 hours ago

      Brutal Saturday for me – had a rest Sunday and back refreshed today or at least thats the plan.

      All eggs in one basket today and feel strongly about this one – fingers and toes crossed 😉

      2-50 Wolverhampton
      Rhythm and Blues 13/2 bet 365 nap/nb WON !!!

      Lay of the Day
      2-50 Wolverhampton WON !!!
      Cee Jay 2/1

      • Profile photo of elvis parsley
        elvis parsley 9 months ago

        glenshee normally goes off in the lead.
        last 3 wins been feb 2013 and here in feb 2014 and march 2015 in 6 and 8 runner fields, 8 go today so similar size.
        last win was a hurdle, been chasing since without any joy, but back over smaller obstacles today.
        her 2nd last time was franked by the winner rocking blues winning the eider subsequently and glenshee was giving the winner best part of 2 stone that day with the 10lb claimer on rocking blues.
        9-4 looks a fair price but that old dog WILLIE HALL gets almost 2 stone with the claimers allowance.
        is glenshee 2 stone better the willie ?????
        if given the run of the race I think glenshee will prevail, especially as her best form is this time of year.

        ……WINNER…..
        GOT 9-4
        thanks to alanm, for pointing me towards this last night

  21. Profile photo of nezhambo
    nezhambo 9 months ago

    Nice one JohnB that write up regarding Brave Zolo gave me the confidence to increase my bet thanks again JohnB

  22. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 9 months ago

    Victoria Pendleton: The backing I have received has been incredible
    Victoria reflects on a life changing 12 months

    What an amazing 12 months! It’s hard to believe that just over a year ago – February 22 2015 to be exact – was the first time I sat on a horse, and now I’m two days away from my second Hunter Chase, at Wincanton this Wednesday.

    Since that day with Chris King and Yogi in Newmarket just over 12 months ago, time has absolutely flown by -I’ve ridden more than 65 amazing horses, made friends for life and have fallen in love with an incredible sport. I can’t imagine life without horses.

    When I was mulling over what I knew was a very ambitious, slightly crazy, once in a lifetime opportunity that Betfair had just put in front of me, a big factor I kept coming back to was the need to challenge myself further. Add to that the fact that I knew people would be saying it was an ‘impossible but incredible challenge’, and it was too good an opportunity to turn down.

    There have been a few knocks and setbacks along the way and of course there was the fall at Fakenham last week. But being totally honest and realistic, I would be surprised if such setbacks didn’t come with a challenge of this magnitude, and in the sport of horse racing! I love learning and improving, which is something I really missed when I finished cycling and that’s exactly why I’ve been bitten by the horse racing bug.

    Since Fakenham last week, I’ve been back riding out with Alan and Lawney Hill, had three Point to Points races which continues to be great learning experience and today I’m down at Paul Nicholls’ yard on Pacha Du Polder. Rather than dwelling on one unfortunate incident. I have focused on listening to what the support team are telling me, analysing my performances and ultimately improving my skills and experience.

    I am hugely grateful to the amazing support team Betfair have put in place, without Alan and Lawney Hill, Yogi Briesner and Paul Nicholls none of this would have been possible.
    I would also like to thank Chris King and the guys at the British Racing School who persevered with me and gave me the confidence and motivation when I was a complete novice. And of course Andy Stewart and his family who have shown the ultimate faith in me by allowing me to ride the beautiful and hugely talented Pacha Du Polder.

    The guidance and support I’ve received from key figures in the racing industry has been amazing, and to school alongside the likes of AP McCoy, Aidan Coleman and Nick Schofield, and for people like Katie Walsh and Tom Scudamore to publicly back me, has been a huge confidence boost.
    The whole experience has been an incredible new chapter in my life and it’s definitely a story I will continue writing well beyond the outcome of this challenge, whether I make it to Cheltenham or not.
    But for now, I’m focusing on Wincanton on Wednesday and I really can’t wait.
    ************************************************

    People on this thread have different views but I just have to say that her ride yesterday at Larkhill was outstanding, it was a rough race with her mount getting bumped by other horses, crossing in front of her and generally make it a hard race for her but she came through with flying colours

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 9 months ago

      I thought we had put this Pendleton nonsense on the back burner.
      Let’s get Cheltenham over then the whole reality show ends, then racing can move on.

