IT was a dramatic day north and south of the border. Leicester edged closer to the Premier League title with a dramatic draw against West Ham and Rangers won the Old Firm Scottish Cup battle on penalties.
My bets were equally dramatic with two out of three on the three advised trebles and two losing Super Singles. I did though get four out of four on recommended bets on the English preview.
There was no red card at Hampden and that’s always a fairly speculative bet but my other pick were Mainz who stunk the place out at home to Cologne.
My pick looked certain to come up smelling or roses when Mainz led 2-0. I was about to advise cheap cover when Cologne scored and they went on to grab a stunning 3-2 success.
Barcelona were another big disappointment for me as they followed their Champions League exit by losing at home to Valencia. One point separates the top three in La Liga and there should be a thrilling race to the finish.
Having backed Barca on the anteposts I’ve looked at their closing five fixtures and they are all extremely winnable as long as they get out of this rut quickly. Deportivo (a), Sporting Gijon (h), Real Betis (a), Espanyol (h) and Granada (a) would normally not pose too many problems.
As for Monday I’ve posted a separate preview on Stoke v Spurs and I’m on the visitors to keep up their title challenge. Spurs may feature on an accumulator if I put one up.
For the Super Single I’m aiming to wipe out losses with old friends Tondela. Some of you may remember a few weeks ago I took both to score at Porto v Tondela as the Super Single and it fell down with Tondela winning 1-0.
They were a massive price that day – 33-1 maybe – and followed up by beating Madeira 1-0 and are unbeaten in three. Tondela are still bottom ahead of Monday’s trip to Braga but are now just six points from safety.
I’m not saying they’re going to win at best odds of 17-2 but they could. However, for the Super Single I’m going with Tondela to score at just under evens and they’ve netted in their last 13 matches – which for a team at the foot is fairly remarkable. Braga have kept just one clean in nine but there is no h2h to go with.
Benfica are also in action in Portugal at home to Vitoria Setubal. Finding value is difficult with the title challengers extremely short at 1-8 with William Hill. A possible stats-based bet is over 2.5 Benfica goals which has come up in six of the last seven meetings – including an 8-1 win. But again it’s pretty short at 8-13 with Ladbrokes while Benfica -2 is 10-11 at GentingBet.
Top scorer Jonas returns to the side after missing out against Bayern Munich in midweek through suspension so he’ll be one of the fresher ones. He is 11-5 at bet365 to score first but no bigger than 7-15 at 888sport to net at any time. A Jonas/Harry Kane anytime scorer double pays 2-1 at bet365 and is tempting.
Elsewhere there are a few games to look at including Dundalk v St Pat’s in the Irish League Cup and watch out for tips on this and other games on the comments section.
I wasn’t going to do a Top Treble but I’m going to risk 1pt on Benfica -2, over 2.5 goals at Stoke v Spurs and Sirius at home to Dalkurd. Sirius have started with two good wins in their bid for promotion and face new boys Dalkurd who have one point from two.
I see Jordan’s tipped them to score 2+ so that’s an alternative but for the treble I’m taking them to win.
Greg’s tips are on a separate post and here are Jordan’s too.
Remember to check out We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.
Jordan’s Monday Tips
Sirius Over 1.5 team goals – Swedish Superettan – (6.30pm)
Elfsborg to score (Malmo clean sheet – No) – Swedish Allsvenskan – (6pm)
(54-50, bet365)– 2.5 points
Elsfborg/Malmo BTTS & Over 2.5
(55-20, bet365) – 0.5pt
Points Staked 49.82
Points Returned 50.88
*Totals don’t show MLS winner of over 2.5 Goals at Dallas this morning
Mr Fixit’s 3pts Super Single
Tondela to score (7pm)
1pt Top Treble
Stoke v Spurs over 2.5 goals (8pm)
Benfica -2 (9pm)
April Super Singles Total
(19 bets, 6 winners, 1 void)
(35 bets, 6 winners)
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