MY goals treble was my only tip yesterday on a card I didn't fancy with so many dead rubbers and the EFL Trophy.
Unfortunately the one EFL Trophy game I picked let me down for goals – and if had come up I could have covered the Man City v Celtic game later.
Greg was the star of the show with some great tips and well done to everyone who picked winners.
There is another round of Champions League games tonight and not much else. I've posted a preview so check that out for reasoning for the Top Treble.
But for now I'm going with Legia Warsaw draw no bet as a Super Single at home to Sporting. They certainly have the firepower but the questions is: Can they defend?
Spurs have gone pretty much full strength so I've added on-fire Harry Kane to score first.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their tips and video chat.
1pt Super Singles
Legia Warsaw draw no bet
(9-4, 888sport)
Kane to score first
(3-1, William Hill)
1pt Top Treble
Real Madrid
Lyon v Sevilla btts
Legia Warsaw v Sporting over 2.5 goals
(4-1, Marathonbet)
December Super Singles Total
Profit: -2.5pts
(3 bets, 1 winner)
December Advised Accas Total
Profit: 1.3pts
(8 bets, 2 winners)
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“In Argentina, Sportivo AC have netted at home 10 out of last 12. Visitors Club Defensoros de etc are on a three game away run of potting on the road. I’m on BTTS at Evens (Coral) 11pm.” – it came in.
Don’t usually go for Night Owl picks, preferring to leave it to the regular experts, but was quite pleased with this one. 0-1 until ’88 when the home side drew level after playing against ten men for the previous 15 mins. I caught a lucky break there, I reckon.
Nice work stagger sir ?
Thanks, Hull. Like I say, I usually look out mostly for your good self and Crane for the night owls, so when my own pick came in I was rather chuffed!!!
Champions League 19:45
PSG vs Ludogorets Razgrad – team performances PSG over 95 pts 6/5 **NAP** LOST
——————————————————————————————
Ryman Premier Division 19:45
Bognor Regis Town vs Harrow Borough – Bognor Regis Town HT
Champions League 19:45
Benfica vs Napoli – Napoli over 4.5 team corners
Champions League 19:45
Man City vs Celtic – over 2.5 MG’s
Treble 3.07/1 **NB** LOST
Disappointed to come in from work to find both bets flopped. PSG should at the very least be beating Ludogorets especially with the team that they fielded… oh well, they will have to settle for second place.
Legia Warsaw v Sporting – O2.5MG
Real Madrid U19 v Dortmund U19 – O2.5MG – 5pm
Real Madrid – O1.5TG (NAP)
———
Dortmund’s away form has been a bit leaky for goals, conceding to just about anyone including your Grandma.
When teams like Ingolstadt and Legia Warsaw breeze it past their defence, you can only imagine what Madrid are going to do tonight.
———
Treble
2 points – 2.59/1 Bet365
Indonesian Championship
Persija Jakarta v Gresik United (kickoff in 15 mins!)
Persija are hardly a great team in this league, but like every other team in the league, they are sure better than Gresik! Gresik can’t defend to save themselves, having given up an early goal in all of their recent away games, and conceding a staggering 41 goals in their last 15 away games.
Every match, they give up a minimal of 1 goal every first half, and more than 50% of the time, 2 or more. I’m playing on over 1 FH goal @ 1.90 with some confidence. Having said that, it IS the Indonesian League… so certainly not recommended for large stakes!
Over 1 first half goal @ 1.90 (Bet365)
Gah. First time in a long while that Gresik go into half-time with a clean sheet. The only other Indonesia game… 1-1 at half-time. Apologies if anyone followed!
Tottenham to score 2+ 8/13
Sporting no clean sheet 4/11
Double 1.2/1
Sporting mtgs over 2.5 btts
Real Madrid mtgs over 2.5 btts
Millwall mtgs over 2.5 btts
5.65/1
legia +1.5 ah
spurs win
double evens
leverkusen v monaco btts 1.70
edinburgh city v east fifa btts
kingstonian win
evens
Quiet today – office parties?
I know it was mentioned yesterday but Craneguy, next time you see your mate ‘the big lad up front’ get him a beer from me, had Bonnyrigg Rose at three different prices all in double figures and thanks to you for the heads up – not a game I would have looked at normally.
Hunting for decent bets/value, don’t like games that mean nothing:
Madrid v Dortmund over 2.5 Goals
Tottenham over 1.5 Team Goals
Copenhagen DNB
Juventus -4 asian handicap Corners
11/2
Madrid v Dortmund over 2.5 Goals
Warsaw v Lisbon over 2.5 goals
6/4
No joy in Holland last night with a drab 0-0 affair between PSV and Rostov, with the Russian outfit progressing through to the Europa where I think they might surprise a few.
