IT was all about the Europa League yesterday and my only bet was a 1pt both to score treble and it was always going to be difficult to land with just five out of 16 ties bringing up the market.
Well done to anyone who landed winners but looking at the results there won't have been too many.
Saturday's a tough card but I'm putting up an early Super Single of Millwall to beat Leicester. The Lions have already defeated Bournemouth and Watford and Claudio Ranieri says he'll make 10 changes. Take a chance on Millwall at 21-10 with Coral and it's a price that could drop.
Tonight two big names are in action as they try to cement their places at the top of their respective tables.
Monaco travel to Bastia and Juventus entertain Palermo and I can't see anything but two wins. Juve are extremely short but Juve to score 2+ doubles with Monaco pays evens and I'm taking that as a big Super Single as I try to address the losses.
Juve have won their last five matches to nil so that's an alternative at 8-11 with Paddy Power – and they haven't conceded in four at home to Palermo. Four of their last five victories have been by 2-0 so take the to score 2+ or win to nil.
Monaco have won four in a row and on their last three visits to Bastia who they beat 5-0 at home earlier in the season.
It's Friday night so that means Top Oss who I think have now racked up 22 matches in a row over 2.5 goals. Next up for Top Oss is a visit from Den Bosch – Mr Orange's team – and overs pays 4-9 at Coral.
Mr Orange has put up a good write-up on several Dutch games and is leaving the Top Oss game out due to the short price and Den Bosch injuries. However, I'm taking over 2.5 goals in a treble with one of his tips, both to score between much-changed sides Roda and Go Ahead Eagles.
Complete a goals treble with one of my own. Augsburg face Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga and h2h suggests both to score – 3-3, 2-2, 1-3, 1-3 and 1-4 are the results in the last five meetings at Augsburg.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their tips and video chat.
5pts Super Single
Juventus to score 2+ (7.45pm)
Monaco (7.45pm)
(1-1, BetStars)
2pt Super Single
Millwall (Sat)
(21-10, Coral)
2pts Goals Treble
Roda v Go Ahead btts (7pm)
Top Oss v Den Bosch over 2.5 goals (7pm)
Augsburg v Bayer btts (7.30pm)
(43-10, bet365, Coral)
February Super Singles Total
Profit: -8.7pts (11 bets, 3 winners)
February Advised Accas Total
Profit: -5.5pts (28 bets, 7 winners)
You may be familiar with Marathonbet via their partnerships with Manchester United, Hibernian and Malaga CF, well now I've teamed up with them to bring you my Top Tips. They've been making a splash in the last 12 months with hugely competitive odds and a massive range of in-play markets to rival the very best. Give Marathonbet a go by signing-up using the button below and claim a £20 welcome bonus.
> Join MarathonBet today!
In December 2020 we sadly 
Had Arduiz Zlatan & Dzeko treble at 9/1
Schalke & Roma at 11/2 enhanced offer & Shakhtar & Lyon at 39/10 but all my odds on bets lost that’s the Europa League in a nutshell
I may end up with egg on my face but h2h support this bet,had it pencilled in after their last game,most other bookies have it as low as 8/13&bet 365 still have it at 5/6 so have 2.5points on Young boys btts&overs,another bet I’ve done is Man City v Monaco btts&overs@11/10 2.5points,hoping no other injuries before that game but that’s the gamble&also 0.5 point on Norwich,Sheff Wed win double over 7/2?
“Early Bird Catches The Worm Special” – it’s very early days in this League (in fact, it’s one matchday old) but with 33 goals scored in the first round of seven fixtures, you’ve gotta be looking at more goals surely. Match Overs are priced unbackably low so I’m going for a double-yer-dough – and a bit on top – treble of BTTS YES.
Australian NPL Victoria U21
Oakleigh Cannons v Bulleen Lions (7.15am)
Melbourne Knights v Pascoe Vale (7.15am)
Port Melbourne v South Melbourne (7.30am)
(5/4 Coral) Thanks very much.
One out, as Port Melbourne run out potless. Nothing doing.
Fridays Bet
Teams to score
Venlo
Almere City
Den Bosch
22/25
Betway – 4 Points
February Profit/Loss: +7.20 Points
One for Sunday im going all out on
Feyenoord Over 1.5 team goals
Fulham to score
24/25
Coral / Boylesports / Betstars
**Double Stake** – 10 Points
No joy on the bets last night but correctly pointed out Aduriz to net for Bilbao on what is usually a tough night in the Europa. Back to Friday and some teams we’re glad to see. I’m not betting on Monaco but that’s because of their tie in Manchester next week, but should field a fairly strong squad at Bastia to keep ahead of PSG.
First pick is from a game in the Belgian 2nd Division where Lommel are set for the drop against a side chasing top spot with two games to play, with a home game against second place on the final game of the season. Lommel have lost four of their last six and the wind should already be out of the sails by now. Lierse have scored 8 in their last three games with three wins and five in the reverse tie with Dylan De Belder scoring twice. The Belgian has 21 of their goals this season with 4 in their last three wins.
Double that up with the Newcastle Jets who play the free conceding Adelaide, who I thought would be good for a goal at home to Perth last week. The result ended 5-0 and they now have a tough ask. Not only are they bottom of the A-League and likely out of the playoffs, they also have an AFC Champions League contest to play in, hosting Gamba Osaka next week. The Jets bored out a few on site with a 0-0 draw against the Victory, but they were the much better side and unlucky not to take 3 points.
