FEB 26: RACING TIPS AND CHAT

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IT was a good Monday for Milesey with racing tips and football picks. Can the man who’ll want Stevenage to win more than his Lucky 15 come up with the good today?

Here are his thoughts on a busy day on the track – and remember to check his footie predictions too.

LEICESTER 3.0

Noble Witness was eased in weights prior to regaining winning thread at Catterick (25f) in December but well held off revised mark since and this no easier.

Nom de Guerre has only been seen three times since opening chasing account at Wincanton (25f) in April 2010, proving he retains ability when second over C&D last time, and can’t rule out.

Not So Sure Dick bumped into Hunt Ball on a couple of occasions last year but offered little on belated return recently.

Power Pack Jack was a three-time winner over fences in 2010-11 but overall profile decidedly inconsistent, plenty more lows than highs. Others more solid.

Franklin Roosevelt was blinkered (back on) when winning handicap hurdle last spring for Warren Greatrex. Off the mark over fences with easy win at Southwell last week and sure to go well again under a penalty.

Basil Fawlty’s chances over hurdles often ruined by refusal to settle, though not given hard time both starts over fences. Looks stable No.2 though.

Lemon’s Gent landed a gamble sole start in bumpers at Ludlow in May 2011 but no better than modest form in four tries over hurdles. Showed more in cheekpieces on second start over fences but more required.

Abbey Dore gained fourth win over fences in the mud at Fontwell (3¼m) in January 2011. Good second off a higher mark when in April that year but well held on belated reurn recently.

Thorncliffer was tongue-tied when opening chasing account at Wetherby (25f) in December under this rider. Failed to complete next two starts but still early days with him.

VERDICT: Franklin Roosevelt was an impressive winner last week and a penalty may not be enough to prevent a follow up. Nom de Guerre and Thorncliffer can make a place.

Leicester 3.0

FRANKLIN ROOSEVELT 1.8 betfair

Leicester 5.0

QUINTE DU CHATELET 3.5 betfair
On official rating, the horse to beat in this race, the market wouldn’t suggest that though. Maybe because over fences this horse has really struggled but off a nice mark today for this handicap chase and on hurdles form is my pick for this race.

Catterick 2.50

TOUBEERA 1.99 betfair
For the in-form yard of Venetia Willaims, Aidan Coleman on board, this pairing have a great strike rate. Finished third last time out in a listed event, behind two classy horses, nothing in this field today would scare me and should be good enough to win.

Catterick 3.50

BUTHELEZI 2.2 betfair
Against lesser opposition today, after being disappointing last time out, has been put back among novices today.

Catterick 4.50

NO WAY HOZAY 2.3 / THE FOX’S DECREE 2.74 betfair
Two horses I really like, NO WAY HOZAY carrying a weight rise for completing the hat-trick last time out will be the one to beat, didn’t know when it was beaten last time out and came back determined to win.

THE FOX’S DECREE, back to fences today, carrying less weight and off a mark of 91, will be in with a great shout in this race. I can’t side with either and will just sit back and hope for a great race.

Lingfield 2.40

MISLEADING PROMISE 1.8 betfair
Officially rated the top horse in this race, is in a lot better form then the rest of these runners, and should prove tough to beat.

Lingfield 4.40

I will personally be laying STAR OF ROHM (LAY 1.79) in this race and I hope Frank Spencer in the saddle won’t disappoint today, has lost me so much money in the past backing horses with Frank on board so I hope today by not winning this race he will win me some money. I am going to side with SIBAYA 2.38 on debut today with Jim Crowley on board.

Lingfield 5.10

BROXBOURNE 1.94 betfair
Massive raise of 21lb for her hat-trick, still going to be a tough horse to beat today, not a lot of class anywhere else in this field so even with the weight rise I can’t see anything getting near today.

LINGFIELD DOUBLE

2.40 MISLEADING PROMISE
5.10 BROXBOURNE

PATENT/TRIXIE

Catterick 2.50
TOUBEERA

Leicester 3.0
FRANKLIN ROOSEVELT

Catterick 3.50
BUTHELEZI

Good luck to you all today with your selections.

Milesey (Betfair)

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50 Comments
  1. Milesey 4 years ago

    What are people’s NAPS of today, and an outsider worthy of an e/w punt ??

    Milesey

  2. John Henderson 4 years ago

    Nap is SPIN AGAIN 3.40 ling ew outsider double ann stokel AMBER MOON and ISLAND EXPRESS Lingfield.

