Euro 2016: Mr Fixit’s Tips – 6 Days To Go

MRF_Euro2016

THERE are no truly outstanding teams in Euro 2016 which means any of six or seven countries will fancy their chances of going all the way.

Hosts France are the marginal favourites while Germany, Spain, England, Belgium and Italy should go well.

And there’s usually an outsider that makes a splash and that could be Poland, Sweden, Austria or even Croatia. The first two have matchwinners in the shape of Robert Lewandowski and Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Austria were one of the most impressive qualifiers and Croatia have a habit of turning up for finals.

So are the French justifiable favourites? I think so. Last time France hosted a major tournament, the 1998 World Cup, Didier Deschamps was skipper.

The chances of him managing his side to glory at the Stade de France on July 10 are 7-2 at Paddy Power. And that would be some achievement for a man once branded the “Water Carrier” by Eric Cantona.

Deschamps has a midfield to die for with Leicester star N’Golo Kante doing the digging alongside the brilliant Paul Pogba with Blaise Matuidi in there too but Lassana Diarra will be missed.

West Ham star Dimitri Payet could shine beside Man United’s Anthony Martial with Olivier Giroud providing a goal threat through the middle with Deschamps’ preference to play Antoine Griezmann wide.

When Karim Benzema was ruled out of the tournament I thought he’d be missed but not now.

Arsenal hitman Giroud has hit 14 goals in 46 appearances and nine have come in the past two years. He ended the season with a hat-trick against Aston Villa and might be worth a look as an eachway top scorer at 20-1 with bet365.

Griezmann bagged 22 La Liga goals for Atletico Madrid but Giroud will start out as Deschamps’ main man. He is 14-1 with Paddy Power to top score in a market where the favourites are Cristiano Ronaldo and Thomas Muller at 8-1.

France haven’t played a competitive match since their 2014 World Cup defeat to Spain and have only kept eight clean sheets in 19 friendlies so if they have a weakness it’s in defence where Patrice Evra can be got at and of the 39 goals conceded under Deschamps 19 have been from set-pieces which must be a concern.

But in those 19 matches France have won 14 and lost just two – one of those was to England just after the Paris attacks – so they’ve been taking them seriously and are in fine form.

They kick off against a much improved Romania outfit on Friday and I’m looking for a strong showing and three points. Best of the early prices is 2-5 at William Hill.

A dull 0-0 draw in Zurich opened a disastrous Euro 2008 tournament for the French and it proved to be the only point they gained in the entire group stage.

Romania boss Anghel Iordanescu will attempt to pull off a similar result. They conceded just two goals in the groups stage and could France their toughest game of what looks to be an easy draw.

To reach the Final the French are 15-8 at boylesports and just 2-5 at Skybet to finish top of Group A that also includes Albania and Switzerland. If they win the section they’ll face a third-placed team in the last 16 and that’s crucial.

Much of the tournament’s focus will be on the home nations and the Republic of Ireland. The fact Scotland failed to qualify while England, Wales and Northern Ireland hurts.

And it could be even more painful for Scots fans if our fierce foes and World Cup opponents England go well – as I expect them to do so.

Roy Hodgson’s men have been paired in Group B with the Welsh as well as opening opponents Russia and Slovakia.

England to qualify is incredibly short at a best 1-9 with McBookie but I can see why. Hodgson has thrown off the shackles and has a young, vibrant team who could take the finals by storm if they defend well.

I expect them to sail through the group, possibly winning all three games, which pays 7-2 at Skybet.

It’s a toss-up between Russia, Slovakia and Wales for second spot and once again Chris Coleman’s side will rely on huge displays from Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey.

France kick off the tournament with England and Wales in action the following day. England are 11-10 with Paddy Power to beat the Russian and Wales 6-4 at bet365 to edge out Slovakia.

I’ll look at Group Betting and other outright bets and tournament specials before the big kick-off.

Outright Tip

France

(7-2, Paddy Power)

11 Comments
  1. Profile photo of nathanl
    nathanl 6 months ago

    Mr F Payet plays for West Ham not Leicester!

  2. Profile photo of nflfan
    nflfan 6 months ago

    Cant believe Italy are 18/1 and England 9/1 if they played each other ten times Italy would win more games. Not the best Italy team I know but 18/1 does seem long odds any thoughts

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 6 months ago

      nflfan, Italy’s attack isn’t good enough and England’s defence isn’t good enough – mix them up and you’d have a good team.
      I won’t be on either on the outrights but that’s not to say they won’t go far as it is pretty wide open.

  3. Profile photo of tribe lover
    tribe lover 6 months ago

    Gone for Belgium to win ew @ 12/1

  4. Profile photo of craigyboy
    craigyboy 6 months ago

    The bets for teams to win three group games is always a tempter but ultimately is one you should avoid especially when it concerns England. I wouldn’t be surprised if England get held by the Welsh in a possible high scoring draw. All the pressure will be on us and with so many Welsh players plying their trade in England they will be fired up for it.
    The fact that one win in the group will possibly see you through will inevitably see the likes of Germany, France and Spain playing a completely different team for their last group games. I can see the new group format seeing a few dead rubbers and possible 0-0’s in the last group games.
    There are a few offers floating around which need to be mentioned.
    Back a winner at SkyBet with a stake of £10 or more will see you earn a free £3bet for each win they get.
    Paddy Power are running a free £5 bet offer when your top goalscorer scores when £25 is staked or £12.50 e/w.
    I’ve also taken a couple of request a bet specials on SkyBet.
    At 10/1 and the standout bet (as long as they all stay fit) is Mandzukic, Griezmann, Muller, Ronaldo and Lewandowski all to score two or more. All of these teams should qualify from the group and I’d fancy them all to bag two or more in four games.
    The other bet I fancy is Lewandowksi to be Poland’s top goalscorer and for them to reach the quarter finals. At 7/2 it has a real fighting chance as a second place finish behind Germany looks likely and that will mean a possible match up with Switzerland to progress to the quarter finals.
    In dual forecasts I can’t look beyond a France/Switzerland and Germany/Poland double which returns at approximately 3/1.
    I’ll be having Muller, Lewandoski, Griezmann and Mandzukic in the e/w top goalscorer charts.

    Not long to go…Can’t wait!

  5. Profile photo of oozie
    oozie 6 months ago

    Anyone else think Germany to reach the semi-finals is a decent price at 10/11 ?
    Or are they past their best with players like Podolski and Mario Gomez still in the squad ?

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 6 months ago

      oozie, can’t ever write off the Germans but their defence is a concern.
      Plenty of people tipping them to win it though.

      • Profile photo of oozie
        oozie 6 months ago

        Might give them a bash, there usually always there or there abouts.
        They avoid the French also, so quite possible.

  6. Profile photo of archie
    archie 6 months ago

    i know i will get shot down for this , slovakia 9/1 to win the group is not a bad price.
    they did well against spanish in qualifing, also beat germans , i know that was a friendly. but in the group they are i will have a go on them . small stakes . think 9/1 is big .

  7. Profile photo of stuhugh1
    stuhugh1 6 months ago

    France the only team capable of winning this, england no chance, croatia best outsiders bet.

    FRANCE TO WIN
    GIROUD TOP SCORER – 33/1

    FRANCE TO WIN
    PAYET TOP SCORER – 100/1

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