IT was a day of no winners and I had a bad feeling after it started badly with PSV not scoring against 10 men.
Inter and Roma beat the fourfold with draws and my other two bets weren't that close on a day where I felt I should have done better.
So I've lost some of August's profit but won't be risking too much over the next three days with the main leagues not in action.
Today at 3pm there are full cards in the National League as well as North and South. I'm no expert on these games but have picked out two trebles only because I'm showing a decent profit for the month.
What worries me is the National League sides played at the weekend so it's a quick turnaround.
My selections are based on stats and recent form but with little knowledge of how teams play, how fit they are and also team news. I'm not putting up reasoning because the reasoning is all in h2hs and last six games form. All selections are from the National League except Fylde who play in the North League.
If the first two in the Top Treble land the bet can be covered on Guiseley not to lose.
So follow mine if you've been following me all month but if not check out the tips posted by many people who know more about this league than me.
I've been impressed by many of the write-ups posted today and thank everyone for taking their time to put them up.
I've not picked a Super Single but if the goals trebls wins I may go for leaders Tranmere -1 at home to Guiseley in the live TV game at 5.30pm. Minus one Tranmere are 20-21 with boylesports and that's a possibility.
Elsewhere there's not much on the go and it could be a week studying the internationals – and playing a bit of golf.
Profit: 9.2pts
(21 bets, 10 winners, 1 void)
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Early days in the lower English leagues Mr F but patterns starting to emerge already – not going to put up reasoning but based on observations of the opening few weeks, I’ll be having a go with this:
NORTH FERRIBY
BRADFORD PARK AVENUE
CURZON ASHTON
FC UTD games
BTTS 4-fold pays just shy of 5/1
Tranmere and Lincoln would be the 2 home games I’d look at and a double of the two pays 1.44/1
The National League North has been a goals ‘love-in’ and for anyone fancying a pop – all 11 to see Over 2.5 goals pays 302/1…I’ll be having a small stake on it ?
Best of luck.
Cheers, might just do your bets today.
I’ll probably have a look in the morning at stats for the National League.
national league
tranmere v guiseley
top v bottom
tranmere won 3 homes 2-0 2-1 2-1
guiseley lost all 3 aways but scored in all 3
guiseley conceded 2+ in last 6 league games
last season here was 2-1 tranmere, 2-2 draw at guiseley
though guiseley are bottom they seem capable of snatching a goal
guiseley to score 10-11 (NAP) hills
btts 11-10 hills
btts and win tranmere 23-10 hills
btts and over 2.5 goals 6-4 corals
It is top versus bottom in the national league and this fixture should produce goals. Guiseley have conceded an average of 2.8 goals a game in there opening 6 games, granting the opposition at least 2 goals in each game. They do possess firepower up top however scoring 5 goals in there last 3 games. Tranmere have started the season superbly dropping only 2 points from there opening 6 games and remain unbeaten, I expect them to have way too much for a Guiseley side that remain pointless and are leaking goals in for fun.
Mondays Bet
Tranmere WIN/ Over 2.5 goals
11/10
Paddypower
Best of luck with your bets folks on a very tight card!
Just to add, 5 out of 6 Guiseley defeats have seen over 2.5 goals with Guiseley netting in all but one game. Tranmere are prone to conceding with both teams scoring in 3 of there last 4 games. Both teams to score pays 11/10 at William Hill for goal backers.
Are you worried form could go out the window by teams playing 2 games in 3 days.
How I see it is that we are very early into the season and I dont see fatigue being an issue at this stage. Tranmere have home advantage and I expect class to prevail.
Cheers, I’ll have a look at stats and team news in he morning but Tranmere look good with you and HullShaker backing them.
Three great posts up already on the National League. Well done, fellows. Tips rolling in already, good to see.
Morning all
Looks like it will be national league tonight as not much else on. Plenty games to choose from tho so will have a look at lunch time
Will defo be on your btts four fold hullshaker tho
Good luck today all
Last night bet lost as Sevilla were rotten
3pm kick offs mate, dont forget that, only the tranmere game kicks off later
Never noticed that cheers working so will have a look later
conference treble
tranmere
Gateshead +2
Dagenham +2
£15 returns £31.11 @betfair
Woking v Chester BTTS and Overs 5/6
Last 3 head to heads have seen this outcome. Both sides have around 85% games > 2.5 MGS – hopefully will lead to more goals here …
Ross Lafayette ATGS 11/10 (Dover)
Signed from Eastleigh has 3 in last 4 … knocked around a few NL teams. Plays upfront possibly with Moses Emmanuel who some may remember bagging a load of goals for Bromley at the start of last season
One posted tip yesterday
Grasshoppers vs young boys
BTTS + O2.5 mgs
** WON **
Today…
Tranmere win
Forest green win
0.86/1
Sticking to one or two pre match tips a day now as changed my style to more Inplay bets… Quick research can be done during the game and you also get a good sight into what way the game is going and have been far more profitable for me this last week?
