AS you know Friday's not my best day for tipping because I'm concentrating on the weekend workload but there are some big games tonight.
First up let's look at AC Milan v Parma in Serie A and it's all about Mario Balotelli. He's been a big hit since signing from Man City with three goals in two games and is 21-20 at unibet to add to his tally in the San Siro.
AC Milan are undefeated in five while Parma haven't won in five so a home win at 8-15 with BetVictor looks on. Stephen El Shaaraway, 15 goals in 24 games, has been overshadowed by Balotelli's arrival but I'm risking him to bag the opener at 10-3 with bet365.
There's big money on Bayern Munich but I wouldn't be backing them at a best 4-9 (unibet) until I see the starting line-ups. With a 15-point lead at the top of the table there are suggestions Bayern will rest players ahead of next week's Champions League clash with Arsenal.
If Mario Mandzukic starts I'll be on him at 3-1 with unibet to score first but the safest bet could be both teams to score if Bayern are weakened – but remember they have kept five successive clean sheets.
Sevilla v Deportivo and Lille v Rennes look tough to call but there should be goals in both and they are on my line.
There is one game in the SPL with Aberdeen 4-7 favourites at Paddy Power to beat bottom dogs Dundee at home. On paper they should but both teams have netted just once in their last five league games so look at under 2.5 goals at 4-5 (various). Also the Pittodrie pitch looked like a ploughed field last weekend and that didn't help either side.
There might not be a first scorer the way they're playing but if there is it will probably be Niall McGinn (4-1, Coral). According to my friends at Oddschecker he has scored four in his last two games against the Dens men.
In League One I'm looking at draw between fading Tranmere and Shrewsbury at 11-4 with William Hill.
And remember to focus on both teams to score in the Dutch second tier – I've picked out two I like.
Recommendations
El Shaaraway to score first
(10-3, bet365)
Tranmere v Shrewsbury draw
(11-4, William Hill)
Aberdeen v Dundee under 2.5 goals
(4-5, various)
Both teams to score
Wolfsburg v Bayern Munich (7.30)
Sevilla v Deportivo (8.30)
Lille v Rennes (7.30)
Dordrecht v Go Ahead Eagles (7.0)
Telstar v Fortuna Sittard
Perm any 4 and all 5 (6 bets)
Pays a biggest £172.50 to a £10 stake at William Hill
The Den Bosch V Volendam game has been postponed tonight Mr F
Kane, thanks, I’ve changed it anyway.
looks like shaarawy being rested paul for barcelona game.
Paul Den Bosch game is postponed
Chris, yeah noticed when looking for prices so have changed it. Not had a chance to look at much tonight but remember Porto stumbled last week.
You not fancy Jackson Martinez for Porto Paul? 13/5 @ Bet365. He’s only 7/4 with hills
Drogba 1st Goal tonight on his debut for Galatasaray looks a decent bet against bottom of the table team.
£10 = £45 William Hill
Anderlecht, Sparta Rotterdam, Helmond Sport, Braunschweig, Galatasary, FC Porto
£10 = £90.65 with Bet Victor
already put these up but thought id put them in the correct place just incase anybody fancys anything
FRIDAY NIGHT FITBAW
5FOLD HOMES
1860 Munich
Nijmegan
Helmond
Sparta Rotterdam
Sevilla
AWAYS TREBLE
Bayern Munich
Braunschweig
Caen
SINGLE – Abel Camera (Beira Mar) 2 net anytime @ 5/1
SCORE IN BOTH HALVES TREBLE
Aberdeen – Exeter – AcMilan
BOTH 2 SCORE
Lille-Rennes
SintTruiden-Peruwelz
Istres-Auxerre
Maasstritch-Cambur
mr fix, bayern have only conceded 2 in last 5 and they were both in same match, u sure about them for btts, im not for one second saying you dont know what ur talking about just curious why you have them in?
Cheeky number, I’ve said in the piece I expect them to field a weakened team. if they do they can concede, if they go full strength then possibly not.
cheers mr f, wasnt sure even with the weakend team if u could call it that but i’ll go with you on this one
had a nightmare last night waiting on cluj to score for an 8 team btts, win some lose some, made a fair bit on the darts, did the opposite of what i predicted and came out on top
Cheeky number, as I’ve said in the piece I’m not betting on this game until I see the teams. I’d advise others to do that if possible. However, anything I’ve read suggests they’ll play a weakened side.
btts tonight
lille
istres
tranmere
sevilla
dordrecht
telstar
good luck everyone
Just thought I’d post this on behalf of smiler Arbroath. He highlighted a bet to me last night as he knows I like to back goalscorers so if it comes in he will get the credit for it. Its for the Lille vs Rennes match. Rennes playing well at the moment in an unbeaten run of 5 and still challenging for a Europa League place. im not saying Rennes will win butbits the Rennes player Romain Alessandri i’m interested in. He has scored 3 goals in the past 5 matches. I’ve checked the price for him and I believe he is massive at 15/4 with Bet365 to score anytime. He is also 11/1 for first goal but I think I will bet on the safe side and just do anytime. Bet365 prices are way off the mark compared to other bookmakers so perhaps they are underestimating the hitman. He is as short as 13/2 for first goal with several bookies and he is as short as 7/4 to score anytime.
15/4 is a great price, a tad short of 4/1 whilst bookies elsewhere giving less than 2/1. my advice – Get on!