If Adelaide play anything like they have over the past few weeks then the Jets price is very tempting but not something I’d promote in the A-League. The Jets have scored 9 in their last 5 road games only drawing a blank against the Wanderers. I’d like to think BTTS & Over 2.5 should land here but I’m not putting faith in Adelaide this week.
Lierse Over 1.5 Team Goals
Newcastle Jets To Score
EVS @ 365 – 3 points
Dylan De Belder (Lierse) Anytime @ 17/20 @ 888Sport – 2 points
Newcastle Jets Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 5/4 @ Various – 2 points
Adelaide United v Newcastle Jets:
For the first match in round 20, we have the rather terrible Adelaide against a stuttering Jets side. The Reds do have a few players coming back tonight, with Marrone, Isaias and Warland all returning to the squad. They are now missing La Rocca through injury, and Galekovic, Kitto and Elsey are also still out. I talked about the huge impact that Galekovic has on this side last week, and we saw the abject defensive display last round without their number 1 keeper and captain. In fairness that was against a vastly superior Perth side.. but also a side who has a terrible away record, and prior to that match only 1 away win in 9 games.
Newcastle have similar poor away in the league to the Glory, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses to their record. Tonight sees Clut and Allwright return, but they are also missing number 1 goalie Kennedy.
Whilst Adelaide literally have nothing to play for anymore, and must have one eye on their upcoming ACL fixture, the Jets are trying to fend off Wanderers, Phoenix and Mariners, and retain a top 6 position. They are equal on points with Wanderers, and only 2 points above the other sides, so 3 points here is crucial for them. And I really don’t the away team to disappoint here tonight, as I expect more of the same rubbish from the Reds!
Also the card line is way too low on an Adelaide side that is looking terrible, fielding a poor defense, and likely to be embarrassed at home… again. 2 cards in 90 mins? Yes please sir, may I have some more?
And well.. you can’t say I’m not consistent on backing Andrew Nabbout! He’s won for me 2 out of 3 times I’ve posted on here. Usually at odds range of 2.75 – 3.0.
Tips:
Newcastle (0 asian handicap) @ 2.08 (3PT)
Nabbout (atgs) @ 2.75 (2PT)
Newcastle Jets – over 1.5 team goals @ 2.25 (2PT)
Adelaide – over 1.5 team cards @ 1.83 (2PT)
Like Obi I really fancy the Jets to get a result against a very poor Adelaide side this morning so I have pulled together a couple of doubles to keep me interested while I watch the game.
Adelaide O 1.5 cards & Jets O 4.5 team corners @ 2.7/1
Nabbout ATGS & O 10 match corners @ 4.4/1
Good luck :)
Australia A league 850
It’s fair to say the a league has been a bit of a letdown for goals in a lot of matches recently, so as nothing jumps out at me massively for this game I’m going to take a chance on the dreaded unders and no for both teams to score. A quick look at h2h backs this up, where both teams have netted in only 3 of the last 10 games, and it’s the same for overs. The jets were pretty impressive in keeping the victory out last time around and if they can produce the same again at the back, they should have no problems keeping out an Adelaide side who are putting up a worse title defence than Leicester. This is Australia of course so there could be goals goals goals and both bets could be bust by ht so if you follow I suggest small stakes. Suggested bets
Under 2.5mgs 5/4 William hill 1pt
Btts-no 13/10 coral 1pt
For tonight all Dutch Jupiler games over 1.5 mgs
143/50 ladbrokes 2pts
Under 2.5 ✅
Btts-no✅
Adelaide goal was a pen, even sweeter, hope you were on this game @cockerspaniel
I was on the pen sean i have had a good week so far mate. i think i will start keeping a record starting next month of the penalty bets i know i am well ahead over the season but i don`t know by how much .
Probably not get any up when i start it doing tho.
Sorry sean i was on Mrs cockerspaniel`s log in never realised.lol
Good stuff mate. Was on myself this morning.
As the NBA is off for a week, I’m gunna start posting some football bets.
I generally look for goals… first game I like tonight
Holland Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport v FC Emman
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 (Bet 365)
Emman have conceded 10 in their last 4 away games, and over 2.5 has hit in 4 of their last 5.
Helmond have scored 11 in their last 4 home games.
Looking at h2h stats, at least 3 goals have been scored in 6 of the last 7 games between the 2 sides. A huge 28 goals in total.
Over 2.5 has a good chance here.
Morning all
Good couple of days for me so hoping to continue into Friday
Turkey super lig
Kayserispor v buraspor
Kayeserispor over 1.5 tg 11/10
German bundesliga ll
Eintract braunscweig v erzgebirge
Eintract over 1.5tg 10/11
Double 3/1
Good luck with your bets
Adelaide United v Newcastle Jets
Hopefully a straightforward BTTS and O2.5MG 4 points @ evs Net 365
Another game I like for goals
Holland Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap v Tel star
Over 3 (Goal Line) @ 1.925 (Bet 365).
Good luck all.