just going thru the games, the conference is my league, as i’m a torquay fan, not sure what to make of our game today tho, superb win against dower, but lost 3/3 away and havent scored, i went to both the defeats at macclesfield and north ferriby, we were woeful in cheshire but much much more together at ferriby, and by all accounts should have won by at least another goal v dover, prob pick over 1.5 at braintree
i’m liking the look of overs at several games throughout the lower leagues, and have picked out eight win/over 2.5 goals bets, just need to find a bookie that will offer prices on games that low? bet365 do the conference, but only fylde at win/3.5 which should still happen, i’ll continue my search!
wins for these sides should happen, and fancy goals there too
tranmere 1/1
forest green 10/11
fylde
merthyr
st neots
chippenham
blyth
tonbridge
not been able to find prices on any of my accounts apart from the two mentioned and st neots, so have done those 3 and the other five as over 2.5, for 168/1 acc, small stakes of course
i’ll post a studied over 2.5 line later on
TRANMERE O1.5MG
F GREEN WIN
EVENS
0.50 points
HALIFAX DC
TORQUAY DC
1.4/1
0.50 points
YORK TO SCORE
AFC UNITED DC Sweden
EVENS
0.50points
Busan – Anyang – BTTS & under 3.5 goals @ 3.10
Bucheon – Daegu – BTTS & under 3.5 goals @ 3.05
Awful day yesterday but that’s how it goes sometimes! He’s my picks for today.
SUTTON v DAGGERS.
DAGGERS to WIN 15/8.
DAGGERS dnb 11/10.
Over 2.5 mgs 3/4.
DAGGERS over 1.5 TGS 11/8.
DAGGERS over 2.5 TGS 9/2.
SUMMARY: Again believe John Still’s boys will have too much strength and pace for newly promoted SUTTON. Still has 6 strikers that he can rotate, all very capable at this level! Of course there is a plastic pitch to contend with, and this, with SUTTON’S superb promotion season are reflected in the odds. My tips incorporate a couple of conservative bets!
Bromley v EASTLEIGH dnb 8/11.
SUMMARY: Ronnie Moore has already began to install what he expects from his boys, with a credible shut out at Wrexham, followed by a home win against Solihull, again without conceding! Fully expect them to gain a result today, but airing on the side of caution!
HOBRO v VENDSYSSEL.
Over 2.5 mgs 17/20.
HOBRO over 1.5 TGS 1/1.
SUMMARY : HOBRO appear to of found legs in div 1 after relegation, and have scored 8 in last two games! Watched them dismantle SKIVE! Their opponents haven’t started season great, but have netted 3 times, in opening 2 away fixtures.
Stats based 4 fold
NY Red Bulls 2+ tgs
Seattle clean sheet – no
Brondby v FC Copenhagen over 1.5 mgs
IFK win + over 1.5 mgs
Pays 4/1 with Betfair
*LOST* (one goal short from NYRBs ggrrrrr!)
some games I expect to come through from England’s national league
NORTH FERRIBY UTD – BARROW
Both Teams Score
DOVER – ALDERSHOT
Over 2.5
WOKING – CHESTER
Both Teams Score
TRANMERE – GUISELEY
Over 2.5
BISHOP STORTFORD – WEALDSTONE
Both Teams Score
HALIFAX – HARROGATE
Both Teams Score
GAINSBOROUGH – BRACKLEY TOWN
Both Teams Score
WESTON SUPER MARE – ST.ALBANS
Both Teams Score
Combo @ 1.86 (NAP)
– Botosani – ASA – Botosani to win @ 1.40
– Sirius – GAIS – over 2 goals(AT) @ 1.33
Afternoon gents
Didnt post yesterday as I was worse for wear after a heavy session on Saturday night
Head is clear again and focusing on goals as usual
Celtic u20 v St Johnstone u20 KO 7pm
The young Perth men travel through to Grennock and going by the matches played so far, it’s likely to be a young side put out again! They’ve won just one of their last 11 games on the road and play a Celtic side who have played three won three and scored 11!
