JUST when I thought I’d cracked this along came Liverpool … the old Liverpool who we knew we couldn’t trust.
I used to have a rule about never backing them odds on away from home but Jurgen Klopp rewrote that with some scintillating displays until yesterday.
They were a big letdown against a Newcastle though and I lost 2pts on two Super Singles on Liverpool. I didn’t see one comment favouring Newcastle before the game but well done to the hindsight merchants who backed them.
After Liverpool along came Athletic Bilbao and another tale of woe. I needed them to beat Malaga at home to bring up the Top Treble and a third Super Single was on prolific striker Aritz Aduriz to score. The only way Malaga were going to avoid defeat was if Bilbao did something stupid. Step forward Mikel San Jose to collect a stupid red card – if I was the manager I’d show him the way to San Jose.
My goals treble I did choose to cover and that was the correct decision as as there was never a third goals at Eintracht Frankfurt.
Greg fared better with two winners and his only loser was so unlucky as Feyenoord scored their opener 30 seconds after the 30-minute mark. Feyenoord landed his £10 to £100 Challenge but and it’s me who is starting again thanks to Liverpool.
Tonight the big game is Everton v Crystal Palace while in the FA Cup Grimsby entertain Shrewsbury. I called Liverpool badly yesterday and may be wrong about the Everton game but here goes.
Everton have netted 16 goals in their last five home matches and Romelu Lukaku has scored in his previous four outings. To win the Toffees are 21-20 with the likes of bet365 and William Hill while Lukaku is 6-5 with Ladbrokes to net.
Those are great stats but on the other hand Palace have conceded just five in six away games and won four of those matches. They were sublime in putting five past Newcastle last time out and crucially have won 3-2 on their two recent visits to Goodison.
Everton crumbled against Bournemouth last weekend and that’s a concern. So taking into account Palace’s away form and record at Goodison I’m taking them not to lose. That pays 7-8 at 888sport and for the Super Single I’m on Palace draw no bet at 9-5 with 888sport.
Greg’s tipped over 2.5 goals and I wouldn’t argue with that and I’ll also consider both teams to score at 4-6 with BetVictor.
Start the treble with another team not to lose and that’s Grimsby. They have lost just one of their last 18 matches and the National League side should give their League One opponents a tough examination.
Of the three Scottish Cup games one has been postponed – Wick v Linlithgow – and the other two aren’t easy to call. Arbroath-Cowdenbeath could go either way and the all non-league clash between Lothian Thistle and Huntly is one where I believe both will score following their 1-1 draw in the original tie. Add both scoring on Spartans’ plastic pitch which is being used for the match to the treble.
And complete it with under 2.5 goals in the Portuguese League clash between Guimaraes and Rio Ave. Five of the last six meetings have gone that way including two 0-0s and two 1-0s.
There have been seven goals in Guimaraes’s five home matches and four of their last six in all competitions have gone under. It’s the same stat for Rio’s last six and the only figure that goes against this bet is 22 goals in their five away encounters.
1pt Super Single
Crystal Palace draw no bet (8pm)
1pt Top Treble
Grimsby not to lose (7.45pm)
Lothian Thistle v Huntly btts (8pm)
Guimaraes v Rio Ave under 2.5 goals (8pm)
December Super Single total
10 bets (6 winners)
14 bets (3 winners)