FEB 2: UFC 156 PART 1

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Marshall Art give previews tonight’s event from Las Vegas with the action live on ESPN from 1am (Sunday). Part 2 will follow at 6pm, so check back for more tips.

UFC President Dana White has proclaimed Saturday’s main event a ‘superfight’. Whether you believe him or not, I think we can all agree that UFC 156 is the most stacked event in years.

In honour of that, we’re breaking down the entire PPV portion of the card. We’ll have the main events for you later; for now, here’s the rest of the main card.

Alistair Overeem v Antionio “Bigfoot” Silva

I’m going to state this from the off: I don’t think Antonio Silva is a good fighter. At all.

Aside from Fedor Emilianenko (who spent half his career crushing cans and was overwhelmed by the size of Silva), Bigfoot does not have a single meaningful victory. He was exposed by Cain Velasquez and Daniel Cormier systematically picked him apart. His only UFC win to date came against a one-legged Travis Browne. He has little more than his size going for him; he’s slow and plodding, his striking isn’t technical enough to make up for it and his wrestling is severely lacking when he doesn’t massively outsize his opponent.

A former K1 GP champion, Alistair Overeem is a nightmare matchup for Bigfoot. Not only does he possess some of the most accurate, powerful striking in the heavyweight division, he’s big and strong enough that he won’t be pushed around. In terms of speed Overeem is on another planet to his opponent and he’s no slouch on the ground either.

Short of somehow managing to collapse on top of his opponent, Bigfoot doesn’t have a hope.

At 1-4 (various), Overeem is a multiples-only proposition. If that’s too short for you, the Dutchman to win by knockout is (1-2, Ladbrokes).

Jon Fitch v Demian Maia

Since he dropped to welterweight, Demian Maia has seemingly remembered he’s a world class Brazilian jiu-jitsu practitioner. He went aggressively for the takedown against Dong Hyun Kim before a freak injury ended the fight, then thoroughly dismantled Rick Story.

His opponent is experiencing a similar career resurgence. Having realised that his old fighting style of grinding out victories was unlikely to ever result in a title shot, Jon Fitch decided to make a change. The result? The total annihilation of Brazilian prospect Erick Silva.

Stylistically this fight is a conundrum. Jon Fitch has time and again exhibited a dexterity for escaping submissions, but he’s facing the greatest submission threat of his career. Maia on the other hand has been

The problem Maia faces is something he has zero control over – the way fights are judged. I can see this going to ground with Fitch on top but Maia threatening constantly from the bottom. The judges will call a fight like this in favour of Fitch, simply because of his ‘dominant’ position.

If you think Maia can take it in the distance, he’s 4-1 (Paddy Power) to win by submission. If not, go for Fitch to take the W (4-7, Skybet).

Full bet recommendations will be included in part 2.

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2 Comments
  1. Plastikman 5 years ago

    Agree with your picks. Overeem is on a different level to Silva and feel he takes this inside the distance. I feel like Silva is being fed to the lions here.

    Fitch looked great last time out and I feel he’s got the beating over anyone at his weight apart from GSP. When Hendricks knocked him out I was a bit surprised at the time but Hendricks has done that to most opponents! Most of the fight will be spent on the ground with Fitch on top and Maia attempting submissions.No bet for me on this one- there are better opportunities on this card to make money.

  2. Profile photo of paul watson Author
    paul watson 5 years ago

    Thanks for the feedback. Fitch really seemed to have turned a corner in his last fight, oddly enough the Hendricks knockout appears to have woken him up. I think he’s too good to get caught by Maia but whatever way it goes, it’ll be a great fight.

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