ODD kept their side of the bargain by scoring against Borussia Dortmund – although maybe now they regret it.
The Norwegians levelled the tie on aggregate and brought up a 2.5pts Super Single at 6-4 before the Germans went goal crazy.
And well done to those who saw the tip and suggest Dortmund and btts – I wanted to see line-ups before backing it.
My only other bet on what was a usually difficult Europa League night was a goals double that was beaten by AZ v Astra.
So it was a 3.75pts win (forgot to stake off earlier) and a 2.4pts loss but a profit on EL ties is always acceptable.
At this time of the week my focus is on my Saturday tips and column in the Daily Record. Only when they’re written will I look at Friday’s card so hopefully some of the regulars will kick us off with a few pointers.
Lancashire strugglers Blackburn and Bolton meet in the English Championship while in Scotland Falkirk entertain Dumbarton. At first glance I’d go Bolton not to lose and both to score at Falkirk.
Villarreal face Espanyol in La Liga and there are usually goals when Wolfsburg take on Schalke at home.
I also like the look of Marseille at a Guingamp side who have lost their last three without scoring. Marseille won 6-0 at Troyes last week in Michel’s first game as boss after opening with two defeats.
Goals fans will target the Dutch lower league and maybe the Austrian games and there are matches in Scandinavia and Ireland including Bohemians v Dundalk and St Pat’s v Derry.
Having read Marseille have won seven of their last eight against Guingamp I’m chancing the visitors as the Super Single.
For a goals double I’m on btts at Falkirk with the last 11 of Dumbarton’s away league matches going over 2.5 goals. Btts covers me for 1-1 but not 3-0 – and I’m adding San Jose v LA Galaxy over 2.5 goals.
I watched Galaxy’s 5-1 rout of New York City last week and it could have been many more. There last nine have gone over 2.5 and they’ve netted 20 goals in their last five. Robbie Keane is 13-10 at bet365 to score and that’s worth taking.
2.25pts Super Single
1pt Goals Double
Falkirk v Dumbarton btts (7.45pm)
San Jose v LA Galaxy over 2.5 goals (4am)
(11-5, bet365, BetVictor)
6pts Super Single
Aberdeen (3pm, Sat)
(5-6, Paddy Power)
Advised Thursday – Pending
August Super Single record
32 bets (15 winners, 16 losers, 1 void)
47 bets (15 winners, 32 losers)
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their weekend tips and previews.