SUNDAY was a bad day for Johnb but it was the first one for a while and he’s still well in profit this month.
He was confident enough about his Monday tips to suggest them as a double but Southwell is now abandoned.
John’s Mondays Tips
Highland Lodge 5-1 NAP bet365
Southwell 3.40 (abandoned)
Sir Geoffrey 6-1 NB bet365, Skybet. Ladbrokes
Double was advised – if anyone took it the single will stand on Highland Lodge
Highland Lodge (NAP)
People will know by now how much I study handicap marks and on Monday Highland Lodge is on a seriously low mark but the bookies haven’t done their homework.
Last year Highland Lodge on a mark of 136 ran at Wincanton and was 2nd to Standing Ovation. He was put up 7lb for that to a mark of 143 when he ran in the Hennessy at Newbury and was 4th behind horses like Triolo D’Alene, Rocky Creek and Theatre Guide.
In that race Highland Lodge finished in front of horses like Cape Tribulation, Merry King, Same Difference and Gold Cup winner Lord Windermere.
This season last time out he ran at Aintree in the Becher Chase and was 8th of 25 which was a decent run behind horses like Oscar Time, Mendip Express and Chance du Roy. He also finished ahead of horses like Our Father, Across The Bay and Shakalakaboomboom. That race was over the national fences and he jumped well on a mark of 132
Before that race he ran at Chepstow when 5th of 15 behind Victors Serenade, Monbeg Dude, Handy Andy and Benbens. Highland Lodge was on a mark of 134 that day.
On Monday Highland Lodge runs on a mark of 130 but with Richard O’Dea in the saddle he takes off another 10lb so really Highland Lodge is running on a mark of 120 and this is a far weaker race than he has been running in as you can see by the horses I have mentioned and off a far lower handicap mark.
Highland Lodge is a strong frontrunner who jumps really well so he should lead from the start and with his good fast jumping he can really put these rivals under pressure to lead all the way.
Also the Emma Lavelle yard is in decent form and I think you will know by reading this I fancy this horse strongly on Monday.”
Post your own tips and chat here and good luck with your bets.
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