Tonight I’m on Ronaldo to score at home against Dortmund in what is a must win for Madrid if they want to top the group. He’s been quiet in this group stage but more often than not he scores on the main stage. 3 goals in his five games against Dortmund (one in the reverse tie this year).
Cristiano Ronaldo (Real Madrid) Anytime @ 4/5 @ Ladbrokes – 5 points
If you have an unibet account, you can get odds of 2.10 on Ronaldo to score as it is their advent calender special today.
Max stake Mr O?
No idea, I can’t find any special conditions or rules
No other bets from me today, but with the Champions League group stages coming to an end tonight, it’s time to check in with some long ago posted anteposts.
Group Stage:
Dortmund/Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid/Bayern Munich
Dual Forecast Double @ 47/50 (Skybet) ///WIN///
___________________________________________
Dortmund
Porto
To Qualify Double @ 77/100 (Skybet) ///PENDING///
Dortmund are safely through so all eyes are on Porto. They only need to match Copenhagen’s result and hopefully should pick up three points at home to a Leicester side with nothing to play for. Fingers crossed!
Champions League 19:45
Lyon vs Sevilla – Sevilla over 3.5 team corners
Champions League 19:45
Legia Warsaw vs Sporting – BTTS & over 2.5 MG’s
Double 23/10 **NAP**
————————————————————–
Champions League 19:45
Juventus vs Dinamo Zagreb – over 3.0 goal line
Champions League 19:45
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund – Borussia Dortmund goal before 54:00
Double 21/10 **NB**
Prices with Bet365
Good luck all
livorno v piacenza 130pm kickoff.
Home side look good for a win here. Odds have dropped from 2.00 to 1.72 for livorno so being backed by many.
only one place difference in league its the last 6 games played based this on. Livorno won 4 drawn 2.
piacenza won 2 lost 4.
Iv cursed this bet hampy I lumped on hoping fr change in luck.needless to say not lookn good.
2-2 hopefully get a late winner
sorry jim thought theyd turn that around. Bet lost down to a poor fh.
Bit unlucky hampy finished real strong as well pal.2 goal start a killer pal.
CL U19’s could throw up a few goals today…Over 2.5mg
Leverkusen v Monaco
Porto v Leicester
Lyon v Sevilla
Spurs v Moscow
Brugge v Copenhagen
Madrid v Dortmund.
Had a good read of MrF’s CL review. I’ve decided on this treble for tonight.
Legia Warsaw v Sporting Lisbon BTTS
Porto WIN
Real Madrid WIN
(3/1 Coral)
Good luck.
Leverkusen v Monaco
Monaco have already won the group and travel to Leverkusen, with the home side knowing a point will be enough to see them through to the knockout round. Both teams will probably take a point and for me there is definite value in backing Monaco double chance at 11/10.
Pick:
Monaco win or draw
11/10
Leverkusen are through as well
Monaco have won the group and Leverkusen second – despite what it says in today’s Racing Post.
This game is a dead rubber.
As has been said Leverkusen are through – they don’t need a point.
Thursday
Italy – Lega Pro Group A – 1.30pm
Viterbese Castrense v Robur Siena
Over 1.5 Match Goals
Chile – Apertura – 9pm
Deportes Temuco v Univ Catolica
Over 2.5 Match Goals
2.02 (Betfair)
Real Madrid btts & overs
Lyon btts & overs
Double Returns tad over 2/1
Also going to try
Legia Warsaw over 1.5tgs 2/1
Prijovic ags 11/4
Good Luck All
Both bets lost
Real. Legia BTTS and Overs Double 2.5/1
Aubameyang ATGS 21/20
Juve v Zagreb o1.5 fhg
Real v Dortmund o 0.5fhg
Legia v sporting o 0.5 fh
Pays 2.33/1
Juve over 2.5tgs
Madrid v Dortmund btts
Pays 1.4/1
Goals accer
Madrid game over 2.5
Legia game over 2.5
Juve game over 2.5
Leverkusen game over 1.5
Spurs game over 1.5
Brugge game over 1.5
Porto game under 3.5
Lyon game over 1.5
East fife game over 1.5
Bradford game over 1.5
Coventry game over 1.5
Millwall game over 1.5
Pays 26/1
All priced bet 365
Betfair are offering 90/1 for over 2.5 in all CL games tonight got to be worth a small wager .
No harm in putting £1 on it – a couple of games look low scoring though.
Yeah small stakes Paul .
Sorry , over 2.5 mg.
They are also offering 10/1 for a goal to be scored in the first half in the same games .