Team news is usually avail shortly before kick off but I’m siding with goals and most of them to come from Celtic, especially given they have won 18 of their last 19 at home
Back Celtic over 2.5 team goals ( if avail)
Over 1.5 first half goals 1/1
Over 3.5 match goals 5/6
Conference North
Alferton v Tamworth
Bradford PA v Fylde
Cruzon v Salford
Over 2.5 match goals treble pays 7/2
Will also be on the usual 5 matches 6pm early goal bets
The day jst gets worse as stjohnstone go 1-0 up
I suggest this bet, to whosoever wants to follow..goodluck all?
Solihull Moors FC – Macclesfield Town…1x
Wrexham FC – York City…1x
Braintree Town – Torquay Utd under 3goals
Bradford Park Avenue – AFC Fylde over 1.5goals
Total odd: 2.78
Bradford PA v Fylde O2.5 Match Goals
Tranmere v Guiseley O1.5 Match Goals
Double @ 22/25 (bet365)
Bradford PA v Fylde
Woking v Chester
O0.5 First Half Goals Double @ 77/100 (Coral)
Good luck to everyone with today’s non-league bets.
My “tentative” tips are up including Bet of the Day.
Off out to walk the dug up the moors on a beautiful day but I wish the Beeb would stop saying it’s a Bank Holiday.
It’s not up here.
today
Bradford pa, Halifax, utd of Manchester o2.5mgs 3/1
August
Bet 29
Brazil – Serie A 12am
Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo
2-3 Match Goals
1.95 (Bet365)
Bet 30
Brazil – Serie B – Wednesday 31st August 12.30am
CRB v Oeste
2-3 Match Goals
2.15 (Bet Victor)
Bet 31
Japan – J2 League – Wednesday 31st August 11am
2-3 Match Goals
Kumamoto v Ehime FC
1.95 (Bet365)
August
Bets Placed: 31
Won: 20
Lost: 8
Pending: 3
Profit/Loss: +20.1 pts
Dover over 1.5tgs
Forest green over 1.5tgs
Dagenham to score
Treble returns 2/1
Good luck all
Over 1.5 goals came up on sat in conference games am doing same again 12/1 for bit of interest
Going with you on that one Lee .
Great to come to work(no bank holiday in Ireland) and see a load of 3pm kickoffs. Heres hoping for loads of cheers coming from the laptop from 3 onwards
Eastleigh to win @2,30
Draw Or Gatesgead @2,00 for X2
Braintree BIG BET
Woking @2,45
@hullshaker
I see Darlington are at it again +1,5 tgls in after 20 mins ?surprised you didn’t mention it.
Woking v Chester BTTS and Overs 5/6 WON :)
Last 3 head to heads have seen this outcome. Both sides have around 85% games > 2.5 MGS – hopefully will lead to more goals here …
Ross Lafayette ATGS 11/10 (Dover) WON :)
Both in nice and early !!
Nice WC. Liked the Woking/Chester game but had doubts, sailed in though!
Bradford PA v Fylde
Woking v Chester
O0.5 First Half Goals Double @ 77/100 (Coral) ///WIN///
The 22/25 double also has cover available on U1.5 match goals at Tranmere v Guiseley. I’m gonna hope for an early goal in that one before covering.
Well done as well (hope there should be a couple of goals in the Tranmere game – especially as I have the home team to score twice in an acca!)
Great stuff WC and Leroy ?
Dover over 1.5tgs
Forest green over 1.5tgs
Dagenham to score
Treble returns 2/1 **LOST**
Tranmere over 1.5tgs
Sirius over 1.5tgs
Hobro over 2.5mgs
Fredikstad btts
Four fold returns 6.5/1
For a bit off interest
**LOST**
Doesn’t matter I do most now cannot pick a winner fortunately others picking winners for me
Philwindy – I put up post in the early hours and like you said, totally missed Darlington team goals…?…another 3 today and licking myself now.
No surprise to see the 300+/1 down but disappointed the BTTS 4-fold was short of a Curzon and Ferriby goal.
Still have the Tranmere/Lincoln double on the go with the latter leg alteady in.
Well done to all/any winners.
F*cking stroll on – kicking not licking ?.
Hahaha ???
pmsl – big boy!!
?
Wondered – thought you were a dug for a minute.
FK Jerv over 1.5tg
Fortuna Dusseldorf over 1.5tg
FC Botosani to win
Sochaux game HT result= draw
Cesena game HT result = draw
Pays 39/1
today
Bradford pa, Halifax, utd of Manchester o2.5mgs 3/1 LOST
2 short in Halifax……. blame fully laid at hulls door should of avoided northern monkey league, hes due a good licking………….. ooops kicking………… :D :D
wee punt on this while trying to dig out a nite owl
dusseldorf o1.5tgs 11/5
nice wee wdw double there hull………. bit of a deviation from goals but always worth a go if ye fancy them……….