France – Ligue 2 – 7pm
Auxerre v Ajaccio
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Paddy Power)
*******************
France – Championnat National – 7pm
Quevilly v Les Herbiers
2-3 Match Goals
2.10 (Bet Victor)
*******************
Double 4.10 (Bet365)
*******************
Total staked: 3pts
February Profit/Loss: -0.94pts
Good luck today/tonight gents
3 from 5 last night, annoying with the Andelecht game going 2-0 early in the first half but not seeing the third goal needed. Plenty of action today. Not something I normally go for but I don’t see many goals in the adelaide game. Under 2 asian goals is 6/4 could be worth a penny
Helmond over 2.5mgs
Leverkusen to score
Monaco over 1.5tgs
Treble returns 5/2
In play
ATM v uitm
Over 2.5 mgls currently ht
1.80 (4/5)
Won
Just logged in I c there’s another 0-0 cracker going o. In Adelaide this morning.
Cheers Hampy in after 57 mins great start to the day
No probs wish they was all that easy :)
Juventus 2.5 team 1.83
Bastia v Monaco over 2.5 mgls 1.72
Achillie v ajax red over 3,3.5 goal line 1.825
Higuain to score 2+ 2.87
Adelaide v new jets
No 2nd goal 1.83 riaky
Won
*balls still intact*
Morning!
HEIDENHEIM to score .
SANDHAUSEN to score.
DOUBLE pays a touch over EVENS.
Summary: Stuttgart have conceded in 7 of 10 away games. The 3 clean sheets came against St Pauli, Kaiserslautern and Erzgebirge, the 3 lowest scorers on home soil! Today’s opponents Heidenheim have scored in all bar 1 home game thus far, and are currently 4th highest scorers on home turf, netting 17 times in 10.
A lot harder to throw stats at Sandhausen to score when looking at opponents Kaiserslautern home record! But there’s factors I believe need to be taken into consideration. Yes Kaiserslautern haven’t conceded at home for 7 games, but they’ve had a change in manager, and although the 3 games since the change have been low scoring affairs , they’ve been playing a far more expansive game.
Sandhausen have been in fine form on their travels scoring 10 in last 5, failing to hit the target at Hannover, but gained a more than creditable draw. Strongly fancy them to score today, and wouldn’t be surprised if they scored over 1.5 TGS.
Good luck all with bets today ?
LOST! Sandhausen struck woodwork twice before going down 3-0! Very fine lines this betting lark!?
Aussie games are so unpredictable :-/
Having a go on Port Melbourne to score another
4-0 up on 66 mins
2.37
2 POINTS
As stated last week, the A League is toilet
You’re mugging yourself backing anything in those games, especially repeatedly like btts and o2.5
After I watched a couple of these A league games I stopped betting on them, horrible.
Penalties and bookings are your best bet in this league mr. o
Yeah i’m totalling sacking A League off now.
Dutch Eredivisie
Roda JC v Go Ahead Eagles (Friday)
A relegation battle tonight in Kerkrade were Roda take on Go Ahead Eagles. These two teams have improved after the winter break by bringing in new players. Roda signed 9 (!) new players during the break and Go Ahead brought in 4 new players who made a imediate impact on the results. Go Ahead won their last 2 games and scored in all games in the new year. Crowley (Arsenal), Chirivella (Liverpool) and Manu (Brighton) were thrown straight in the starting XI and it looks like this team is able to avoid relegation. Roda’s problem was scoring goals as they only netted 8 times in 22 games. They almost doubled their goal production in the last 3 games, by scoring 6 goals (4-0, 0-2, 2-2). They played really well at home against Ajax (0-2) and should have scored in that game. This is a huge game in the relegation zone and I can see both teams score in their current form.
Both teams to score @ 1.91 various
ADO Den Haag v Feyenoord (Sunday)
Feyenoord are still on course to win their first league title since 1999. They are playing very well and not conceding many goals. They head to neighbouring city Den Haag on Sunday and I can see them take the 3 points. Den Haag have a new coach, but he was amazed by the level of football and the mental state of the squad. They are in terrible form, losing their last 5 games and are now bottom of the league. I can’t see them getting a result when the league leaders come to town. It’s looks like a 0-2 result to me and Feyenoord covering the -1.5 handicap.
Feyenoord -1.5 asian hanicap @ 1.91 various
Mr F mentioned my team Den Bosch who travel 15 minutes down to Oss tonight. Den Bosch will be without Beltrame, Regales and Schet which is a huge blow. I can’t name a winner in this game, so the only thing to look for are goals. But with the odds being so low I will give it a miss.
Cheers for all the Dutch info.
A League what an absolute joke of a league!!!
Waste of money if you back these muppets. Amateur hour at the zoo!!!
In play
Sorretto 20s over 5 goal line 1.80
30mins left currently 2-2
Lost. Thought wed see at least one more
Adelaide game under 2 goals **won**
2017 Bets 36 W20 L16 +6.9 units
Poor day yesterday 0-3 -4.5
Bet 37 – in play 15 mins 0-0
Over 2.5 Persela Lamongan v Persib
Odds 2.10 1 unit
Bet 38 same game
Both score yes
Odds 2.30 1 unit
Looks like a few toys out the pram this morning. That result downed two bets for me but not a drop of milk has been spilled. It’s amazing the amount of negative comments that get put up compared to when bets actually win. A-League is a class league for goals and the majority know that. @obi-wan-cannoli gives the best insight into these games and even he gets them wrong. Some people will always voice displeasure over joy I suppose. Back to work guys :D
Well I’m feeling bitter today I admit it…. I’m really hungover and tired in work, just having a mard.
I would never call someone out for giving a ‘bad tip’ that’s just a bit pathetic, no-one is forced to follow.
