RAFA NADAL is now just 4-9 at Boylesports to claim his first clay-court title of the season at the Hamburg Open and today the Spaniard bids to reach the final.
He's up against Andreas Seppi and is just 1-9 for victory against the 7-1 Italian (bet365). The pair's only recent meeting resulted in a straight-sets win for Rafa on the clay of Monte Carlo last year and another 2-0 success for the Spaniard pays 3-7 at Unibet.
In the other semi-final Fabio Fognini is 1-3 (Paddy Power) against French world No.85 Lucas Pouille, who won their only previous head-to-head and is 5-2 at Skybet.
There's also last-four action from Gstaad where David Goffin is the 39-19 title favourite at 10bet and the WTA events in Baku and Nanchang see the likes of Jelena Jankovic and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova attempt to reach the final.
In rugby league's Challenge Cup Warrington host Hull KR and there's a rugby union title decider Down Under when Australia take on New Zealand this morning.
Other highlights including cycling's Clasica San Sebastain so let's hear your tips and good luck with your bets.
Morning Guys Warrington Wolves v Hull KR ko 12:45
The second semi final of the challenge cup, is being played at Headingly the home of the Leeds Rhinos, who await the winners of this match at Wembley and the Wolves are warm favourites giving the Robins a 10pt start the handicap. Hull KR won their last meeting last month so will have no fear in this game.
Warrington head into this semi final with a few absentees, Matty Russell is out and Ben Westwood is suspended, they are two big players missing. Hull KR will have star half back Albert Kelly back who was rested last week, as well as Winger Ken Sio and second rower Kevin Larroyer.
The Robins hammered the Wolves 36-10 just a month ago and will be confident in beating the Wolves again. This time though Warrington have Gareth O’Brien, Richie Myler and Ben Currie who all missed that game back. I fancy a Wolves win here like last night with Leeds, if they can off load the ball often and accurately then they can expose a soft Hull KR defence. They are bang in form winning 4 of their last 5 games and a bet I like is O5.5 Wolves tries at 6/5 at Coral, as I can see a open attacking game, with a few tries being scored, Hull KR defence as been exposed recently in the last few weeks and the wolves should be on the prowl to get to Wembley. 6/5 looks a good bet, like last night a winning margin of 1-12pts is an alternative option.
In the try scorer market I will be on robins winger Josh Mantellato who as been a huge success since his move from the Newcastle Knights. He as 18 tries in 24 games for the Robins, and I expect them to start fast and play an expansive game as they are on a 4 game losing streak and if they don’t play well in the opening 25mins they could get blown away. Mantellato, Sio, Dixon and Kelly are all in double figures this season, so I expect them to throw the ball around and try and get on top of the wolves early. Mantellato is 11/8 Skybet.
Ben Currie, for me should not only get Warrington’s player of the year, he has to be called up for England in the end of season series against the Kiwis. I really think this guy is a future star at 21, he as spoken about getting to Wembley and I think this guy can take centre stage this afternoon. I am on the Wolves total tries but if I was going to pick a player at decent odds Currie would be my tip to score at 7/4 Skybet
If like me you fancy a Currie try and Warrington to win you can improve the odds to 12/5 by taking the anytime wincast at Skybet.
Currie as scored 12 in 20 super league games including against the robins. He turned the game in the last round off the challenge cup against Leigh scoring twice, he also did the same in the previous round, and for my longshot bet I will take Currie to grab a brace, at 8/1 William Hill.
WARRINGTON 05.5 TRIES 6/5
MANTELLATO TO SCORE 11/8
CURRIE TO SCORE 7/4
CURRIE ANYTIME WINCAST 12/5 (small stakes)
Longshot value bet
CURRIE TO SCORE 2+ 8/1
Good luck if your having a bet
Boxing Campell v Coyle
Looking forward to this fight, Sky are billing it as the “Rumble on the Humber” as Olympic gold medallist takes on Coyle and while it is being hyped up by SKY, Campbell is a class above Coyle and I cant see this fight going the distance.