Mondays Bet
Tranmere WIN/ Over 2.5 goals
11/10
Paddypower
**LOST** ?
One posted tip yesterday…
Grasshoppers vs young boys
BTTS + O2.5 mgs
** WON **
Today…
Tranmere win
Forest green win
0.86/1
** WON**
Lesson learnt today!!!!!!!
How many times have I read Mr F, Guru and Sir Jordan highlighting NOT to place too many bets on a game!
ALL DAGENHAM bets ?????
EASTLEIGH dnb 8/11 ✔️ Romped it!
HOBRO over 2.5 mgs 17/20✔️
HOBRO over 1.5 TGS 1/1 ✔️ Currently 4-0 up!
Great work over in DK. Wark!
I was close to taking these bets on after finding very little I do on team news and managers press conference I bottled it. Bugger! ?
@philwindy, finished weekend with a bloody nose, bet365 have given me a right going over! See, you’ll not the only one who ‘has lost the plot’. Betting has a habit of kicking you hard, just when you think things are going well!!! Overindulge and pay the price!
TRANMERE/LINCOLN WIN DOUBLE…1.44/1
**WON**
Icelandic Youth game that may well see a few goals later but limited markets…
FYLKIR U19 VS. LEIKNIR / KB U19 (21.00 KO):
Fylkir in fine form with 6 wins out of their last 7 and no goals conceded in the last 4 back to back wins.
Leiknir/KB can’t come close to that form and have lost much more than they’ve won!
However, they have a goal in them – in the 29 games played since September, BTTS has featured in all but one!
Selection:
1st half goal line…1.5,2.0…2.000
?
In-play markets just on and will take Over 4.5 MGS…6/5 as well
1st goal after ‘9 then nothing else although god knows how…lost!
Fylkir -1 AH @1.9 in play seems massive?
It does mate…if I didn’t have bets already on i’d be looking at the 6/5 for over 2.5 MGS rather than h/cap though.
Well that 6/5 came in but not my original one ?
wee punt on this while trying to dig out a nite owl
dusseldorf o1.5tgs 11/5 0-0
that went well…………. :D
I cannot believe that game finished 0-0!!!
Argentina has been a great stomping ground this week as the top-flight reconvenes and I’ll be paying another visit later on for the Night Owl:
CA ALDOSIVI v COLON (23.00 KO):
Brief write-up and BTTS looks to have solid claims with 2 of the last 3 H2H’s and the majority of games in the run-in to last season seeing the outcome as a positive.
It’s 19/20 for BTTS but with 9 and 7 corners in those last 2 H2H’s and higher average match figures for both, I’ll add corners to bump the price up:
BTTS + OVER 7.5 CORNERS…1.6/1
Also worth noting that 1st half goals have been flying in since the season re-started in Argentina and I’ll take this one to follow suit. In the last 3 match-ups, I think 5 or 6 of the goals scored were in the 1st 45 with BTTS 1st half in 2 of the 3 games!
BTTS 1ST HALF…9/2
Good luck anyone on the late ones ?
Corners in but no home goal brings down the bets.
nite owl
caballero btts, everton btts, botafogo to score 3/1
al take a late one in the fykir u19 game 2-0 85mins 6/4
WON 5/2 as I placed it toffee……. :D cannae beat a late one in Iceland lol………
They love ’em ?
over 3.5mgs in the haukar w game 1-2 6/4 83mins
WON sorry typo 82mins 43secs it was credited startin tae sound like yer man on that wan apologies for the error………
Hi Craney hope your well mate ?
Stuck ma free fiver at skybet on draws at Sochaux and Cesana and wrote it off after Sochaux were 2-0 up, checked account when leaving work to see Brest cored twice in the 90th minute to bring it up ? on over 1.5 ht gls at Aldosivi at 5/2
nice yin craig last time a “brest cored twice” anyhin was 81/82 mibee……… :D
Aldosivi RT9 10/11
Win?
Crane ??
In-play treble:
Aldovisi game BTTS
ABC to score first
Sol de America to score
Treble pays 9/2…,
Not posted on here before but been doing your tips for several months. Thanks to all.
Fancy these this morning in Australia
Devonport BTTS
Edgeworth BTTS
Melbourne Knights over 2.5
Perth Win
Skybet 7.52/1