WEDNESDAY was another profitable night for LockupTipster with 3 of his 5 bets winning to give him an impressive 71% strike-rate for the week so far.
He’s back once more with his picks for Thursday’s quarter final matches…
With another great night on the darts, we now focus towards the business end of the competition and pitch up at the quarter final stage, where the top half of the draw battle out to see who will face one another on Friday’s Semi Final
Top half quarter finals:
- Quarter one – MVG Vs Jamie Lewis
- Quarter two – Mark Webster Vs Jelle Klassen
MVG Vs Jamie Lewis
Bookies make MVG the overwhelming favourite and no bigger than 1/10, with Lewis out at 9/1 in places. The head to head shows that MVG leads 7-1 with the only loss for MVG coming at a UK Open qualifier in early 2014. The pair met as recently as the matchplay where Gerwen unleashed his venom in a 13-2 last 16 clash in Blackpool. MVG has some real bite in this tourney and made his statement after beating Kim Huybrechts on Tuesday night that he knew he would win!
Jamie Lewis made a terrific comeback to beat Michael Smith 3-2 and went to the final leg to secure victory. He hit a 108 to finish off the match and this partially comes into play on the bet I will suggest. Lewis went to the final visit for a ton plus checkout and the bookies are suggesting a cruise 3-0 win for the world number one. I am thinking, with MVG in form, how many chances will Lewis get and will he crack under the pressure?
When I saw the price for a Lewis checkout, I was dwelling between the 7/10 on under 100.5 or evens for under 90.5. This is the tricky one. The 100.5 requires a three dart finish (not literally but most commonly). The 7/10 does look the play, as if the MVG that turns up does, this could be all over in less than thirteen legs. There is a contrast towards the highest checkout and individual match checkouts but at 5/6 it does not appeal. Those looking for a pro MVG bet will be interested to know Coral offer 11/10 for MVG to win the game, hit the most maximums and highest checkout. I am not a huge fan of this market, but I am sure some will be!
Mark Webster Vs Jelle Klassen
The battle of the former BDO World Champions as they toe the oche, with Webster taking out jackpot as Klassen saw off Dave Chisnall. The head to head is close with Webby edging it 7-6, but none of their meetings have been on TV and will be the first meeting since May 2013. Jelle Klassen is the firm favourite at 4/6 with the Welsh superstar out at 6/4 and expected to shorten in as backers convince themselves the prices should be closer than they are and they should.
To summarise this, I looked at the key markets I price up and compare to the actual live prices and the bookies have this game well covered on all key markets. I will take the unprecedented decision to play a no bet for this game!
- Jamie Lewis – Under 100.50 checkout – 7/10 Betfair Sportsbook