I PICKED a 33-10 winner and 10-11 loser on Tuesday and really it should be the other way round.
The Top Treble landed thanks to Derby and Middlesbrough plus Charlton not to lose but Annan gubbed the Super Single after leading 1-0 at half-time.
Greg had a good night too with two winners on the goal-laden Championship – his 4-6 nap and 5-1 over 2.5 goals treble.
Both of us avoided European cup games and it's the correct policy unless you have firm team news. Tonight there's not much else on and while team news is sketchy I've found some that has helped.
Teams in action include Roma, Fiorentina, Napoli and Juventus at home in Coppa Italia, Dortmund at Augsburg in the German Cup and PSG at home to St Etienne in the French Cup.
Again it's worth noting the Spanish games are second legs with the scores standing at Athletic Bilbao (2) v Linense (0); Eibar (0), Ponferradina (3); Getafe (0), Rayo Vallecano (2); Malaga (1), Mirandes (2); Real Sociedad (1), Las Palmas (2); Valencia (3), Barakaldo (1).
Apart from those matches there is little else on. Hull are 10-11 to beat a managerless Reading outfit with just one win in nine while Dagenham and Redbridge will be hoping to beat non-league Whitehawk in the F Cup at the second atttempt.
I thought Hull would feature on my top tips but they are without centre-halves Alex Bruce and Michael Dawson and have won just once of their last nine home matches against the Royals. Reading are struggling but I've decided to leave it alone
In Scotland Wick and Linlithgow attempt to play their Scottish Cup tie and it looks a match where both will score.
For the Super Single I'm taking a chance on Napoli -2AH at home to Verona in the last 16 of Coppa Italia. It's risky because I haven't seen firm team news for the title challengers but it's reported basement boys Verona have six players out injured or suspended and will include youngsters as they focus on trying to avoid the drop.
Verona haven't won in Serie A this season with their only two victories being in the cup against lower-league duo Foggia and Pavia. Napoli should win this and it will be convincing if they go strong – the last two league meetings in Italy have been 5-1 and 6-2.
I'm putting the handicap bet up just now but I wouldn't put anyone off waiting to see the Napoli line-up before having a punt.
My Top Treble is actually a fourfold simply due to the odds. I'm banking on some hot home favourites progressing in the cups. Start with Napoli for reasons already stated and add Juventus who will be put out a strong side for their derby clash with Torino.
Add Fiorentina against a Carpi side who could be weakened for the same reasons as Verona and PSG who have won the League Cup for the last two years. Again they will be pretty strong and have won 14 of their last 16 games in this competition. St Etienne are out of form and have lost six of their last seven visits to PSG including a 4-1 defeat in October.
And remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.
2pts Super Single
Napoli -2AH (6pm)
3.1pts Top Treble (fourfold)
Napoli (6pm)
Fiorentina (3.30pm)
Juventus (7.45pm)
Paris St Germain (8pm)
(12-5, Betfred)
December Super Single total
19 bets (8 winners)
Loss: 1.55pts
Advised Accas
30 bets (9 winners)
Profit: 73.1pts
Just had a quick look through tomorrows card and game over in the Serbia Super Liga seems to have value,
novi pazar v VOJVODINA – 7/4
Novi Pazar come into this game with just 1 win their last 10 loosing 7! Vojvodina on the other hand are currently on a 5 win streak and although don’t have the best away record they have found wins in their last 2 trips away from home.
Also just had a quick look at Saturdays card and Leicester are currently available at prices as big as 27/10! This looks way too big and will surely move by the time kickoff comes!
Shocker in Portugal last night but not mcch time to cry about it as the next flight is taking off for Perth, Australia for the morning. Melbourne Victory were being tipped pre season for back to back titles, and up until their last two games it wasn’t looking too bad. However two back to back 2-0 defeats on the road has hit them where it hurts and they’ll be playing their third away game in 10 days. That is a fair bit of traveling for the Victory and they’ll have one eye on their weekend fixture against title rivals Melbourne City who have scored 15 goals in their last three.
