CONGRATULATIONS to Bournemouth. They’ll be playing in the Premier League next season after beating Bolton 3-0 last night.
I have just one complaint – Eddie Howe’s men could have handed the 10-man Trotters a consolation goal to bring up the Super Single which was both to score at the Goldsands.
However, their victory added to those by Valencia and Besiktas brought up a 6-4 Top Treble which had 2.5pts advised. And on the match preview I recommended Bournemouth -1 at 4-5 with Paddy Power.
On Tuesday there are three English matches – Hull v Liverpool in the Premier League, Rotherham v Reading in the Championship and Colchester v Swindon in League One. I’m backing wins for Liverpool and Rotherham, both at evens, and have posted a separate preview on the games.
Colchester are a best 5-4 at Betfred and must be worth a look against a Swindon side who will finish fourth no matter what happens in their final two matches. However, having rested seven players against Preston at the weekend Mark Cooper’s men could be back at full strength as they look ahead to the play-offs.
United will climb out of the bottom four with a win and give themselves a real chance of survival. They won 3-2 at Fleetwood at the weekend and boss Tony Humes could field an unchanged line-up for the third match running.
Elsewhere there are some big names in action on the continent. PSG are no bigger than 1-6 at Betfred at home to Metz and you can understand why after their sizzling 6-1 win at home to Lille at the weekend without Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The Swede is still banned but does it matter when Ezequiel Lavezzi and Edinson Cavani grabbed five between them against Lille.
PSG have now netted 16 in their last four domestic matches and should score plenty more against the side second bottom as they try to move three points clear of Lyon at the top. Bets to consider are PSG -2 at 6-5 with Paddy Power and Lavezzi at 11-8 with bet365 to score after his treble against Lille.
Second-placed GFCO Ajaccio look best bets in Ligue 2 at home to lowly Tours. They are 7-10 at William Hill.
In La Liga the big game is Barcelona v Getafe while Athletic Bilbao entertain Real Sociedad and Levante tackle Cordoba. Barca are no bigger than 1-19 with 888sport so I’ll look at the stats to see if I can find some value. Getafe held Barca 0-0 at home earlier this season and drew 2-2 in the Nou Camp last season but will struggle to keep out a side who have netted 12 goals in their last three league games.
Levante should see off Cordoba to boost their own chances of beating the drop and Athletic can edge out a Sociedad side who still struggle on their travels.
In Italy Udinese face Inter at home and there is a full Serie B card. Inter will be boosted by their shock win against Roma last weekend and are 11-8 with Betfred to beat a side with just three win in 19 games.
Serie B leaders Carpi have been tipped by several on the site but I don’t know enough about the game to explain why they are such a big price to beat Bari at home. Carpi will be promoted to Serie A for the first time with a win and a best price of 23-20 with William Hill looks big – it will be interesting to see if this starts dropping.
Bayern Munich won the title at the weekend and will now hope to seal a spot in the German Cup Final at home to Dortmund. They tempt at 1-2 with the likes of BetVictor and bet365 and Pep Guardiola is boosted by the return of Arjen Robben after injury. Bayern rested players in the 1-0 win against Hertha Berlin at the weekend and should put away their rivals who they have beaten twice in the Bundesliga this season but only by one goal.
After looking at the games in detail my Super Single is PSG -2 AH at 10-11 with BetVictor. I thought about PSG to win to nil at 4-5 with Paddy Power against a side with just four away goals all season but I’m not a great fan of that market. In France PSG have won their last four 6-1, 3-1, 4-0 and 4-1 so three times the -2 handicap would have been covered and once the stake would have been returned.
For the Top Treble I’m starting with Bayern – and this is a one-legged semi-final – and adding PSG -1 and Rotherham. I’ve said I like Liverpool, Rotherham and Colchester but of the three I feel Rotherham are the best bet.
5pts Super Single
PSG -2 AH (8pm)
2pts Top Treble
Bayern Munich (7.30pm)
(7-2, BetVictor, bet365)
April Super Single Record
27 bets (12 winners, 15 losers)
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