ASIAN HANDICAP TREBLE: 25 FEB

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BAYERN MUNICH’S toothless 0-0 draw last weekend undone our first Asian Handicap treble but fingers crossed we can go one better by nailing three out of three.

Man City v Blackburn

After easily disposing of Porto in the Europa League it’s back to Premier League duty for Manchester City for the first time in two weeks as they try to stay one step ahead of Manchester United.

Roberto Mancini’s side have been imperious at home and enjoy an unblemished record of 12 wins out of 12. On Saturday it’s Blackburn’s turn to try to bring that run to an end but it’s hard to see anything other than a comfortable home win at the Etihad Stadium.

City have won all but one game by two goals or more at home this term, with Arsenal being the only side to be beaten by a single goal. Opponents Blackburn have failed to keep a clean sheet all season and have lost more goals than any other team in the Premier League. The signs don’t look good for Steve Kean.

Understandably the handicap is set high and starts at (-2) which is available at 1.79. The split handicap of (-2/-2.5) is just over evens at 2.03, while (-2.5) is 2.36 but means we’d need City to win by three or more to bag the cash.

I’m inclined to play this one a little safe and think 1.79 is a decent price for Man City to win by more than two with the insurance of our money back if they only manage a two-goal win.

AC Milan v Juventus

There’s a tasty encounter in Italy on Saturday night when Serie A’s top two go head to head. Just one point separates AC Milan and Juventus although Juve’s game in hand could give them a two-point advantage should they win it.

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But first they need to negotiate a trip to the San Siro and I think they look best value, especially with the handicap on our side.

Arguably Antonio Conte’s side have been the best in Italy this season as they’ve yet to be beaten in the league. They’ve also won both encounters with Milan; the first a 2-0 league win in Turin then a 2-1 victory earlier in the month in Milan in the Italian Cup, so they’ve clearly got the measure of The Rossoneri.

Also in their favour is the absence of the mercurial Zlatan Ibrahimovic who must serve the final match of three-game ban despite his club’s best efforts to appeal the sanction handed down for a slap on Napoli’s Salvatore Aronica. The ex-Juve striker will be a sore miss as his 15 goals already this season will testify.

Juventus can be backed with half a goal start (+0.5) at 1.65 with 188Bet but I’m feeling a bit more confident and happy to take them at 2.38 on the (0) handicap, which effectively means your backing them Draw No Bet.

Roda JV v De Graafschap

In Holland it’s worth opposing bottom of the table De Graafschap who are away to Roda JC.

De Graafschap look doomed to return to Eerste divisie and a large part of their problems have been their form away from home and lack of goals. They’ve averaged less than a goal a game and in last week’s 4-1 loss at home to VVV they scored their first goal of 2012.

By contrast Roda have an excellent home record with eight wins from 11 are the highest scoring team outside the top six. In Egyptian Sanharib Malki they’ve a striker who has been in prolific form, scoring 16 in 21 for the club – his latest in last week’s 2-1 loss at Heracles.

De Graafschap have lost by two goals or more in seven of their last eight fixtures and Roda’s last four at home have seen them score 13. Games have been reasonably tight when these sides have met, although the best De Graafschap have managed in the last eight is a couple of draws so the home team look a good bet to beat the (-1.5) handicap at odds of 1.92 with 188Bet.

Asian Handicap Treble

  • Man City (-2.0) at 1.79
  • Juventus (0) at 2.38
  • Roda JC (-1.5) at 1.92
  • The treble pays £81.80 at 188Bet

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1 Comment
  1. Keith Steere 5 years ago

    Shame about last week. I was observing the success. I will be on this tip!

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