Victory coach Kevin Muscat says focus in on Perth Glory, not the Melbourne derby, but he’s also stated that he’ll need to freshen the team up. Perth haven’t had the start they would have hoped for but got 3 points out last time at home against the Mariners. Unbeaten in their last four at home and last three against the Victory, I think both will be out to try and take three points. Melbourne because the need to keep pace with the Wanderers, and Perth because they’ll hopefully have the stamina advantage over a well traveled side over the last week and a bit. Both have scored in the last five h2h in the a-League and I think we can expect the same again today.
Australia A-League – 10:00AM
Perth Glory/Melbourne Victory BTTS @ 3/4 @ Bet Victor – 2 points
Hull City started off the season well but have gone off the boil since losing at home to Derby, and Leeds on the road in two of their last three. Tonight they’ll have a good opportunity get get back to winning ways against a Reading side who have lost three on the bounce, four of their last five, and have not kept a clean sheet since the 17th of October, and only one away from home all season against Bristol City.
Hull have one of the best of home records in the Championship and their summer signing Adama Diomande came off the bench at the weekend for his debut after an injury kept him sidelined until then. Although he may not play, he offers a very good goal threat, scoring 17 goals in 21 appearances for Stabaek in the Norwegian league, and being called up to the Norwegian squad in June. I think Hull should be good for a couple here. For me they have one of the best squads in the Championship with the likes of Hernandez, Akpom, Snodgrass, Diame, Livermore, Huddelstone and Maloney, and those are just off the top of my head.
English Championship – 7:45PM
Hull Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 32/25 @ 888 – 5 points
___________________________________________________________________________________________
December Totals
Bets 18
Points Staked 54.51
Points Returned 54.51
Profit/Loss 0
Perth v Melbourne btts
Hull win
Juve win
Pays 5/1 bet 365
Bourg-Peronnas vs Marseille, over 2.5 match goals
Lyon vs Tours, over 2.5 match goals
Juventus vs Torino, over 2.5 match goals
Hull vs Reading, Hull WIN
13/1
Come on Perth/Melbourne, let’s have a goal please to start the ball rolling!
Morning gents
One match for me today
Hearts u20 vAberdeen u20 KO 2pm
Back over 1.5 First half goals
Over 3.5 match goals
Aberdeen 4/5
Aberdeen win greg?
Not watching the game, but Melbourne’s stats look appalling (no shots on or off target)?!
Hopefully they’ll score now!
Bigdazza, yes mate
@john smith, its not in the news. where is ur source from?
Sky repoted it but now stating ‘his future is being discussed’. ?
john smith, not seeing this anywhere but the fact the board are discussing his future is a big development.
It was reported today it would cost £40m to sack him and that’s a compensation fee that would have to be negotiated.
They’ve been saying that all day – the Sky article says there is no meeting Wednesday it is part of an ongoing discussion since the Southampton defeat in October
jacksonator, if it wasn’t for the amount of compo he’d have been away weeks ago.
CL run has saved him but board must have run out of patience because there is no sign of league form improving and little chance of a top-four finish.
I’m a Chelsea fan so have unfortunately been watching all the games this season, it has been completely woeful, players don’t look sharp, only maybe Willian playing at anything near 50% of the form last season. Players have to take some responsibility somewhere but if they are being so consistently bad something we don’t know about must be happening behind the scenes.
Confidence is shot to pieces and hard to see where the turn around is going to come from.
Jose has a lot of respect from the fans for what he has done to our club but feelings at the games (from fans around me anyway) is that patience is beginning to run out
Sky have jumped the gun and now backtracked. I have the screenshot of their tweet but i am unable to post it.
john smith, it’s OK – I’ve deleted your earlier comment. Screenshots can only be posted on twitter @mrfixitstips.
Ok thanks mr f.
Roma playing at 13:30 and have a pretty strong side out in the cup including Dzeko, Iturbe and Salah as a front three.
Roma v Spezia – over 1.5 Roma goals
Fiorentina v Carpi – home win
Double pays evens
Aberdeen draw no bet for me @ 1.96
8-fold for tonight (all to win):
Hull 17/20
Wick 10/11
Weymouth 4/11
Fiorentina 3/10
Partizan Belgrade 4/9
Lyon 4/9
Juventus 8/13
PSG 2/9
Acca pays just over 25/1
Good luck all!
well done greg… looking gd for 3.5 also
Napoli, PSG > 1.5TGS, Fiorentina to score 0.8/1
roma are definitely underperforming
Anyone know the Napoli Line Up ?
ullahj, not yet – if I see it I’ll put it up.