  3. Milesey 4 years ago

    My outsider of the day is:

    DANTE’S FROLIC
    in the 2.40 Catterick

    currently at 18.0 Betfair.

    Milesey

  4. Milesey 4 years ago

    My outsider of the day is:

    DANTE’S FROLIC
    in the 2.50 Catterick

    Was at 18.0 / now cut into 13.0 Betfair

    Milesey

  5. Milesey 4 years ago

    It’s two weeks today to the start of the Cheltenham Festival, with Simonsig in the Arkle and My Tent Or Yours in the Supreme among many people’s bankers for the week; and then there is the fascinating puzzle that is this year’s Champion Hurdle – a veritable feast of racing.

    As for today, the staying handicap hurdle at Catterick at 16:20 sees a suggested bet running off a BHA mark of 75, from 4 lb out of the weights. That horse, Bright Cloud, is, however, undeniably well treated on her form in points and hunter chases last year. She’s had two attempts in handicap hurdles run on very testing ground this season and after getting seriously bogged down when weak in the market on near-unraceable going at Towcester, she shaped much better at Sedgefield next time. The extreme distance on bad ground seemed to find her out that afternoon, and, with conditions set to be much less attritional today, Bright Cloud has to be given one more chance to prove herself on a lenient mark.

    The day’s best race is the novice chase at Leicester at 16:00, which actually features a couple of runners with Cheltenham entries, Howard’s Legacy and Top Smart. The pair met at Wincanton earlier in the season, finding the subsequent Racing Plus Chase winner Opening Batsman too good for them as they took the minor placings. Howard’s Legacy is likely to confirm that form with Top Smart, though he faces potentially more serious dangers in the shape of The Musical Guy, Valoroso and Volador.

    Volador was the best of the field over hurdles but his jumping has yet to convince at all over fences. The lightly-raced Valoroso would have won at Wincanton last time, unfortunate to come down at the last when well clear; that form is hard to weigh up and was shown on very testing ground but at the very least indicates Valoroso has plenty of potential as a chaser. The Musical Guy may well benefit from the return to better ground and would have a good chance on his second at Folkestone; however, his jumping fell seriously apart after halfway here next time. Howard’s Legacy is the most likely winner but his form is not that far ahead of his rivals and he has to prove himself away from the mud. Given the jumping concerns about both Volador and The Musical Guy, it could be worth chancing Valoroso against the favourite at the likely odds.

    Back Bright Cloud @ 4.6 in the 16:20 at Catterick
    Back Valoroso @ 9.4 in the 16:00 at Leicester

    ( BETFAIR/TIMEFORM )

    Milesey

  6. Milesey 4 years ago

    BETFAIR Movers and Shakers
    ————————–

    Catterick
    14:50
    Toubeera 2.54 in to 1.71

    15:20
    Rapidolyte De Ladalka 2.36 out to 3.05

    15:50
    Roman Flight 3.4 in to 2.76

    16:50
    No Way Hozay 2.40 out to 3.1
    Vosges 9.0 in to 4.6

    Leicester
    15:00
    Lemons Gent 8.7 in to 5.8

    16:00
    Howards Legacy 3.0 in to 2.32
    Volador 3.55 out to 5.0

    Lingfield
    14:10
    Haverstock 7.7 in to 4.5

    14:40
    Misleading Promise 1.80 out to 2.76

    16:10
    Storm 9.4 in to 3.25

    Milesey

  7. Peter Piper 4 years ago

    Knockdolian @ 5/1
    2m 4 1/2f Nv Hc Ch
    Outright Betting
    Menadati @ 10/3
    1m Handicap
    Outright Betting
    Sibaya @ 11/2
    6f Maiden Stakes
    Outright Betting
    Broxbourne @ 4/5

    a yankee for me

    2 from Milesey and 2 from elsewhere :)

    Good Luck

  8. AC 4 years ago

    Is there a reason why an unraced horse STORM in the 4.10 at Lingfield is priced @ 7/4??

    • AC 4 years ago

      He was 11/2 this morning as well

      • Milesey 4 years ago

        It’s a RACING POST tip so been banged in like all their tips do, who knows ? on debut, it’s completely unknown so one of these gamble of the days. I’d rather side with Laudation and can get 25’s on this one on Betfair.

        Milesey

        • AC 4 years ago

          Yeah I thought they may have been a reason for it.

          Cheers.

          • Milesey 4 years ago

            Just like their one on friday:
            7.00 Wolverhampton
            Conversing, opened up at 10-1, was backed all the way into 6-4, and came no where in the race.