      • Profile photo of Johnb
        Johnb 9 months ago

        Some people like to be informed about her progress and the minority that don’t want her to do well and don’t know what she has already achieved don’t have to read it, because they won’t spoil it for everyone else
        She doesn’t have anything to prove to anyone anymore because she has already won

        • Profile photo of Johnb
          Johnb 9 months ago

          Also they don’t have to watch her races and they don’t have to bet in them

        • Profile photo of elvis parsley
          elvis parsley 9 months ago

          Won what ?
          This is all about her and her ego.
          Fast tracked through the ranks, funded by betfair, for their own publicity.
          It’s also cheating punters, I’m sure some people would have lumped on pacha du polder last time, and this coming Wednesday for that matter, but with this ego riding it, I’m sure it puts punters off, given her non completion record and lack of experience.
          To balance opinion and as John has copied and pasted an article, here are a couple of alternative views to johns

          Daily express
          Having failed in all her point-to-points, she was unseated on her first ride over regulation fences in the Betfair Switching Saddles “Grassroots” Fox Hunters’ Chase at Fakenham.
          The dual Olympic champion cyclist was riding the nine-year-old Pacha Du Polder for a second time, with the pair having been beaten in a photo-finish at Milborne St Andrew point-to-point in late January.
          The Paul Nicholls-trained gelding was the 8-13 favourite for this three-mile contest and Pendleton gave her mount time to find his feet, initially dropping him out at the rear of the six-runner field.
          Pacha Du Polder gradually warmed to his task and was moving closer to the leaders when Pendleton needlessly exited stage right, and hit the deck.

          John Francome
          Victoria Pendleton’s hopes of riding at next month’s Cheltenham Festival were dashed when she was unseated from her horse at Fakenham on Friday, and one horse racing great believes she should leave the sport altogether.
          Former National Hunt Champion jockey John Francome, current analyst with Channel 4, says Pendleton is an “accident waiting to happen”, with the general consensus appearing to be that the Olympic cycling champion was not ready to ride at one of horse racing’s biggest meetings in March.
          Pendleton switched saddles in partnership with betting company Betfair, with the challenge to ride at Cheltenham after just a year of riding, but Francome says she could end up seriously hurt.
          “She wants saving from herself,” Francome told the Guardian on Saturday – the day after Pendleton’s first outing over fences on a professional track. “I’ve never met her, she seems a lovely girl but she can’t ride and she’s an accident waiting to happen.
          “She could have fallen off at any fence. It’s not just about Cheltenham, she could come off on a Sunday afternoon at a point to point. She wants stopping before she hurts herself.”

          Daily telegraph
          Fear is not the thing. Nor even danger. Nor trepidation on the part of punters who would rather not see a double Olympic gold medallist and nine-time world champion cyclist fired into the mud. The issue, as in all races, two-wheeled and equine, is pace.
          Simply, Pendleton, 35, is moving too fast. She is rushing from point-to-points (a sort of non-league of jump racing) to the elite end of amateur riding, where many of her rivals will be accomplished horsemen and women who have seen the full gamut of gymkhanas, pony racing, work riding for racing yards and salutary experiences around gaff tracks.

          The one question I ask is, why is this happening.
          If its not all about her and this personal crusade????
          What is the point of it all……..

          • Profile photo of Johnb
            Johnb 9 months ago

            It’s the old boy stressing about an outsider coming in and doing what he did, John Francombe can’t handle it especially when the here and now people like Lawney and Alan Hill, Yogi Briesner, Paul Nicholls, Jonjo O’Neill, Katie Walsh, Tom Scudamore and AP McCoy to name a few along with owners Andy Stewart and JP McManus are supporting her because they know what she has done already,
            Do you really think people like that would put their reputation on the line for someone that wasn’t up to it

  23. Profile photo of on the bob
    on the bob 9 months ago

    De Niro. Fair play mate. Well picked.

    How did you come to that’s one out of interest?

    For me it just didn’t tick any boxes so I scratched it. Looked a turf horse and Kirkby normally gets up for cox on promising juveniles, imo.

    I saw it after the race and it is a beast of a horse but never would’ve backed it.

    Thank god I didn’t get carried away and add to my stake when all the money came for it. 11/4 into 10/11 was huge but got beat by 2 in the end. Poor by all accounts.

    Anyway, nice one.

  24. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 9 months ago

    0.25 point loss today
    February 3.98 point profit

    Tuesday’s Tips

    Catterick
    General Mahler 3/1 NB racebets

    Leicester
    2:50
    Some Finish 5/2 NAP racebets

    Double 13/1 racebets

  25. Profile photo of tipsultan
    tipsultan 9 months ago

    AYR
    3.50- Little GLeenshee @ 7/4- 1 point- won @ 2/1

    Wolves
    4.00- Our Channel @3/1- 1 point- lost

    Double – Little GLeenshee & Our Channel @ 10/1 – 1 point- lost

    Good Luck
    —————————————————————————-
    February -Profit +3.00 points
    2016- Profit +3.00 points

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