BARCELONA -4 wasn’t the most popular Super Single I’ve put up – but it was an easy winner and that’s what matters.
Not many agreed with me weakened Barca – with a 4-0 first-leg lead – would better that result but I never force people to have the bet. I always advise if you don’t like my choice as a value punt then back against it or leave it alone.
After the criticism it was great to see Barca have the -4 handicap covered at half-time and of course they went on to win 8-1 – and by then some people with more confidence in me had taken -5, -6 and even -7.
Minus 4 at 7-4 was good enough for me although I put up a 2.5pt SS instead of 5pts due to the nature of the bet. My second-choice SS, Bayern Munich to win to nil, also came in but I couldn’t pick that after Monday’s Everton pick being beaten on the same market.
I was unlucky with the Top Treble with Chelsea and Yeovil winning but Nantes needing extra time to beat Metz 4-2.
Tonight there are two more Capital One Cup quarter-finals and again team news is vital. Early indications are Newcastle will be full strength (barring a couple of injuries) at Spurs who will rotate their squad.
And it seems as if under-pressure Brendan Rodgers will also pick his best side for the tricky trip to Championship leaders Bournemouth who may not play all of their main men. Boss Eddie Howe made 10 changes against West Brom in the last round and promotion is his priority.
I’ve posted a separate article previewing the Capital One Cup ties and have decided to stick by Liverpool as my Super Single. However, I’d advise anyone not sure to wait to see line-ups before having a bet – if Bournemouth are at full strength or Liverpool aren’t I’d consider Bournemouth draw no beat instead. It’s once again a 2.5pts SS but I may update when teams are revealed.
One problem with that could be a Liverpool price drop. Coral remain a best 21-20 – 10bet are 20-21 – but by kick-off all bookies will be odds on if team news favours the Reds.
Elsewhere there are five Bundesliga games, six French Cup clashes and six Spanish Cup ties as well as PSV v Feyenoord in the Dutch league among other games.
In Germany h2h results suggest there should be goals at Eintracht v Hertha Berlin and Borussia M v Werder Bremen while Wolfsburg can avoid defeat at a Dortmund side still in relegation trouble. Wolfsburg are 19-20 at Coral not to lose and that starts the Top Treble.
Add Real Sociedad at home to Real Oviedo in the Spanish Cup with Davie Moyes’s side starting the second leg level at 0-0 and complete the treble with PSG at Ajaccio in the French Cup. PSG will be looking to bounce back from their shock league loss to Guingamp and should have too much quality for their opponents even if they rest some players.
Elsewhere I like the look of Rennes at home to Creteil and Lorient, who have a great record at home to St Etienne, but team news is key in cup clashes so the best bet is to back sides at full strength.
In Holland PSV should see off Feyenoord at home and are a best 17-20 at McBookie and Coral.
Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for video tips and betting chat.
Wolfsburg not to lose (7pm)
Real Sociedad (9pm)
Eintracht Frankfurt v Hertha Berlin btts (7pm)
B M’gladbach v Werder Bremem btts (7pm)
Lille v Bordeaux btts (8pm)
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