I do find A-league very unpredictable of late though…
I agree @jordan the A League is amazing for goals. It’s painful to see the Jets playing the way they are though. It’s as if they’ve said we’re going to concentrate on keeping clean sheets. They’ve now gone two games without scoring and don’t look like scoring to be fair. Naboout and Hoole look completely ineffective in the last two games due to their new possession style. They operate best when they get the ball wide to either of these and attack quickly and with purpose.
I’ll be staying away from them until the manager drops this defensively over-cautious style of play.
Thanks Jordan. I’ve noticed a lot of negativity towards the A-league every time a result goes pear-shaped. I generally just keep my mouth shut.
Every league has its own ups and downs. I appreciate better than many on here, how unpredictable the A-league can be, but outright slagging off the league and Aussies is a bit unnecessary.
You roll with the gambling punches, dust yourself off, and try again tomorrow. With very little lost even on a bad day, with following all the wonderful regulars on this very forum.
I’m a glass half full kind of guy though. :)
This time last week we were all patting ourselves on the back for cleaning up on the Perth game. I won on Obi’s card bet but picked the wrong team for goals, corners etc. – not the first time and won’t be the last but I’ve got over it! Maybe Newcastle didn’t perform because they played on Monday and Adelaide last Friday or because it’s their bogey ground, I put too much emphasis on the ACL fixture I think. Do the research, make a decision and make more than you loose (easy!!). I must admit the A-League owes me nothing so far this year.
lol I placed 4 bets on the a league this morn all of which won. The 2 I tipped on here, @obi wans Adelaide card line and the match card line as well. Won’t hear a word against it???
In all seriousness as Jordan has pointed out before for the A league it’s about knowing which games to put which bets on. As I said in my preview all the h2h stats between these 2 pointed to unders and btts no.
Draws bet
Cefn druids v Newtown
Heidenheim v Stuttgart
Granada v real betis
Red star v Strasbourg
4 x trebles
1 fourfold
All bets to win 237/1
On it ??
Yeah I was on 50 or more booking points and my penalty bets so i aint complaining .
After hours of analysis and stats popping out of my ears, I have chosen 4 games for Saturday’s best bets with 3 games from the Bundesliga and 1 from La Liga forming the bulk of my selections.
Here then are my highly detailed Key Facts for 4 big games on your Saturday.
#BOlieve
14:30 Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
Prediction 2.2
Best Bets – BTTS @4/6, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1
Key Facts
*Mainz have seen BTTS IN 7 of their last 10 home league fixtures. 6 of those all went over 2.5 goals (70% and 60% success rate)
*Mainz have won 5 of their last 8 home league fixtures with their only defeat at the hands of champions Bayern
*Mainz have only lost 3 of their last 21 home league fixtures
*Mainz have scored 2 goals or more in 7 of their last 10 home league fixtures (70%)
*Mainz have scored 21 goals in those 10 fixtures, averaging at more than 2 per game over the perid.
*Werder have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 8 away league fixtures. 6 of those also went over 2.5 goals (87.5% and 75%)
*Werder have kept only 3 clean-sheets in their last 48 away league fixtures! (6%)
*Werder have scored in 30 of their last 36 away league fixtures in the past 2 years (83%) More recently, they have scored in each of their last 8 league fixtures on the road.
*Werder have seen BTTS in 17 of their last 19 league games (home and away) (89%)
*Werder Bremen have picked up 5 points from their 4 most recent away league fixtures. Their 12 previous away league fixtures produced the same tally of just 5 points.
*Werder have lost only 1 of their last 9 trips to Mainz
*Werder have won both of their last 2 matches at Mainz in the last 2 years. Both matches also saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored
*4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS (80%)
*7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides in Mainz saw BTTS. 5 of those also went over 2.5 goals (87.5% and 62.5%)
*8 of the last 14 meetings between these two sides has seen the AWAY team take the win. Only 2 of those 14 matches produced a home winner.
Final Result (implied probability vs stats)
BTTS @4/6 = 60% probability
BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1 – = 50% Probability
Final Verdict
Numbers are they key to success and from now on, I will be providing even more analysis in order to understand whether a bet really offers value or not.
My method, as you can see from the stats, is to find matches where both teams are prominent in the popular goal markets.
Here, for our first match, BTTS is priced @4/6 which gives us an implied probability of 60% for BTTS. In other words, the bookies think this one has a 60% chance of seeing BTTS; The important question though, is whether the odds and the stats weigh-up and whether the price offers value to the likelihood of that outcome.
I have highlighted the % result for the important stats (BTTS records for both teams, over 2.5 goals home and away records and past meetings) in my key facts and as we can see, all of them are above that 60% probability that the price of 4/6 suggests.
Of course, numbers are not our only determining factor when deciding to make a selection and even when the numbers add up, sometimes the result doesn’t. In this instance, I’m happy to take both picks, particularly given Werder’s form in the markets and Mainz own record of scoring goals at home.
Therefor I am confident that both of these selections offer value on the prices offered and for that reason, both selections will be in my final picks for Saturday.
Best Bets – BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @4/6, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @1/1
Preview #2
14:30 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ingolstadt
Prediction – 2.0
Best Bets – Frankfurt to win @21/20
Key Facts
Frankfurt are unbeaten in their last 11 home league fixtures with 8 wins and 3 draw (72% win ration)
Indeed, Frankfurt have won 4 of their last 5 at home, scoring 8 and conceding only 1 goal
Frankfurt have already beaten Dortmund and held Bayern Munich on their own patch in the Bundesliga
Frankfurt have kept clean-sheets in 6 of their last 10 home league fixtures including 4 of the last 5
Frankfurt sit proudly in 3rd place in the league table, 1 point ahead of both Dortmund and Hoffenheim.