@ullahj – Expected Starting XIs:
Napoli: Reina; Strinic, Chiriches, Henrique, Maggio; Valdifiori, Chalobah, El Kaddouri; Mertens, Callejon, Higuain
Verona: Gollini; Pisano, Bianchetti, Helander, Badan; Ionita, Checchin, Hallfredsson; Jankovic, Siligardi, Toni
simpledxb, Higuain starts – that’s good enough for me.
roma dropped to evens now spezia must be fancying their chances of at least a draw
Afternoon gents. Have the little one so couldn’t post before. Surprised to see that the BTTS in Australia was downed by the Victory. Fatigue might have been a factor there but still played the strongest line up possible, which is why I’ll be taking Melbourne City to score twice on Saturday morning. Mentioned they had scored 14 in their last three and should be able to take advantage of the Victories poor run.
Australia A-League – 10:00AM
Perth Glory/Melbourne Victory BTTS @ 3/4 @ Bet Victor – 2 points **LOSE**
Saturday – Australia A-League – 8:30AM
Melbourne City Over 1.5 Team Goals @ EVS @ Boyles – 2.5 points
Apologies. Should read ‘Melbourne City’ Over 1.5 Team Goals! Not sure if admin can edit that for me? Might cause some problems. Cheers.
I should stop with the bigfolds but Im on another
6fold
viera (inplay)
fiorentina
olympiacos
Marseille
porto
Napoli
£5.19 returns £32.09 @betunfair
Why sack Jose… He made a bad call and didn’t get rid of some of the players he should have in the summer. He won the league last year. They got rid of him the first time and that was also a mistake. Whoever they bring in will just get fired anyway so they should just let him sort it out.
Serbia 2pm wed
red star Belgrade
o2.5mgs evens WON
o2.5tgs 9/4 WON
o3.5mgs 9/4 LOST
o4.5mgs 5/1 LOST
this one at 12 seems generous also
vojvodina o1.5tgs 9/5 LOST
o2.5tgs and 1.5tgs double 8/1 LOST
lot of bets there but been punting this one for days to keep an eye out for just hope I don’t end up with egg on my face now, stats are out there and look favourable though take a look……………….
2 main bets won and the cover was an easy one on the vojvodina tgs with them scoring early doors, red star and vojvodina both had plenty chances too happy enough with that though……………..
spezia knocked roma out of the cup
Bet 41: Borussia Dortmund and Both Teams to Score @ 9/5 (0.25 units)
Bet 42: Augsburg v Borussia Dortmund, Over 2.5 goals @ 1/2 (0.5 units)
———————————
All prices McBookie
_____________________
Last bets
———–
Vitoria Setubal and Both Teams to Score @ 22/5 LOSE -0.25
Vitoria Setubal v Rio Ave, Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 LOSE -0.50
DECEMBER
———–—-
Bets: 40
Win: 14
Void: 0
Lose: 26
Outlay: 10 Units
Profit/Loss: -5.00 units
Anyone reason not to fancy,hull at 17/20?
superjim, only for the reasons I have stated.
@superjim if you think Hull to win I’d suggest taking them to win to nil @ 7/4 rather than 17/20 to win. Hull have won 7 home games this season, 6 of those have been to nil, including their last 5 so I’d rather go with that for the better price. Their home from is rock solid tbf to them, they’ve only lost to Derby all season.
Sorry Mr F somehow I missed the Hull bit. I’ve been to Hull loads of times with the ice hockey. Not the prettiest of places.
@mr-fixit or if anyone can answer…i placed a bet by mistake and the first team already lost. I placed is at 8 Folds, 9 bets * £3.00 which was a total of £27.
Since the first team already lost im out of this now or if the rest 8 win do i get something back?
dragoon, you have one eightfold still running.
thanks MR f so basically the rest of 8 results need to happen. Fingers crossed just want to make my stake back now haha not a good start to the day missed Gregs and placed the bet in the wrong box. Still got your Top Treble (fourfold) on, looks solid so should see some return!
