Alan Thomson’s Tips: Debut dazzler can strike at Windsor

Leopardstown_Racing

 AJJAJ (6.50) can kick off the week in style at Windsor by defying his winner’s penalty in the 1m 2f Novice Stakes.

Hugo Palmer’s three-year-old scored on his debut at Ascot in the autumn but was then caught a bit out of his depth when a decent fourth to Mark Johnston’s very smart Elarqam in the Group 3 Somerville Stakes at Newmarket.

That was over 7f and there may be improvement to come over this longer trip. There might need to be as he concedes weight to some well-bred newcomers.

At Pontefract, THREE SAINTS BAY (4.10) sets a reasonable standard in the 6f Novice Stakes.

David O’Meara found him a winning opening at Redcar over an extra furlong but the Class 2 Conditions Stakes he contested at Newcastle next time out was a step too far. Three Saints Bay still emerged with credit in fourth, one place behind a 101-rated horse.

The fly in the ointment could be Mark Johnston’s unraced colt Shatharaat running in the Hamdan Al Maktoum silks. Johnston often sends a smart recruit to Ponte and Shatharaat was also entered at Lingfield and Chelmsford City this week before the decision to stay closer to home in Yorkshire.

Much of the Flat is guesswork at this time of the season and the best guide is usually to watch how the market is developing on Betfair.

UPTOWN FUNK (3.40) could be just the type to relish the extreme 2m 5f test of the Pontefract Marathon.

Keith Dalgleish’s gelding, formerly with John Gosden, has been running well at Musselburgh over the winter. He beat Je Suis Charlie on New Year’s Day, arriving late on the scene and finishing strongly, and wasn’t disgraced when last of the four finishers behind brilliant We Have A Dream on Trials Day.

Uptown Funk fell at the last when staying on in second spot in a 2m 3f handicap and he has had a run on the all-weather at Newcastle, again sticking on into third behind Arcalis over two miles.

On a collateral form line through Arthurs Secret, little separates Uptown Funk and Iain Jardine’s easy Newcastle winner Something Brewing, but this could be Uptown Funk’s day.

Micky Hammond has a good record in this unique event and saddles two at the top and bottom of the weights, Tyrell and Becky The Thatcher, while Wemyss Point beat the rest at Wolverhampton when no match for 111-rated Count Octave and Saroog.

Recommended bets

  • Windsor 6.50 – Fajjaj (6-4, bet365)
  • Pontefract 4.10 – Three Saints Bay (5-2, Ladbrokes)
  • Pontefract 3.40 – Uptown Funk (10-3, Paddy Power)

Johnb’s Monday Tips

  • Pontefract 3:40 – Uptown Funk 7-2 bet365
  • Pontefract 4:10 – Super D J 11-2 paddy power NB
  • Pontefract 5:45 – Starboy 11-2 coral
  • Windsor 5:50 – Leo Minor 11-4 skybet NAP
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28 Comments
  1. Profile photo of u2me413
    u2me413 4 months ago

    When should we expect the offical clemmie isn’t running announcment

    • Profile photo of gengar
      gengar 4 months ago

      You also praying for a miricale mate I stand to win 1300 but not gunna complain JB won me so much in AP bets last couple years can’t win them all just way it goes still untill it’s officially announced I’ll be keeping my fingers crossed lol

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 4 months ago

      Washington dc 6-00 navan 13-8 nap {2 from 2 at course and won this last year}.

      pineapple rush 2-50 hexham 11-10 nb
      double pays 9-2 nnb.

      add virak 4-30 newton abbot 4-7
      treble pays 15-2.

      and for a laugh marracudja 2-30 newton abbot 2-1
      fourfold pays 25-1

      4 each way I like
      miss Conway 2-20 hexham 7-1 {5 times course winner, and won this last year.
      mc gintys dream 3-50 hexham 9-1.
      uptown funk 3-40 Pontefract 7-2.
      rear admiral 5-40 Sedgefield 4-1.

      • Profile photo of
        4 months ago

        What do you call a roided up paperboy who cant see past the first 2 in the betting? Elvis parsley😂 Just joking btw mate ive nicked one of yours off you. BOL

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 4 months ago

      Should hear this week

  2. Profile photo of chilleden
    chilleden 4 months ago

    John thanks for Well Why Not yesterday. You are ok fire recently!

  3. Profile photo of u2me413
    u2me413 4 months ago

    Yeah had Tokio to win BGT, clemmie when 33-1 and a few teams to win world cup. Not going to give up lol

  4. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 4 months ago

    I will post full stats for level stakes when our stats person comes back from holiday but so far this year we have advised 340 selections with 105 winners “nearly a winner a day”, that’s a 30.88% win rate which isn’t bad for horse racing

    Roughly 125pts up this year but like I said I will get proper figure when they come back from holiday, this month though has been the best so far with over 50pt profit to level stakes and all four months this year have all been in profit

  5. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 4 months ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Gulf of poets 2.40p 8/1
    Holmeswood 3.10p 10/1
    Bodacious name 3.40p 15/2
    Langley vale 4.50w 33/1
    Perfect words 5.15p 22/1
    Milan reef 5.45p 8/1
    Ew singles & ew lucky63☘️Gl all

  6. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 4 months ago

    don lami 3.20 nap Matt’s legacy 1.30 Indian harbour 1.50 sunset Skye 2.00 le chat d,or 2.40 ew l15 ew singles well done winners

  7. Profile photo of earl
    earl 4 months ago

    210 Allen A Dale 6/1

  8. Profile photo of u2me413
    u2me413 4 months ago

    You would have thought clemmie would have been in half decent nick anyway prior to the setback so I’m hopeful… it is in full training at moment I believe.

  9. Profile photo of trotters
    trotters 4 months ago

    8.07 t5
    8.51 t4
    Goodluck

  10. Profile photo of cobretti
    cobretti 4 months ago

    1st one up at 9/4, thanks Trotters

  11. Profile photo of cobretti
    cobretti 4 months ago

    And the second, nice wee double.

  12. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 4 months ago

    Tuesdays Racing Tips

    Ludlow
    2:35 – Today Please 3/1 paddy power NB

    Exeter
    2:45 – L’Auberge Du Bois 7/2 paddy power

    Ludlow
    3:05 – Hey Bill 9/2 paddy power NAP

    Yarmouth
    3:25 – Pentland Hills 12/1 ladbrokes eachway 1/5 odds 1-2-3-4

    Punchestown
    6:05 – Commander Of Fleet 3/1 betvictor

    Punchestown
    6:40 – Jury Duty 14/1 bet365 eachway 1/4 odds 1-2-3

    Brighton
    7:40 – Pour La Victoire 3/1 betvictor

  13. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 4 months ago

    Johnb
    Glad to see you’ve gone for Jury Duty too.
    Providing he’s recovered well from Cheltenham on prior form must have every chance.

  14. Profile photo of
    2 months ago

    Antepost epsom derby tip

    MASAR 40-1

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