Ingolstadt are 2nd bottom of the league and a full 20 points behind their opponents here
Ingolstadt have lost 7 of their last 9 away league fixtures (78% loss ratio)
Going back further, they have lost 15 of their last 20 away league fixtures (75% loss ratio)
Ingolstadt have improved after a dreadful start to the season. Having won none of their first 15 league fixtures, they have since won 4 of the next 10.
However, they have now lost 4 of their last 5 in the league and remain in deep trouble with only 15 points taken from 20 league fixtures
Final Result (implied probability vs stats)
Frankfurt to win @21/20 = 48.8% Implied Probability
Final Verdict
Given the price here, I am jumping all over a home win with the stats suggesting this one should be much shorter than the generous 21/20 on offer although Frankfurt do have some injury problems to contend with.
The visitors do not travel well and given Frankfurt’s home form, and the confidence generated from 2 successive wins that have lifted the hosts to 3rd in the table, I can’t see past a home win here and given the price, this has to be one of my best bets for the weekend.
Best Bets – Frankfurt to win @21/20 (*********NAP*******
If you want more of these, simply look for a man called Bo, who happens to break bookies!
Have a great weekend all, and good luck!
Morning gents
As expected it was a tough night in in the Europa league – a much more famailar card
Troyes v Nimes KO 7pm
This looks the best match on the card for goals Tonight in Ligue 2! Troyes last three at home have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals whilst Nimes have a terrific scoring record in their away matches! 8 of their last 10 have seen BTTS and over 2.5! Nimes have been in fine scoring form since the winter break scoring 3,2,2,3,1! Meetings between these two haven’t been shy of a a goal either with 6 of the last 7 seeing over 2.5 and BTTS!
Expecting both sides to net here and that should lead us to goals
Back over 2.5 match goals 9/10 (Bet365) (NAP)
France Ligue 2, Ajaccio v Niort:
O2.5 mgls @ 5/4
Looks like good value considering the stats – any thoughts @gregbrowning?
Double pays 19/20:
FC Oss v Den Bosch o2.5 mgls
Ajaccio v Niort o1.5 mgls
Spain Primera Liga
Granada v Real Betis – half with most goals 2nd half 11/10 Bet365 **NAP**
———————————————————————————————-
Holland Eesrte Division 19:00
FC Oss vs FC Den Bosch – over 2.5 MG’s
Belgium First Division A 19:30
Westerlo vs Club Brugge – Club Brugge HT result
Double 8/5 Bet365 **NB**
Good luck all
***Bet with a warning***
Everything I’ve backed this week has flopped however:
Wolves v Chelsea, FA Cup, 17.30, BT Sports
Wolves surely can’t do it again, can they? I’ve looked this morning and at 10/1 it’s tempting…but sadly a big fat no.
Despite going to the game and it being a full house I quite simply cannot see Chelsea failing to over-power us even with their fringe players in the ilk of Fabregas and Bathsuayi (sp) (not bad for the fringe players)
Wolves did the business away at Stoke and Liverpool and played without fear. At home I think there will be an element of expectation on us now to at least give Chelsea a game. Tactically I reckon Lambert has to play it defensively and keep Chelsea out, hopefully from a supporters point of view making it a bit of a chess match, meaning a tight affair.
I don’t think it will take Chelsea long to get to grips with the atmosphere and I’d fully expect them to punish us before the break and once they get 1, I fear they may get 3 or 4.
Chelsea are 4/11 to win the game and I am quite surprised that you can get evens for -1, (although this is dropping to 10/11 with some bookmakers already).
Chelsea to win to nil must also be considered (5/4), as Wolves, since hitting three at Oakwell on the back of the win at Liverpool have netted just once at Burton and that was from the spot. Two successive 1-0 home defeats to Newcastle and Wigan saw poor performances and an inability to create many decent chances.
As I’m going to the game I won’t be placing these bets and will more than likely bet from the heart and bang a fiver on us to win once I see the crowd and hear the atmosphere. Today, sat here assessing how we’ve been playing, and how Chelsea have been doing it’s a no brainer and Chelsea should win this with room to spare.
Suggested bets:
Chelsea -1 (evens)
Chelsea -2 (13/5)
Chelsea to win to nil (5/4)
Chelsea HT/FT (21/20)
Chelsea 3-0 (17/2)
Chelsea 4-0 (16/1)
Prediction:
Wolves 0-3 Chelsea
(Hope I’m wrong)
Chelsea for me although maybe only 1-0 or 2-0. Wolves have gone right off the boil and Chelsea should play a strong side.
I suppose it depends how ruthless they want to be. At 2-0 they may just see the game out but on evidence of what they’ve done in the cup previously I wouldn’t be surprised to see them net a few. Time will tell.
In other games does anyone fancy Sutton at 20/1? Surely worth a couple of quid. Arsenal won’t like it there.
Can’t see Sutton getting close to Arsenal – the gap’s too big.
For me Arsenal -2 looks good.