Brescia – Spezia – Saturday 14:00
– Spezia – just won against Roma on penalties after 120 mi.
– one word – fatigue , coach said that they are not prepared to play one match at 3 days
– today played with full squad (striker – Calaio was suspended)
– Brescia is undefeated in last 15 games Home – http://www.flashscore.com/match/hjTT0fYq/#h2h;home
Brescia DNB @ 17/24
Dont post to often but reading look far to big for me at 4/1 at bet365 yes they have been off form but they have had a couple of big away results this season. Hull city with there defenive injurys havent looked the same losing 2 and only beating bottom of the league boltom 1-0 also top that with the fact that hull have only won once at home in the last 9 games they have played against reading
Reading win 4/1 also like reading and btts at 9/1
this Italian cup looks harder to predict than it should be
@radu anything u fancy for tonite?
One for the weekend,P.S.G score bth halves,Roma-2,Juventus-2,Burnley-1,Feyernood-1 odds 271/1 and
Nice Btts,P.S.G win,Everton Btts,Southampton Btts,Toulouse Btts,Feyernood win,Atletico Madrid win,Roma win odds 72/1&all French ligue 1 games btts apart from the caen game along with P.S.V&Dep LA Courana Btts odds 928/1 ,well its christmas
My mistake with all the french ligue1 Btts as just realized I haven’t Troyes game aswell
tips for today:
btts:
westerlo
getafe
psv eidhoven
borussia dortmund
whitehawk
overs2,5/3,5 mg:
napoli over2.5
eibar over2.5
alkmaar over3.5
wins:
melgar
platanias
gent
btts&over2.5mg:
borussia dortmund
eibar
psv eidhoven
GL
Going for a double tonight:
Dortmund to Win and BTTS @ 9/5
Dortmund’s last 6 wins in the bundesliga have seen BTTS and Win, this is Dortmund’s best chance of a trophy so they will be playing a full team, Ausburg started the season slowly but have picked up in recent weeks and are through to the last 32 in the Europa League so should be able to find the net.
Napoli -2 handicap @ 13/10
5 points / £50 Double returns: £322
Fiorentina game is one of most one sided games I’ve ever seen – and yet Fiorentina haven’t scored – mental.
fiorentina heading same way as roma game draw 10/11
7 out of 10 games at home Hull have been leading at half-time
2.60 @bet365
Wow – just wow. Carpi scored. Wow
gambling is a mugs game if u want money work hard i feel like swearing
CSMS Iasi – CFR Cluj – 1st Half draw @ 19/20
Valencia – Barakaldo – Valencia (-1.5) @ 17/20
PSG – St. Etienne – BTTS @ 6/4
Juventus – Torino – 1st Half draw @ 51/50
Napoli – Verona – Napoli to score in both halves @ 3/4
Gent – Mechelen – BTTS @ 17/20
GL ;)
Alessandria yesterday
Spezia earlier
Now carpi lead.
This cup is poison for betting
Alessandria was not a surprise but today YES INDEED
CSMS Iasi – CFR Cluj – 1st Half draw @ 19/20 Won ;)
Valencia – Barakaldo – Valencia (-1.5) @ 17/20 Won ;)
PSG – St. Etienne – BTTS @ 6/4 Lost :(
Juventus – Torino – 1st Half draw @ 51/50 Lost :(
Napoli – Verona – Napoli to score in both halves @ 3/4 Won ;)
Gent – Mechelen – BTTS @ 17/20 Lost :(
Coppa Italia – note to self- avoid at all costs :-(
Mamelodi – Kaizer (2-0 min 55)
– Kaizer to score @ 6/4
Hills team to score coupon
Roma 1-14
Fiorentina 1-10
Wonder what odds both not to score was
Kaizer missed 2 pen min 62 and 75 – haha :( :D
Barcelona – Guangzhou
tips which i am about to bet:
btts
double chance X2
ht Draw – ft Draw
btts+over2.5mg
what you are thinking about guys?
What the trainer of Guangzhou is thinking about?
Lot’s of cup action around Europe today, I decided to stay close to home.