            Milesey

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      STORM 3.2 betfair
      Lingfield 4.10

      A debutant that has been backed right in, has been tipped alot on the basis of Charles Hills bringing out two debutants last year at 6f and 7f and both came in.

      Milesey

  9. jwood 4 years ago

    Nap** 3.30 leicester gandalfe 3/1….e/w 4.10 ling on with the dance. mixed sports treble ,, gandalfe,auxere,ross county(+1) 20/1 treble .

  10. Milesey 4 years ago

    Start at Lingfield and in the 14:10 where Haverstock has been backed from 7.7 in to 4.7. The Mark Johnston-trained three-year-old doesn’t have great form figures, but showed promise in maidens last year and had been running over trips of 6f and 7f which perhaps doesn’t suit him. He races over 1m2f today and his pedigree (his sire is New Approach) suggests he should enjoy the longer trip. This race is also a drop in class and the market support suggests he will be too good for his rivals today.

    Next to Leicester and in the 16:00 where Howards Legacy has been well supported this morning from 3.0 in to 2.44. A winner on his chase debut at Ffos Las in November, he also finished runner-up last month at Wincanton. He was second to Opening Batsman that day and the form has been given a boost as he won a Grade 3 chase at Kempton over the weekend. Trainer Venetia Williams has a 23% strike rate at this track and the stable have won this race three times in the last ten seasons, the market support suggests they win it again today.

    Back Haverstock @ 4.8 Lingfield 14:10
    Back Howards Legacy @ 2.44 Leicester 16:00

    Milesey ( BETFAIR )

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      14:10 Lingfield Park

      1st Gabrial The Duke
      2nd Haverstock
      3rd Taming The Tweet

  11. Arnie 4 years ago

    Howard’s Legacy 4.00 Leicester NAP
    Punt is Floralys 4.10 Lingfield

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Nice pick there Arnie 😉

      16:00 Leicester

      1st Howard’s Legacy
      2nd Quarl Ego

      Milesey

  12. FATHEAD 4 years ago

    LUCKY 15 FROM MILESEYS TIPS
    MISLEADING PROMISE 11/8
    TOUBEERA 8/11
    FRANKLIN ROOS 11/8
    BROXBOURNE 4/5
    HERES HOPING FOR A REPEAT OF YESTERDAY
    GOOD LUCK TO ALL .KEEP THE FAITH.

  13. Milesey 4 years ago

    14:20 Catterick Bridge
    1st Cara Court 160-1 Betfair

    WOW.

    Nobody picked this one then ? 😉

    Milesey

  14. FATHEAD 4 years ago

    NO WAY HOZAY LATER TOO

  15. Milesey 4 years ago

    14:40 Lingfield Park

    1st Entrapping
    2nd Aphrodite Spirit
    3RD MISLEADING PROMISE

    14:50 Catterick

    5TH TOUBEERA

    It’s going to be one of them days.

    Milesey

  16. FATHEAD 4 years ago

    LOOKING LIKE IT

  17. Milesey 4 years ago

    15:00 Leicester

    1st Franklin Roosevelt
    2nd Power Pack Jack
    3rd Thorncliffer

    and…………… we have our first winner of the day 😉

    Milesey

  18. Milesey 4 years ago

    Catterick 3.50
    BUTHELEZI *WIN*

    Now we are cooking on GAS

    😉

    Milesey

  19. Lord Clegg 4 years ago

    Milesey,

    What is the difference between a Tricast and a Trifecta bet?

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Simple answer NOTHING, trifecta is AMERICAN terms for a tricast 😉

      Milesey

      • Milesey 4 years ago

        ……. and i believe in canadian betting it’s known as a Triactor.

        Milesey

  20. Milesey 4 years ago

    PATENT/TRIXIE

    Catterick 2.50
    TOUBEERA *5TH*

    Leicester 3.0
    FRANKLIN ROOSEVELT *WIN*

    Catterick 3.50
    BUTHELEZI *WIN*

    Milesey

  21. Guido 4 years ago

    What we got to finish the day off Milesey…one or two winners?

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Leicester 5.0
      QUINTE DU CHATELET 4.6 betfair

      Lingfield 4.40
      LAY – STAR OF ROHM 1.79
      BACK – SIBAYA 7.4

      Lingfield 5.10
      BROXBOURNE 1.94 betfair

      well……… got these left for today, so hopeful of 3 winners and desperate for one to lose, STAR OF ROHM with Frank Spencer on board is my lay.