Agree with mr f Craig, I’m from Sutton and have seen them quite a lot this season but the gulf in this game is too big, deacon could cause problems for the arsenal defence and I can see him scoring but defensively Sutton will struggle to cope with the pace 5-1 to arsenal is my prediction hope I’m wrong
The above refers to Gazelec Ajaccio, but also think there is value in o2.5 mgls in AC Ajaccios match or possibly an o1.5 mgls double. No guarantees in Ligue 2 so I’m keeping stakes fairly low:
Auxerre v Ajaccio AC o2.5 mgls@ 27/20
o1.5 mgls double pays just under evens:
Gazelec Ajaccio v Niort
Auxerre v Ajaccio AC
Last night was a complete washout and £35 down the drain. The europa league was kind to me in the group stages but is now on the naughty chair.
Tonight it’s everyone’s favourite Dutch league I’m on
£20 btts over 2.5 treble of
Almere city
Fc oss
Achilles
And a £20 trixie of
De graafschaap
Fortuna
RKC
I’m also adding all 6 together in a £5 6 team acca.
After last night £75 up for the month
Good luck
Gotta lost yesterday, gonna try another treble today.
– Eintracht Braunschweig -0.50
– Club Brugge -1.25
– AS Monaco -1.25
Goodluck guys!!
Posted y/day
Oss v Den Bosch, Almere v Cambuur > 2.5 MGS 6/5
Jong Ajax, Monaco > 1.5 TGS 7/5
Mbappe ATGS 11/8 (if he starts)
Also
Higuain, Falcao ATGS Double 1.5/1 (again if they start)
Friday BTTS Double
Almere City v Cambuur
Oss v Den Bosch
1.02/1
(365)
Saturday BTTS Double
Airbus v Rhyl
Airdrie v Livingston
1.46/1
(365)
Over 2.5 Match Goals Weekend Acca
Achilles 29 v Ajax Reserves (Fri)
Oss v Den Bosch (Fri)
Airbus v Rhyl (Sat)
Airdrie v Livingston (Sat)
Lucerne v Thun (Sat)
Young Boys v St Gallen (Sat)
Vaduz v Lugano (Sun)
20/1 (was 18.68/1)
(365)
Good luck with your bets ?
Got to be said all these Dutch games could go over 2.5 tonight, the two dodgiest looking ones are the bottom two on Flashscores.
All the rest I’m having as an over 2.5 treble.
Just seen in the Wolves v Chelsea game…
Wolves to get the first yellow card 11/10…seems decent value.
craigy what bookie is that with mate ?
Found it mate skybet, will be on that cheers.
See Greg has already tipped this and have to agree Troyes looks a good shout for goals.
Troyes V Nimes over 2.5 goals
9/10
Juve to win both halves 21/20
With Juve being as short as 1/8 I feel this offers some value. Palermo have scored just once in their last 10 meetings with Juve home and away. Missing Chiellini today but not expecting Palermo to be creating too many chances so I’m hoping a minimum of single goal either side of the half should be enough to see it land.
€50 viking fk game over 3.5 mgs returns €90
Adelaide United v Newcastle Jets
Hopefully a straightforward BTTS and O2.5MG 4 points @ evs Net 365
***LOST***
My tips have been nothing short of disasterous this month and I am now about 15 points down on advised bets. So hanging up my hat for the rest of the month and becoming a follower as I am about 50 points up (net 35) just following the regs @jordan @gregbrowning and @hullshaker along with Mr F of course (sometimes with small adjustments). I don’t follow every bet and always thoroughly research the tips provided as you can’t just follow blindly and should be happy with a recommendation before parting with your hard earned cash.
Ditto hudson – been a shocker of a month for me too…looking to catch a break later on tonight ??
Well I hope you get it as your one of the 4 I am relying on until the end of the month ???
Afternoon all!
There are plenty of old favourites in action tonight (Monaco, Oss…) but one game that has caught my eye is the game between Sittard and Jong Utrecht.
I backed Waalwijk to score 2 at home to the Utrecht reserve side 11 days ago, only for Utrecht to get their first away win of the season in a 1-2 victory. Waalwijk followed that up by scoring 3 away at Breda (curse them), but it’s Utrecht and their away form that again appeals. Today they visit Sittard, who have started a mini resurgence of late. 5 second half goals against Jong Ajax, a goal at Cambuur and 2 on their travels to Dordrecht suggest they’re starting to find the net again. Despite conceding in their last 6 home games, Sittard started the season very strongly at home. Tonight might be the night they return to that kind of form.
However, I fancy Utrecht to cause problems and grab a goal for themselves. They average a goal scored in each away game, where the matches average 3.3 goals per game. They’ve scored 7 in their last 4 and notched at tougher grounds than Sittard’s. The value on the market below is therefore very tempting given the typical prices we see for goals in this league.
Fortuna Sittard vs Jong Utrecht BTTS and O2.5 Match Goals @ 9/10 (Bet365)
Add: Juventus O1.5 Team Goals
Double @ 29/20 (Bet365)
________________________________________________________________
Good luck. :)
Jagiellonia Białystok match kicking off at 5pm today. Jagiellonia should be winning comfortably here but there is little value on them I feel.
Can consider over 1.5 Jagiellonia team goals in play.
Current goal time is to score before 39 minutes at 1.83.
Cretiel v Chatearoux 19.00 KO
BTTS 4/5
OVERS 21/20
BTTS/OVERS 11/8
BTTS In both halves 16/1 (SS)
Augsberg v Leverkusen (7.30pm)
Augsberg to score 50,000th Bundesliga goal (score first)
(11/8) Thanks very much.