Dutch Cup
Over 2.5 match goals
Kozakken Boys v AZ
Capelle v Noordwijk
Double @ 2.40 with BV
A place in the quarter finals is at stake for these 4 teams. I fully expect Kozakken Boys to score a goal in this game, they scored in every home game this season and with AZ being the better team I think we will see goals.
For amateur teams Capelle and Noordwijk this is the game of the season. Both teams can reach the quarter finals for the first time. The game is played at the stadium of Excelsior Rotterdam and both clubs will be supported by 1500 fans. Both team are scoring and conceding in their leagues and I think we will see some goals tonight.
It has been raining all day in The Netherlands, but both games will be played on plastic pitches.
Excellent as ever Mr Orange.
Mamelodi – Kaizer (2-0 min 55)
– Kaizer to score @ 6/4 finally min 93 Won ;)
Gil Vicente – Potimonense (1-0 HT)
– Portimonense to score @ 4/5
olympiacos haven’t scored yet either…..
Gil Vicente – Potimonense (1-0 HT)
– Portimonense to score @ 4/5 Won ;)
After the Fiorentina shambles ….
Decent Dortmund line up …
Dortmund, PSG > 1.5 TGS 0.9/1
Also a punt on Mkhitaryan ATGS 6/4
Konyaspor – Kayserispor – (0-0 HT)
– over 1 goal @ 1.750
Who needs Europe?
BTTS TREBLE Whitehawk, Kidsgrove, South Park (9/4 Coral)
Both teams augsburg and Dortmund have put out decent teams. Dortmund should win this but augsburg will be spurred on due to their good run in europpa league and beating shalke. Both teams should score here and I am on
Btts and over 2.5 just under evens 1.95.
Had this game picked out on Sunday so hopefully it comes in.
don’t want to waste a decent day in Serbia so just a wee o2.5mgs 6 fold to take the edge off……………..
Valencia, Augsburg, psg, Heracles, gent, melgar 17/1
GL all with a bet on tonite………………..
F…g Napoli miss a penalty!! grrrr!! only need another goal
OK take that back LOL GOAL!!
I think Chris Waddle has been giving penalty taking classes in Italy
Evening gents,
Bit late this one but mentioned it last night – have done a fair reccy of the game but no time to post reasoning…
BRADFORD PARK AVENUE VS. LINCOLN CITY :
Over 2.5 goals…4/5…NAP
Over 3.5 goals…15/8…NB
BPA love a goal and have netted; 2-3-3-1-3-3-7 goals in their last 7 games twice netting 3 at The Horsfall.
Will also be having a go at BPA 2+ team goals…7/4.
Good luck
PS Jim…what’s up with Hull…it’s lovely this time of year – bit like Tuscany in Autumn…??
Yeah sorry HullShaker. There is much worse places than Hull.
where…………….. ha ha…………. :D ;)
Think that match has been postponed because of water logged pitch
boss, spose that’s Tuscany fur ye ……………….. :D
Yep, sorry lads – off for second time due to waterlogged pitch. Hadn’t checked since looked this morning and posted as soon as back in from work.
It gets a bad press Hull and some of it’s deserved but been here for a fair few years and I love it – top folk as well…though like most Yorkshiremen they’ve got deep pockets and short arms.
Thanks Mr Fixit went for 3+ Napoli goals. Giving up on the horses, I’ve backed to many non tryers lately. Thanks better sticking to footie.
evening hull lad, games off according to lassie in wh shop went roon earlier to do a wee cash bet…………..
radu, if you are on do constanta share a ground with steaua or din at the moment? cheers just looking at tomorrows games
Konyaspor – Kayserispor – (0-0 HT)
– over 1 goal @ 1.750
Void
@ craneguy – i’ll put a preview tomorrow – Cheers !!
Quick one for the Peruvian 8.30 KO then…
Melgat v Cristal, 2-2 last time out and plenty of action in noth teams recent games.
Over 2.5…4/5
Over 3.5…2/1
Both look pretty good.
This game has disappeared in-play from B365?
aye hull anytime ive frequent the place been made more than welcome tbh :)
get the money ye would of placed on the game on alex rae next st Mirren manager was sittin at lights next to me on Caledonia st in paisley on way hame fae work ;)
well done orange was on !
cheers radu cant beat local knowledge ta
top stuff again mr O only seen it late and kozakken game had just kicked off, local knowledge again magic………
No way to cover my bet. Damn. Just hoping augsburg can score me a goal.