Afternoon gents
Was a decent night last night and I was A benfica or Napoli goal away from making it a bumper night with my early goal bets seeing 4 out of 5 after 16 mins which paid 31/1
Not much I’m fancying tonight although I do think Porto will see off a weakened Leiceter side
Porto v Lecicester KO 7.45pm
With the English side through its a good opportunity for Porto to seal 2nd spot! They don’t lose many at home in the Champions league – just 5 defeats in their last 30 game in Europe and I’d very surprised if they didn’t win this! Tough to decide which market to go for as -1 and Porto to be leading at half time are attractive, however I’m going to be stick to goals and over 2.5 match goals! Porto could easily win this comfortably but Leicester are capable of nicking one
Back over 2.5 match goals 5/6 (Stan James) (NAP)
Early goal selections tonight
Madrid v Dorrmond
Leverkusen v Monaco
Porto Lecicester
Spurs v CSKA
Lyon V Seville
Copenhagen btts no draw
Sporting btts no draw
Real btts no draw
Monaco btts no draw
GL back later
Anytime goalscorer treble
Andre Silva
Ronaldo
Prijovic
13/1 Unibet
Same three players first goalscorer for small stakes at 160/1.
All games bar brugge game over 2.5gls worth a pound at 24/1.
Strong Spurs team – looks like they’re going for it.
tonite, half stakes on the CL minefield
Edinburgh city o2.5mgs, spurs o1.5tgs, lyon o1.5tgs 5/1
leverkusen btts, juve o2.5tgs, real Madrid btts&overs 7/2
porto o1.5tgs, legia btts, brugge btts 7/2
shoe in
Dortmund o1.5tgs, edin city btts&overs, lyon o1.5tgs, porto btts&overs 26/1
GL all with a bet on………..
December
Bets 6-8
Argentina – Primera B Metropolitana – 12.05am
C.A. Platense v Deportivo Espanol
2-3 Match Goals
2.15 (Bet Victor)
***LOST***
***************************
Italy – Lega Pro Group B – 1.30pm
Bassano Virtus v Forli
2-3 Match Goals
2.05 (Bet Victor)
***LOST***
***************************
Double 4.4 (Bet Victor)
***LOST***
December
Bets Placed: 8
Won: 4
Lost: 4
Pending: 0
Profit/Loss: +2.55 pts
Not a lot out there this evening but over to Bolivia for a Night Owl that may offer some value…
BOLÍVAR VS. REAL POTOSÍ (23.00):
Table-toppers Bolivar start this one odds on and there’s no doubting their relative quality and strong home advantage but there’s little point in risking much on skinny team goal prices where 3+ Bolivar goals pays around 10/11.
Real Potosi are right up there in the mix this camaign and if you consider Bolivar have conceded in each of their last 7, then keeping an away goal on-side may pay dividends.
Potosi have scored in 4 of their own last 6 and actually ran out 2-1 winners in the most recent H2H.
2 selections:
BTTS…4/5 (this is too big IMO)
BTTS 2ND HALF…12/5
Best of luck ?
In play
Sporting Lisbon
Lyon
Both teams to score in 2nd half 7/2
Lost
All bets lost today
Starting to dislike European games
“Legia Warsaw v Sporting Lisbon BTTS
Porto WIN
Real Madrid WIN
(3/1 Coral)” – nothing doing.
all bets LOST should of kept ma half stakes in ma pocket……………. WD all with winners see if a kin pick out a nite owl or 2……………
I need some help guys, well guidance really. You could say I’ve been lucky and managed to sign-up to a bookmaker and won £1.1k with my stake and bonus funds. Unfortantely before I can withdraw I need to place a further £400 worth of bets. Issue being they have to atleast doubles with each selection 1.5 (1/2)+. Any tips on how to play this? Tempted to go big and hope it wins but im not sure that is wise. 100 x 4 doubles? I’d hope to hit one with lowish odds.
Thanks.
I’d do doubles for big stakes – you should get most of them up.
Looks like the bookies cleaned up tnite.
going with this on the nite owls as cant decide which way to go on them……..
bolivar btts&overs 1/1
gremio o1.5tgs 1/1
santa fe o2.5mgs 7/5
alajeulense overs 1/1
4 x £5 trebles returns £184 max, 1 treble will see an evens money win minimum
GL all on a late one…………..
Madrid v Dortmund over 2.5 Goals
Tottenham over 1.5 Team Goals
Copenhagen DNB
Juventus -4 asian handicap Corners
11/2
*HALF WIN* Juventus were ahead by 4 corners.
nice 9/4 there mr f looks like winners are few and far between tonite………………..
Was always going to be a tough card – should have gone big in Porto and Spurs once teams were out.
Gremio v At Miniero
Over 9.5 asian corners 1.875
aye true mr f hind sights a great thing so it is onwards but eh………..