Campbell as KO 9 of his 11 opponents and while, Coyle will try and rough up Campbell inside the fact is I expect Campbell to drop Coyle. Michael Gethin caught him clean in the second and was ahead in the fight before he had to retire in the 5th round. Daniel Eduardo Brizuela dropped Coyle 4 times in their fight and whilst Coyle got up and won, Campbell beat Brizuela in 5 rounds.
Campbell is a couple of classes above Coyle and while I think it will be a cracking domestic fight as far as it goes I expect Campbell to win. The odds on a stoppage are poor and Coyle may get up from a knockdown, I suspect if Campbell as time left in the round the ref will step in or his corner will stop the fight. I cant see this going the distance so in order the bets I like in this fight are on the total rounds. Odds are at Ladbrokes.
U8.5 TOTAL ROUNDS 4/6
U7.5 TOTAL ROUNDS 5/6
Good luck if your having a bet
Rugby write up stuck in moderation and I wont be around in the morning, so here are the tips without the write up
WARRINGTON 05.5 TRIES 6/5
MANTELLATO TO SCORE 11/8
CURRIE TO SCORE 7/4
CURRIE ANYTIME WINCAST 12/5 (small stakes)
Longshot value bet
CURRIE TO SCORE 2+ 8/1
Good luck if your having a bet
Boxing
Danny Garcia v Paulie Malignaggi
* Danny Garcia by KO/TKO @ 6/4
Garcia will be debuting at welterweight against the magic man in malignaggis own backyard in Brooklyn. After unimpressive performances and controversial decisions victorios against Mauricio Herrerra and Lamont Peterson Garcia is going to have to impress in this fight. Garcia has struggled against fighters with Malignaggi type of style but with the magic man not having fought since April last year after being KO by Porter in the 4th and lots of media work inbetween im struggling to give any reason of him putting on any sort of performance in this fight wich if he approaches incorrectly could turn out nasty for him. There’s is usually doubts for Garcia when up against this style of fighter but unlike the Herrera fight there is no way paulie is going to pull the trigger. With Mallginaggi possening no power Garcia will not hold back and will apply constant pressure to Malignaggi who will be very wary of that left hook.
With a fighter who has a point to prove against a fighter at the end of their career with other priorities outside the ring already there is only one option for me
@thechief thats a good bet mate , Campbell should finish him early. Sky always overhype fights and make it sound closer than what it should be but then again I guess they have too. Will be on the unders on the rounds myself and under 7.5 seems a solid bet
Picksix, cheers mate I think round 5 or 6 it just whenever Campbell lands clean for me, cant knock Coyles bravery but I think Campbell on another level.
I will keep an eye out in play for that Whyte fight. Good luck mate enjoy the fights.
Dillian whyte to KO Costa early on seems a good bet , David Price knocked out Costa and droped him 3 times earlier this year even after being patient in tre first 5 rounds . Dillian Whyte is expected to fight AJ after he beats Cornish too so this hand picked opponent for Whyte should be stopped early as they will want to sell that fight between him and Joshua at the end of the year, There is nothing available for the unders on the rounds just yet , the fight is the undercard of the Campbell fight . There should be total rounds available in play on bet365 for it and if they are as generous as they were last week giving the kovalev fight 5th round and under @ EVS it is defiently worth looking out for especially if they give anything under the 5th round
rugby league bbc1
warrington wolves v hull kr
warrinton to win 11-15 6/1
16-20 6/1
happy days
Garcia by ko @ 6/4
Burns by points 11/8
Campbell rounds 4-6 @ 11/4
Have some
Yankees @ White Sox
Yankees @ 1.8 *won*
Add
Mariners @ Twins
Twins @ 1.83 *lost*
D’backs @ Astros
O8 runs @ 1.83 *won*
Treble @ 6.04 *lost*
No short list today
Tonight’s mlb
Tigers @ Orioles
Total hits o17.5 @ 1.8
Add
Rays @ Red Sox
O9 runs @ 1.8
Double @ 3.24 (50% stake)
Longshot single
Rockies @ Cardinals
Cardinals to win by 4+ runs @ 4.65 (20% stake)
Boxing
Brian rose v carson jones
Carson jones to win by tko 5/2
I can see a repeat performance here from last years fight
Rugby League
I’m having a go at …
Warrington -10 @ 10/11
Ben Currie anytime try @ 13/10
In Play Tennis
Fabio Fognini to win 7th game
6/4 bet365
Topbuzzer I agree..I tipped Jones last time out when he was an unbelievable 7/2 to BT rose..iv played it safe tho and got the early 15/8for the Jones win tho..I can see a late stoppage in tonight’s fight..No value in the other boxing matches I personally think.