Bundesliga 1 goals, that is.
Bellerabi bags the opener…..for Bayer.
In play
Jagiellonia v gornik
1.5 home team goals
Currently 1.72
Night owl lost but onwards&upwards
Lierse over 1.5tgls
Sport boys over 1.5tgls
Roda JC btts
Odds 4/1
weekend acca
juventus
Monaco
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
Chelsea to qualify
Man united
Paris saint German
5.11/1 @betway
All 3 German bundlesliga 2 games kicking off at 5.30
Over 1.5mgs treble returns 8/5
**WON**
All in 56mins
Quite like the over 1.5mgs goal bet
Nice one – it’s not a bad league for goals.
Yeah been keeping an eye on it in recent weeks
Home teams often do well & are good odds for over 1.5tgs or for in play bets when only got 1 goal & are looking for another
Cover on Jagiellonia match under 1.5 team goals but with goal before 39 minutes in I’m letting it run. ,?
That was quick as advised
Jagiellonia over 1.5 team goals. In play was available 1.83. ?
Jagiellonia goal before 39 mins. ?
2 lovely early winners
Jumped on myself sorry didn’t see your post bud. Well played
Nothing to be sorry about. Glad you were on.
Getting on over 14 corners @ 1.83 been 10 already
Won on corners ;)
Liam, look in with a good shout mate – good luck
Tonight
Over 1.5 Mgs treble
Rosa
Lierse
Oss
Odds 2.00 4 units
Dam predictive – Roda
craigyboy flagged up Wolves to be first team carded 11/10. betfair have Chelsea first team carded 23/20 so unless there are no bookings if you bet both teams you can`t lose or am i missing something ?
Sorry betfair have Wolves 23/20 and paddypower have chelsea 11/10
That’s right unless as you say no bookings.
Monaco
Mbappe on the bench – Lemar, Falcao and Germain start – strong line up
Will take Germain ATGS 5/4
after a decent wee run over the past few days last nite and the nite owl was rotten………. bit late in tonite and some games ko’d
volendam o1.5 2ndhmgls 6/5 seems very good value to me……..
Monaco, porto, juve o1.5tgs termalica o1.5mgs 5/2
100% guaranteed shoe in………….
Monaco o2.5tgs, nimes o1.5tgs, juve, lierse overs 23/1
GL all with a bet on…………….
plus be keeping an eye on the Iceland games too…………….
nice arras dc WD cannae beat an early win…………….
Cheers crane always good to start with a wee win….hoping it continues tonight
I’m surely due one or is it gona be another goal short job
Good luck with your bets……if it’s 100% guaranteed then count me in
Next kick off in Poland at 7.30 and I fancy Lechia Gdańsk to beat termalica. Termalica have a weak defence and have there main centre back out with a replacement who has only played 2 matches. When they play against top opposition like Lechia Gdańsk they tend to concede a few.
Best bets Lechia Gdańsk win
Lechia Gdańsk over 1.5 team goals.
Over 2.5 MGS looks good at 23/20
Tours (in play)
Termalica
Over 1.5mgs double tad over evens
Pardon ma French should be Troyes not tours
Lost
Struggling to find value in the goal scorers tonight so I’m going to wait for in play for the likes of falcao and Higuain
Germain is a good shout
Paulo Dyabal to score anytime (NAP)
10/11 @bet365
Treble @ 1.53/1
Juventus Over 1.5 Team Goals
Monaco to Win
Granada v Betis – Over 1.5 Match Goals
Good Luck with your bets
Chicharito ags 13/8
**WON** a man back in form
Dylan De Belder (Lierse) Anytime @ 17/20 @ 888Sport – 2 points **WIN**
?
€60 bayer leverkusen 3rd goal before 80 mins returns €110
€60 bayer leverkusen 3rd goal before 80 mins returns €110
Evening gents,
Safe to say my current form is nothing short of abysmal and whilst January was a cracker of a month, February is proving to be a crapper ?
One game in Chile that looks OK later on and two in Paraguay but Jordan made a really valid comment the other day – when your luck is out, it doesn’t half knock confidence in picks you’d otherwise be confident in!
SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE VS. SPORTIVO LUQUEÑO (21.00 KO):
New boys Trinidense have started the campaign with a 0-3 home defeat to a strong Olimpia outfit followed by an away point (1-1) to a much more vulnerable Rubio Nu side.
Tonight’s opponents, Luqeno were middle of the roaders in 2016 (much similar to Rubio Nu actually in terms of performance) and kicked off their own season with a 2-1 defeat away to General Diaz.
I reckon there’s a high probability of both team’s netting tonight and 1st half goals are – and have been – commonplace in the Paraguayan top flight…Coral’s prices have a marginal edge and I’ll be on two selections:
BTTS…8/13
???
BTTS 1ST HALF…10/3
?
Be warned though – I could well fall into a bathful of tits and come out sucking my thumb at the minute so stakes best kept low.
Good luck ?
Great work hull??
Fortuna Sittard vs Jong Utrecht BTTS and O2.5 Match Goals @ 9/10 (Bet365) ///WIN///
Add: Juventus O1.5 Team Goals
Double @ 29/20 (Bet365) ///WIN///
I love it when a plan comes together. ;)
Great stuff leroy ?