      Milesey

  22. Milesey 4 years ago

    WOW, working so hard today, just checked my betfair account and wondered where all the money has come from, didn’t know i landed my outsider of the day !

    My outsider of the day is:

    DANTE’S FROLIC *WIN*
    in the 2.50 Catterick

    Was at 18.0 / now cut into 13.0 Betfair

    Milesey

  23. Bryan 4 years ago

    Is that a 17/1 shot Milesey? Well done Sir!

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Indeed 😉

      Didn’t even see it come in before my very eyes.

      STORM 2ND
      Gamble of the day never got there. Hammered in all morning. Looks a nice horse though, just never got there in the end.

      Milesey

      • AC 4 years ago

        ahh so it got 2nd in the end … Maybe someone did know something and just fell short at the end

  24. Arnie 4 years ago

    I love this horse Everaad. My faithful

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Normally shocking anywhere else but at MESSELBURGH, but i guess not today 😉

      Milesey

  25. Arnie 4 years ago

    He and Picansort. I back them wherever they run
    My old faithfuls, even if they run against Sprinter Sacred I will back them against him, hahaahaha

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Think you will be safe there, for i can never see that happening 😉 😉

      Milesey

  26. Milesey 4 years ago

    Lingfield 4.40
    LAY – STAR OF ROHM 1.79 *2ND* Nice one FRANK SPENCER has won me some money by not winning 😉 😉
    BACK – SIBAYA 7.4 *3RD*

    Milesey

  27. Arnie 4 years ago

    Hahahaha star of rohm lost. Good lay there, laid him in running

  28. Milesey 4 years ago

    Catterick 4.50

    NO WAY HOZAY ( gone wrong, terrible shame )

    Milesey

  29. John Henderson 4 years ago

    Frank Spencer should be shot only he could manage to get that beat useless fecker.

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Wasn’t as bad as his ride on rich to riches on saturday, stood up all the way round, ass didn’t hit the saddle once when should have been driving it forward… try not to back FRANKS rides anymore, been p*ssed off so many times with the way he rides.

      Milesey

  30. John Henderson 4 years ago

    Had wee bit ew on your outsider or the day Milesey so nice 1 :)

  31. Milesey 4 years ago

    5.10 BROXBOURNE *WIN* 4 TIMER 😉

    Milesey

  32. Milesey 4 years ago

    HORSE RACING

    LINGFIELD DOUBLE

    2.40 MISLEADING PROMISE *3RD*

    5.10 BROXBOURNE *WIN*
    ————–
    PATENT/TRIXIE

    Catterick 2.50
    TOUBEERA *5TH*

    Leicester 3.0
    FRANKLIN ROOSEVELT *WIN*

    Catterick 3.50
    BUTHELEZI *WIN*
    —————-
    OUTSIDER
    DANTE’S FROLIC *WIN*
    2.50 Catterick

  33. FATHEAD 4 years ago

    Got a bit back on broxbourne
    Hope to do better on the fitba

  34. Milesey 4 years ago

    ——————————————————-
    ——————————————————-

    HORSE RACING TIPS

    WEDNESDAY 27TH FEBRUARY 2013
    —————————–

    WINCANTON 3.00
    SUSTAINABILITY 2.5
    Taken up another 3lb today, but can’t see that being enough to stop this horse from taking this one, the yard are in form, was beaten last time out but gave a good performance.

    WINCANTON 3.30
    XAARCET 7.4
    Better off in the weights today for this race, and is a horse on the up with plenty of scope.

    LINGFIELD 2.10
    IRISH BUCCANEER 1.63 ( NAP )
    Based on it’s last run out, will be very tough to beat today based on the runners in this field today. Lost to better company last time out and shouldn’t have a problem today winning this race.

    BANGOR 4.20
    COVERHOLDER 1.53 ( NAP )
    Running of a weight lower then last time out when it won to complete the 4 timer, his new mark of 110 comes in 3 days time, so is well in today.

    LINGFIELD 3.10
    LITTLE JIMMY 3.05
    This horse on the up is being slipped into fields at the moment where he doesn’t have to perform to his best to win the races. will be able to defy the weight rise and nothing i can see will give this horse any trouble.

    Can only find one horse i actually think will win at Kempton, the rest i’d be hard to pick out anything i would be confident taking. So for me it’s just:
    Kempton 6.00
    DESERT DONKEY 2.54
    Only just beaten last time out, and on that day had an amatuer on board, but today the experience of David Probert on board will give this horse every chance of winning this one. Off a mark of 64 i give this one every chance of making a winning handicap debut.