Chris, I’ve seen Rennes tipped up but it’s a tough game. Right I’m off to get a train to the Record, still waiting on my car to arrive, but it gives me an extra half hour to pick out tomorrow’s tips.
Nijmegan wins 1st half n wins d game
sparta rothterdam over 1.5 1st half
rnk split win
Going to choose atleast 5 games btts in the Dutch 2nd Div, hopefully as good as last weeks games. Always plenty of goals to be had :-)
Stevie, there are usually 5 or 6 out of seven. The key is avoiding the one that doesn’t come up.
What happens with Bet365 when a match is postponed? I’ve got Volendum in an accumulator, all the other matches are today. Does it mean my bet will still be pending until Volendum play their game at the later time or will they void this part of it?
Thanks
whats your accumulator ?
If it’s 4 games then it’ll be taken down to a treble etc… just be void, unless they play within 24 hours of when the game should have taken place.
Milesey
Striker
If your other three bets are up, just call bet365 and tell them you want to settle the bet as a game was postponed! They’ll do it there and pay it as a winner! Beats having to wait till Monday!
Cheers Milesey and Greg, it was part of a treble with Bayern Munich and Anderlecht, all over 1.5 team goals. I’ll wait to see the results for the Belgian and German games and then if it’s not voided, I’ll contact them.
Just checked that Alessandrini guy out, not prolific but worth a small bet, might do a double with him and Balotelli :-)
small stakes tonight and chasin the dream!!
Veendam, Galatasaray, 1860 Munich, HelmondSport, Aberdeen all to win and added in overs in Wolfsburg & Nijmegen games-
Nimes at 17/10 in the French Ligue2 – decent single bet
Eintracht Braunschweig, Galatasaray, Veendam, Exeter – 4fold
good luck and I look forward to seeing some of Paddy Powers dough when am collecting again in the morn ;)
I think rennes will be trying to hit Lille on the counter tonight with this in mind I would be more inclined to go with one of there 2 centre forwards in Mevlut Erding or Jonathan Pitroipa and for Lille possibly Kalou or Payet. In the absence of there top scorers I fancy Mcgurk to score and help his team back to the summit of league 1 and in league 2 I fancy 18 goals in 31 games man Cureton (maybe break the deadlock)
GOALSCORER TREBLE –
Adam McGurk (Tranmere)
Jamie Cureton (Exeter)
Dimitri Payet (Lille)
pays 96.64 to a 10er stake
Start off today with Eintracht Braunshweig.
Bottom v top – Away win @ 2.02!!
Do the bookies know something we don’t?
Probably…… ;)
bayern 1/3
ac milan 2/5
porto 1/4
galatasaray 4/9
lille over 2.5
£50 roll up pays £370
1-0! :D
anyone know where i can get team news (starting teams) on the Bayern match tonight. I’m presuming it’ll be relased by 6????
http://uk.soccerway.com/matches/2013/02/15/germany/bundesliga/vfl-wolfsburg/fc-bayern-munchen/1300963/
There you go!
Was looking at tonights game there and Rennes are 4/1 even though their sittin above Lille. Any idea why their such big odds??
Thanks don
David, Lille just hammered Lyon 3-1 away from home last time out so I’m guessing they’ve taken that into account!
I’m liking your first three BTTS, Mr F, then I’ve gone for Aberdeen and Dundee to suddenly remember football is about hitting the back of a net with a ball rather than the backside of a cow with a banjo. I’ve added three of my own Dutch deluxe which all look pretty tasy – Veendam, Sparta and
Helmond… I was about to say… Getting jostled on a train!
Good luck everybody!
It’s 60-1 if it comes in. Which would be nice. Nicer than getting jabbed in the ribs by city boy there, at any rate.
Gregg cheers for that mate. I just thought 4/1 was a bit big for a decent team, even for an away.
Keeping it simple. Trying to adopt a ‘slow and steady’ approach at the moment.
Bayern – AC Double – Just over evens.
Drogba first goal is a winner :-)
Accumulator going well too.
Sky Bet now offering 4.50 for Mandzukic first goal Bayern Munich. Strong side for Bayern too.
Wicked overhead kick gets in Bay Munich’s first goal, I need one more c’mon
Chris you won’t believe it Allesandrini took a haevy challenge. 35 mins and subbed 37mins !
I’m convinced French football is a fix, Rennes were so awful and didn’t want to score
They must have known i needed them for my btts score the french pigs!
get on cork city at 9/4 in play at moment be surprised if they dont win this..all over cobh
Only 5 mins to go Conor – 5/1 now or 1/3 the draw…
super mario does it again :)
Craig, think I missed a trick tonight. Backed McGinn and Mandzukic to score first once I knew he was starting. But missed Drogba as it kicked off at six and it was a toss-up between El Sharaaway and Balotelli and took the former. Could have been a spectacular Yankee or Lucky 15 but I’ll settle for a 20-1 double.
4 fold and single up.
Only time a get a turn these days is when Friday night Euro games are to he had.
typical they stuff cliftonville in the setanta and cant turn over that dire lot
ACM n Sevilla…double yer money sonny!! :-) Banfield on in div 2 Argentina tonite 5/4
full house on the yankee widve paid hundreds but 20/1 double no too shabby. had fiver on hereford boy at 5/1 then fiver double on Broxbourne 11/10 balotelli/milan 5/4 so gonna try teams to score 2+ the mora wi skybet, had a look and bolton millwall mkdons all evens or above
Craig, when I look back at my intro I’m annoyed I didn’t back Balotelli. Teams to score 2+ tips will be up soon.