IT was one of those strange Sundays – it started superbly, fell away in the middle and had a decent ending.
I thought it was going to be a great day when two thirds of the treble came in early and I advised covering Chievo double chance at 5-1 when Lazio led 1-0 at half-time.
Max Gradel was a 6-1 first-scorer tip for St Etienne and I flagged up Marouane Fellaini at 12-1 to be booked first at Everton and I know some were on the Man United midfielder.
At this point Juventus, the Super Single pick, were also winning but of course they went on to lose 2-1 at Torino – their first derby defeat since 1995.
I advised a draw at Arsenal v Chelsea and under 2.5 goals and that was a late pick-me-up but it’s always disappointing when the main bets lose. And with the three late games all finishing 4-2 to the favourites there was nice profit there for those who latched on early to goals galore – and again some good bets were advised inplay on the comments section so thanks for those who got involved.
From a 20pt profit last week the Super Single is now down to just over 5pts up and it’s frustrating when I hoped to be 30pts plus ahead by the end of the month.
On Monday it’s all about Bournemouth v Bolton in the Championship as the home men try to clinch promotion to the Premier League. Bournemouth are no bigger than 3-10 with the likes of William Hill and Betfred and while they’ll be under pressure I can’t see them letting slip this chance of a lifetime.
Other games I’ll be looking at are Valencia v Granada in La Liga and Sporting at Moreinense in Portugal. Both are of course short-priced favourites and added to Bournemouth the treble pays just under 2-1 at Betfred.
Valencia have won eight out of nine at the Mestalla while Granada have gone 14 without a victory and look destined for the drop. I like the look of Valencia -2 Asian Handicap at 8-5 with 888sport against a side who have conceded 15 in their last three away games including nine at Real Madrid.
I’ve also seen tips for Eintracht Braunschweig at home to Erzgebirge in Bundesliga 2 but will need to look into it more even though at first glance it’s promotion chasers against a side battling the drop.
I’ve posted a separate preview on the Bournemouth game and with both to score over evens at 21-20 with Ladbrokes I’m taking that as the Super Single. Reasoning is on that thread.
For the Top Treble I’m taking Bournemouth and Valencia and adding not Sporting but Besiktas at home to relegation-threatened Karabukspor. Slaven Bilic’s can return to the top of the table with a win and and should get it against a side seven points away safety.
Besiktas have been in cracking form and while their record against Karabukspor isn’t the best they should beat a side who have lost their last four away games. Bilic’s men have lost just two of their last 27 homes games – and those defeats came to title rivals Fenerbahce and Galatasaray.
3pts Super Single
Bournemouth v Bolton btts (7.45pm)
2.5pts Top Treble
(6-4, Ladbrokes, BetVictor)
April Super Single Record
26 bets (12 winners, 14 losers)
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