    LINGFIELD 4.10
    TEN FIRES 16.5( OUTSIDER )
    Took a risk on this horse last time out and just couldn’t handle the going on that day, and i hope the gound has firmed up abit more that will give this horse more of a chance today to at least get in the places.

    BANGOR 3.20
    SARANDO 10.5 ( OUTSIDER )
    This handicap hurdle may just give this horse a chance today, off a mark of 120 has a really decent chance today. Has been struggling of late so lets hope for a great run today.

    ——————-
    LUCKY 15

    SUSTAINABILITY

    XAARCET

    LITTLE JIMMY

    DESERT DONKEY

    ———————
    GOODLUCK today with your selections.

    Milesey

  35. Milesey 4 years ago

    WINCANTON 3.30

    Ivan Vasilevich was successful twice over hurdles last summer, and ran well in defeat when last seen at Ffos Las in August. Needs to pick up a penalty if he’s to have a chance to fulfil Cheltenham Festival ambitions.

    Home Run has really come good over hurdles recently, completing a 5-timer at Musselburgh (2m) on New Year’s Day and better still when runner-up in competitive events on last 2 starts. Can go well again.

    Suerte Al Salto was a Fontwell bumper winner who shaped promisingly when runner-up in pair of novice hurdles in November. Added to sequence of seconds in jumpers’ bumper last month, and should have more to offer.

    Xaarcet has been most progressive since sent handicapping, and completed a hat-trick over 2¾m here in the mud 11 days ago. That trip the limit of his stamina, and should have the speed to cope with this lesser test.

    Tiny Tenor showed ability in bumpers, and matched form of hurdles debut when fourth to My Tent Or Yours at Huntingdon last time. Bit more needed to defy opening mark, but in good hands, and should do better.

    Islandmagee finished in the frame on all 3 starts in bumpers, and improving with experience over hurdles. Did well given way race was run when winning handicap at Kempton last time, and 5 lb rise may undervalue that effort.

    In The Crowd looked nothing out of ordinary in 4 runs on Flat for Alan Swinbank, but off the mark at second attempt in juvenile hurdles in December. Only seventh on handicap bow at Ludlow last time, though.

    —————————————————–

    WINCANTON 3.00
    SUSTAINABILITY 2.5
    Taken up another 3lb today, but can’t see that being enough to stop this horse from taking this one, the yard are in form, was beaten last time out but gave a good performance.

    WINCANTON 3.30
    XAARCET 7.4
    Better off in the weights today for this race, and is a horse on the up with plenty of scope.

    LINGFIELD 2.10
    IRISH BUCCANEER 1.63 ( NAP )
    Based on it’s last run out, will be very tough to beat today based on the runners in this field today. Lost to better company last time out and shouldn’t have a problem today winning this race.

    BANGOR 4.20
    COVERHOLDER 1.53 ( NAP )
    Running of a weight lower then last time out when it won to complete the 4 timer, his new mark of 110 comes in 3 days time, so is well in today.

    LINGFIELD 3.10
    LITTLE JIMMY 3.05
    This horse on the up is being slipped into fields at the moment where he doesn’t have to perform to his best to win the races. will be able to defy the weight rise and nothing i can see will give this horse any trouble.

    Can only find one horse i actually think will win at Kempton, the rest i’d be hard to pick out anything i would be confident taking. So for me it’s just:
    Kempton 6.00
    DESERT DONKEY 2.54
    Only just beaten last time out, and on that day had an amatuer on board, but today the experience of David Probert on board will give this horse every chance of winning this one. Off a mark of 64 i give this one every chance of making a winning handicap debut.

    LINGFIELD 4.10
    TEN FIRES 16.5( OUTSIDER )
    Took a risk on this horse last time out and just couldn’t handle the going on that day, and i hope the gound has firmed up abit more that will give this horse more of a chance today to at least get in the places.

    BANGOR 3.20
    SARANDO 10.5 ( OUTSIDER )
    This handicap hurdle may just give this horse a chance today, off a mark of 120 has a really decent chance today. Has been struggling of late so lets hope for a great run today.

    ——————-
    LUCKY 15

    SUSTAINABILITY

    XAARCET

    LITTLE JIMMY

    DESERT DONKEY

    ———————
    GOODLUCK today with your selections.

    Milesey

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