Come on augsburg!
Also a punt on Mkhitaryan ATGS 6/4 WON :)
Just need PSG to wake up and score a couple now!
No problem km654321 , craneguy. Good to see you were on!
took an in play melgar win 23/10 at 0-1 down just scored 1-1
Thanks HullShaker saw your post and had a wee bet on both teams to score. Giving up on horses .
WC nice wan on the scorer bet, psg gonnae goose ma 6 fold a hink cannae trust they frenchies ha ha………. :P
hulls overs can be covered at 6/1 or more…………….
Cheers Crane -vowed last week to skip French soccer – only got myself to blame!!
Quite fancy Hull to snatch the win here…9/2
Wow
?
Sloppy as it comes but I’ll take it.
English Championship – 7:45PM
Hull Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 32/25 @ 888 – 5 points **WIN**
Excellent jordan
Cheers Jordan doesn’t matter how sloppy it is its a winner
Nice one Jordan.
come on psg your letting my 6 fold down
Top stuff again Mr orange, always keep an eye out for ur tips, small stakes for me but profits profit! Cheers
Mr Orange great stuff tonight mate
there we go goalllll
Well done all winners and get in there City!
In-play – Hull City…9/2…*WON*
Melgar v Cristal…Over 2.5 goals…4/5…*WON*
See PSG have finally pulled their fingers out of there arses…a few sighs of relief from acca fans there I reckon.
New Zealand – going to have a wee overnight punt on Hawkes Bay -1AH @ 3.200. They are in much better form than Waitakere …. reckon there will also be a few goals. Waitakere haven’t had a game for a couple of weeks and the manager has been focussed on their training. I will go with the in form team at those odds. They are managed by Brett Angell formerly of Everton /Sunderland
Odds now down to 2.600 since I placed bet at lunchtime
Hey Hull..any tips on the Emelec game later on
Cheers gents, was fearing the worst after the loss in Australia this morning. 90 minutes for a reason. Well done to the winners.
the only think i hate when i bet on btts its when home team fail to score.
lost 2 bets ( – 30 euros) and the chance to win a 4hold and 6hold thanks to augsburg and westerlo.
but i had huge returns on a 3-4 and 4hold thanks to over3,5 mg on eibar, psv, utrecht and marseille.
cheers hull wasn’t watchin but hud a point on yer hunch gallus………………… ;)
WasClueless – usually stick to the NZ Youth league but with you on that one tomorrow pal.
Goals-wise there’s little value and although it should come in, Over 3.5 is only evens.
H/caps the way here like you say.
Hawke’s Bay have soundly beaten opposition that have in turn beaten Waitakere and realistically should win by a clear margin.
I’ll take the gamble on:
Hawkes Bay -2…5/1
Hawkes Bay -3…14/1
Sensible stakes and good luck.
No worries Crane!
There’s the 4th in the Melgar v Cristal game as well.
Over 3.5 goals…2/1…*WON*
Evening Glucey,
Had a good look at the Emelec game and it’s not one I’ll be going mad on but there is potentially some great value.
LDU very much hold the bragging rights in H2H’s and won the last encounter 2 zip. It will be a feisty one but value-wise, these 3 all look big:
Over 2.5 goals…11/10
BTTS…6/5 ( too big!)
LDU win…9/2.
Hope that helps and good luck.
gallus 3-2 melgar………………
took an in play melgar win 23/10 at 0-1 down just scored 1-1 WON
mad 17/1 6 fold LOST
hull win 9/2 WON
mr O’s netherlands double tip WON at 13/10 wont claim it though Jordan will give me a row again……..as didn’t post till after was on it
a nice evens and a 9/4 in Serbia today that I was on heavier than I should of been as mentioned on last nites thread it was a sink or swim bet WON thankfully
great stuff as always from the regulars keep up the good work………..
cheers lads a great bunch 1.7pts up from being almost 30pts down on sunday ;)
the recovery is on ………………
nice SS mr f unlucky on the fiorentina result …………..
nite owl
junior to score, emelec o1.5mgs, alajuelense u3.5mgs 6/4