Dec 9: Champions League Betting Preview

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MAN UNITED crashed out of the Champions League on Tuesday and on Wednesday Chelsea and Arsenal will be doing their best not to join them in the Europa League.

Bournemouth should have been the last straw for Roman Abramovich but he’s given Jose Mourinho another chance to save his skin.

And he must take at least a point off a Porto side where he made his name to guarantee – and his chances of staying a in a job.

Chelsea have been better in Europe than in the domestic league. winning their two ties at Stamford Bridge, but face a Porto side unbeaten in their last five group games on the road and with at least two goals in each of them.

You have to assume Dynamo Kiev (2-11, sportingbet) will beat Maccabi Tel Aviv at home and if it happens Chelsea will be sweating.

They were bowfing against Bournemouth – and many others this season – and it’s difficult to see how they can raise it much with huffy hitman Diego Costa off the boil. A draw gives Porto top spot and I’ll be backing them not to lose at 20-23 with Coral.

Arsenal are even more up against it than Chelsea as they need to win 3-2 or by at least two clear goals at Olympiakos to qualify at the expense of the Greeks.

At least the Gunners have forwards such as Mesut Ozil and Olivier Giroud in fine form and Arsene Wenger will give it everything. However, Alexis Sanchez is out after returning home to Chile to recover from a hamstring injury.

Olympiakos are strong at home and having rattled 34 goals in 12 games in the Greek Super League best bet here could be over 2.5 goals at 31-40 with McBookie.

Arsenal usually always score but if they get impatient will leave gaps at the back. To win on the night the Gunners are 11-10 at William Hill and 14-5 with Betway by two or more goals.

The other game between Dinamo Zagreb and group winners Bayern Munich is a dead rubber so consider team news before having a punt.

In Group H Valencia should beat lowly Lyon in Gary Neville’s first match in charge but it might not be enough to qualify depending in Gent’s result against Zenit. The Spaniards are 1-2 at Coral.

Gent are at home to leaders Zenit who seem determined to go through the group stage with a 100 per cent record. It’s their close season so they don’t need to rest players and Zenit look big at 9-4 with bet365. It’s so big you can try Zenit draw no bet at the likes of 6-5 with Ladbrokes and William Hill.

In Group E Roma should beat BATE to clinch second spot. The Italians lost away to the Borisov but are likely to gain revenge and are 3-10 with most firms to do so.

Barcelona have won the group but have taken most of their main men to Bayer Leverkusen who must win and hope Roma don’t. The likes of Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez and Neymar could start while Gerard Pique and Andres Iniesta the only big names rested while Dani Alves is crocked.

There have been 23 goals in Bayer’s five group games and I like the look of over 3.5 here at 29-20 with BetVictor.

Recommended Bets

Porto not to lose

(20-23, Coral)

Olympiakos v Arsenal

(31-40, McBookie, BetVictor)

Zenit DNB

(6-5, Ladbrokes, William Hill)

Bayer v Barcelona over 3.5 goals

(29-20, BetVictor)

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5 Comments
  1. Profile photo of davie67
    davie67 2 years ago

    Sanchez is out injured.

    What’s the tip in the Arsenal game?

  2. Profile photo of v007
    v007 2 years ago

    Arsenal -0.5

    Arsenal has always done well(I mean win but will fall short) in these do or die games. Last season against Monaco, they screwed up(lost 1-3 at home) in the 1st leg but won the 2nd leg. In 13/14, they lost 1-3 to Bayern at home but managed to beat them 2-0 at the Allianz Arena. In 12/13, they lost 4-0 to Milan in the 1st leg but beat them 3-0 in the 2nd leg. Although these were KO stage games but I believe Arsenal is the kinda of team who likes to thrive in this kind of desperate situation.

    I don’t think their poor record in Greece will play a big part. 2 of the games were dead rubber and the 3rd game was a top of the group clash where Arsenal already qualified after matchday 5.

    This may not be the most important stat but Arsenal has always record at least an away win in the CL group stage 11 times in their past 12 seasons. The only season they failed to do so was in 04/05 season. Not counting the seasons before that as CL had 2 group stages instead.

  3. Profile photo of pedro1980
    pedro1980 2 years ago

    Sorry if this has been explained here before a thousand times but what is the difference between just backing Arsenal to WIN and backing them -0.5?

    How would the result need to be any different and why are the odds different.

  4. Profile photo of
    2 years ago

    From UEFA’s website: “Dynamo will be through with a win; if the other game is drawn, the three teams will be split on goal difference in matches between the three teams, meaning Dynamo would finish first, Chelsea second and Porto third.”

    Considering a Dynamo Kiev win is almost certain, I can’t see Porto settling with a draw. They either win it or continue to Europa League. I ‘ll probably stay away from WDW in this game, anything can happen.

  5. Profile photo of nazalus
    nazalus 2 years ago

    Davie67,if you take the time to read the post,its Over 2.5 Match Goals !!!!!!!

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