Terry your right about the value
Nice win on the Ben Currie try … as for the -10 less said the better!!
Shock result in the Rugby, didn’t see that one coming especially after the first two minutes but full deserved. A 7/4 and 11/8 on try scorers.
***Posted Yesterday***
MLB Bet For Tonight
5 Fold @ 13/1 (£5) LOST
San Francisco Giants ML (Lost 6-3)
Chicago White Sox ML (Lost 13-6)
Minnesota Twins ML (Lost 6-1)
St Louis Cardinals ML (Win 7-0)
Cleveland Indians ML (Win 2-1)
@picksix i dunno man id be wary about garcia to get the KO, he’s moved up and suffers agaisnt boxer movers i.e paulie. this could go the distance easily.
i posted a boxing /ufc preview yesterday but now this line is open im all over it
soa palelie KO 8/11
+ add luke campbell and dillian white for evens.
bigfoots chin has totally gone..
Nishioka
Lajovic
Isner
Krajicek
Pays 3/1
Nishioka plays Ginepri who hasn’t played for months due to injury. His last match was a comfortable loss to…nishioka
Lajovic plays youzhny who is pure useless atm. Lajovic steady and talented enough to be trusted to draw another bad result out of the veteran Russian.
Isner looks hard to crack on the court he loves as much as any on tour. Kuala hasn’t overly impressed me this week, though I have underestimated him to my cost! As much a case of his opponents disappointing though. He could take a set on a tiebreak, with luck, but it would be a surprise if he gets the better of Isner in this form over three sets.
Krajicek let me down against Baghdatis but in fairness the Cypriot played very well. Krajicek was decent himself, especially in the first set, and he’s solid enough all round and good enough behind serve to suggest he can hand the Mad Dog his 15th defeat in 16 matches. Home court advantage can only help that happen.
MLB Bets For Tonight
Enhanced Accumulator (skybet)
Houston, NY Mets, St Louis & Pittsburgh all to win @ 11/2 (£10)
Houston Astros starting with star pitcher Dallas Keuchel who is 9-0 when playing @ home
NY Mets starting with star pitcher Jacob deGrom,soild at home but concern is not a great record against Nationals line up
St Louis Cardinals have pitcher Lance Lynn starting who doesn’t give up much runs at home
Pittsburgh Pirates have their star pitcher starting in Gerrit Cole but concern is poor record winless @ Cincinnati Reds
Long shot Double
Double @ 3.95 (£5)
Detroit Tigers ML
San Francisco Giants ML
Tigers traded 2 of their best players more or less giving up this season but only 3.5 games out from wild card spot
Giants have a got players who can hit against Cole Hamels who is making his 1st start for Texas after being traded
6 Fold @ 19.69/1 (Free £5 bet)
St Louis Cardinals ML
Houston Astros ML
NY Yankees ML
Minnesota Twins ML
Chicago Cubs ML
Cleveland Indians ML
Yankees hit leftys, Cubs & Twins want to stay in contention for wild card spots, Indians should beat Oakland who have gave up this season