Cheers @leroy
Took the double ;) ?
Higuain AGS 6/5
Falcao AGS 13/10
had to nip out for a while there and couldn’t post in plays but as said earlier Iceland again for goals in play is the place to be just the 7 in valur and 2 fhgls so far in keflavik………….. did well off them of both but no point in putting up now just saying……………..
Reported this comment but it was no accident, Crane :D
Cretiel v Chatearoux 19.00 KO
BTTS 4/5 ?
OVERS 21/20 ?
BTTS/OVERS 11/8 ?
BTTS In both halves 16/1 (SS) :(
1-2 FT
Great stuff Alves
€110 ucd game over 9 corners returns €198
Helmond Sport v FC Emman
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 (Bet 365) – ✔
De Graafschap v Tel star
Over 3 (Goal Line) @ 1.925 (Bet 365) – *VOID*
Not a bad night on the footie.
I’ve got 4 games on my radar for goals tomorrow.
Nice work Raoul – no bats on you sir ?
Cover available if anyone on Lechia Gdańsk. Termalica double chance at 4.50.
That’s more like it!
1-0 on ‘2 minutes…1-1 on ‘ 14 minutes ?
SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE VS. SPORTIVO LUQUEÑO:
BTTS…8/13
???
***WON***
BTTS 1ST HALF…10/3
?
***WON***
??
14 mins – my new systems working out great – well done you kept aBREAST of things there and managed not to have to THUMB a lift home
Magic hull! Made few bob on that, cheers
?
Helmond over 2.5mgs
Leverkusen to score
Monaco over 1.5tgs
Treble returns 5/2 **LOST**
1 goal short again….Damn you Monaco……they gave it a good go but just couldn’t find that second goal
in play 80mins 4-0
Keflavik o4.5mgs 5/6
WON…………..
€198 Academia Deportiva Cantolao Reserves game over 0.5 fhg returns €297
Goal short in 2 of the 8 games in Jupiler league but 2/3 tips up ain’t bad.
2 of the 3 A league games tomorrow look ok for goals, for those who have the faith (and patience)
Suggested bets
Btts Perth/Brisbane
Phoenix v city
13/10 bet 365
2 points
Same games btts/o2.5
23/10
Porto playing agin 10 men, 3 nil up, gona jump on goal line when it drops a bit.
Finished 4 nil. But looks like corners was the way to go Alves?. See the goal line on sportivo match is 6 at over evens. 3-2 with 25 mins left.
Onto the Chilean selection with a bit of renewed confidence – partly due to the Paraguayan winners and partly down to the rather splendid bottles of Merlot that Mrs Hull bought to take round to her mother’s tomorrow.
To be honest, I don’t drink wine much but this second pint is going down a treat ?
HUACHIPATO VS. UNIVERSIDAD CHILE (22.30 KO):
On the hunt for goals here and unless I’ve truly pissed off the betting gods, they ought well to be on the menu…
Since 2010, these two have battled out 14 H2Hs with an amazing profile for goals: 3-0, 1-2, 1-3, 5-3, 4-0, 0-3, 3-4, 1-0, 5-2, 2-1, 2-2, 2-1, 4-2, 2-2…non-too-shabby.
So, if you backed BTTS & OVERS you would have been quids in with 6/6 of the most recent games bringing in the win.
Chancing the more speculative BTTS & OVER 3.5 market would have got the green light in a hugely impressive 4 of the last 6 H2Hs.
Of the 4 games played in both team’s openers, only one has alluded to goals with Huachipato’s 3-2 home win against Palestino last weekend but I won’t let that put me off and think we’ll see plenty of action.
Three selections to consider:
BTTS & OVER 2.5 MGS…8/11
????
BTTS & OVER 3.5 MGS…7/5
??
BTTS BOTH HALVES…7/1
?
?
Porto RT7 corners 4/1. 4-1 75 mins
Win double tomorrow.
Shrewsbury to beat Wimbledon 13-8.
Bangor city to beat Cardiff met 11-10
Pays over 4-1
Will be having a large Ish single on Bangor.
Our young forward line should hopefully net.
Danny nardiello age 30 odd (shaker might know his age).
Gary Taylor fletcher age 35, great initials g.t.f.
Jurassic park or what.
Must be knocking mid-thirties now Elvis – good luck tomorrow pal.
?
lol Jordan what you on about you reported my comment ha ha…………….
volendam o1.5 2ndhmgls 6/5 seems very good value to me…….. SH1TE
Monaco, porto, juve o1.5tgs termalica o1.5mgs 5/2 P1SH
100% guaranteed shoe in………….
Monaco o2.5tgs, nimes o1.5tgs, juve, lierse overs 23/1 JOBBY
WD all with winners onwards to the nite owls thank fek for goals in Iceland again……………….
€297 guarani game over 13 corners returns €455.40
Huachipato v Uni de Chile
Over 9.5 asian corners 2.00
Surprisingly low corner line…
nite owl
diaz btts, dep pasto o1.5tgs just under 2/1
HUACHIPATO VS. UNIVERSIDAD CHILE:
BTTS & OVER 2.5 MGS…8/11
????
**WON***
Finished 2-1…1 short for the BTTS & OVER 3.5 and Btts both halves but a decent return on the night ?
first leg of the nite owl in hope pasto can get 2 now…………..
wee in play
diaz o3.5mgs, cantolao o4.5mgs 17/10