APR 27: BOURNEMOUTH v BOLTON PREVIEW

genericfootball

BOURNEMOUTH must have hoped playing two days after their promotion rivals would be an advantage but they couldn’t have wished for better results on Saturday.

While Watford booked promotion to the Premier League by winning at Brighton, Middlesbrough’s dramatic defeat at Fulham and Norwich’s draw at Rotherham means Eddie Howe’s unfashionable outfit will seal their spot in the top flight for the first time by beating Bolton at home.

Bournemouth’s goal difference means a win on Monday will effectively see them up and while they slipped up against Sheffield Wednesday last time out they haven’t lost at home since January 10. There will be a crackling atmosphere at the Goldsands and the home crowd should be able to see their favourites across the line.

Bolton improved under Neil Lennon and comfortably avoided the drop but they haven’t been great away from home, winning just four times, and have lost at the ground of every team in the top seven.

Adam Smith at right-back for the banned Simon Francis is likely to be Bournemouth’s only change while Neil Danns and Barry Bannan are back in the Bolton squad after a breach of club discipline.

Josh Vela is out while Matt Mills is a doubt with an ankle problem. Paddy McCarthy has gone back to Crystal Palace after receiving a knock on his ankle while Max Clayton, David Wheater, Simeon Slavchev, Darren Pratley, Craig Davies and Zach Clough remain on the treatment table.

Bournemouth are no bigger than 3-10 with the likes of William Hill to pick up the points so we have elsewhere for value. There should be goals with five of Bolton’s last six seeing both score and Bournemouth netting at least two in four of their last six.

Both to score tempts at 21-20 with Ladbrokes as Bournemouth have conceded four in their last two home games against Wednesday and Birmingham. Over 2.5 goals is just 4-7 at Ladbrokes.

Bournemouth are well capable of scoring 3+ but it pays just 1-1 at Coral while Bolton just to score is 10-11 at betfair (no clean sheet).

Hitman Callum Wilson and French star Yann Kermorgant will be the players expected to see the home men over the line. Wilson netted a double in the 2-1 at the Reebok earlier this season and is 7-2 at bet365 to score first and 19-20 at 888sport to net. Penalty taker Kermorgant is 6-5 with the same firm.

If Bournemouth aren’t hit by a bout of nerves they can win this well and 4-5 with Ladbrokes minus one is worth a look.

Recommended Bets

Bournemouth v Bolton btts
(21-20, Ladbrokes)

Bournemouth -1
(4-5, Paddy Power)

Wilson to score first
(7-2, bet365)

10 Comments
  1. L 2 years ago

    Hey mr f. I’m no tipster, and therefore not really a poster, but been following the site for a while and your (and others’) research and insights have probably helped me win more and lose less than I otherwise might have, so thanks for that all :)

    After a couple of recent lucky martingale escapes, I’m thinking about hanging my boots up (again!), but I do still wonder if, with a bit of discipline, I might be able to make a bit at this game, rather than limping away, as ever, with fingers mildly singed, if not burnt.

    I know you often land the treble and other bets daily, eg fallaini first card today / ars chel draw etc, but regarding the SS I just wondered how many months you’ve been recording the points on the SS, and how every month so far has ended up + or -? Or whether you had a similar record of the TT?

    Essentially, I’m looking for an excuse to keep on having a daily flutter, but don’t trust my instincts + the time I have available for research and interpreting your / other posters’ tips to make enough regular shrewd choices.

    Thanks if you have the info, I’m just trying to be sensible, and still have a bit of fun. Thanks, L

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 2 years ago

      L, I only keep the SS records although the Top Trebles have been pretty good this season. I’ve said before what matters most is the next bet – if you like it back it and you don’t then leave out.

  2. bad jasper. 2 years ago

    Bournemouth btts 21-20
    Bolton to score 10-11
    is it worth the risk on btts when just Bolton to score pays almost the same ???

  3. archie 2 years ago

    Bournemouth win btts

    Bournemouth win 3 or 4 goals in game .

    These two gets lok very likely .
    GL all

  4. archie 2 years ago

    both these are 7/4 sorry forgot to put prices up

    • MiniDuffman 2 years ago

      You can get Bournemouth and BTTS at 5/2 with Ladbrokes if that’s what you’re going for.

  5. Andy Thomson 2 years ago

    The way some results went over the weekend I’ll be backing Bolton draw no bet 19/2 @betvictor

  6. paul 2 years ago

    Think Bournemouth will win 1-0 in a tight game

  7. Dave 2 years ago

    Terrible tipping…

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 2 years ago

      Dave, what do you mean? Did Bournemouth win, did the cover the -1 handicap? Sure, Bolton didn’t score but that was worth a look. It’s only terrible tipping in your sad little world.

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